Roy Morgan-Channel 10 Exit Poll. 7pm sample 6,215 Australian electors.
Roy Morgan-Channel 10 Exit Poll
PRIMARY VOTE
|
TIME
|
L-NP
|
ALP
|
GREENS
|
PALMER
|
OTHERS
|
|
2010 ELECTION
|
43.6%
|
38.0%
|
11.8%
|
0.0%
|
6.6%
|
|
SEP. 6TH
|
44.0%
|
31.5%
|
10.5%
|
6.5%
|
7.5%
|
|
EXIT POLLS
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12PM
|
42.0%
|
34.5%
|
11.0%
|
5.0%
|
7.5%
|
|
1PM
|
42.0% |
34.5% |
11.0% |
5.5% |
7.0% |
|
2PM
|
42.0% |
34.5% |
10.5% |
5.5% |
7.5% |
|
3PM
|
42.5% |
33.5% |
11.0%
|
5.0% |
8.0% |
|
4PM
|
42.5% |
33.5% |
11.5% |
5.0% |
7.5% |
|
5PM
|
43.0% |
33.5% |
11.0% |
5.0% |
7.5% |
|
6PM
|
43.5% |
33.0% |
11.0% |
5.0% |
7.5% |
|
7PM
|
43.5% |
33.0% |
11.0% |
5.0% |
7.5% |
7pm sample: 6,215.
PALMER UNITED PARTY IS POLLING 9.5% IN QUEENSLAND.
PALMER’S PREFERENCES ARE BEING ALLOCATED 65% L-NP & 35% ALP
IF PALMER VOTERS VOTE THE CARD THE 2PP WILL BE UP TO 1.5% MORE TO THE L-NP (53.5%) CF. ALP (46.5%).
TWO-PARTY PREFERRED VOTE
|
|
L-NP
|
ALP
|
|
2010 ELECTION
|
49.9%
|
50.1%
|
|
SEP. 6TH
|
53.5%
|
46.5%
|
|
EXIT POLLS
|
|
|
|
12PM
|
52%
|
48%
|
|
1PM
|
51.5% |
48.5% |
|
2PM
|
52% |
48% |
|
3PM
|
52% |
48% |
|
4PM
|
52% |
48% |
|
5PM
|
52% |
48% |
|
6PM
|
53% |
47% |
|
7PM
|
53% |
47% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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ABOUT THE MORGAN POLL
The Morgan Poll is Australia’s most respected public opinion poll and has proved itself repeatedly in more than 75 Federal and State Elections and national referenda. The Morgan Poll was the most accurate public opinion poll in predicting the outcome of the 2010 Federal Election, and was first to call a ‘Hung Parliament’.
Because Roy Morgan Research is not owned by a media corporation, or affiliated with any political party or union, our polls are independent and free of hidden agendas.
Today the Morgan Poll conducts a comprehensive multi-mode interviewing survey with a cross-section of over 3,000 Australian electors aged 18+ each week. The multi-mode Morgan Poll interviews via face-to-face interviewing, SMS mobile phone interviewing and an Online survey each week to achieve the most accurate polling results.
Morgan Poll Accuracy — Recent Federal Elections (2007 & 2010)
The Morgan Poll has proven to be consistently the most accurate regular poll in recent Australian Elections — including the 2007 Federal Election & 2010 Federal Election.
The Morgan Poll was the most accurate of all polling companies at the 2010 Federal Election for the primary vote and clearly second-most accurate for the two-party preferred predictions (sample 1,872 electors).
The Morgan Poll was the most accurate of all polling companies at the 2007 Federal Election for both primary vote and two-party preferred predictions (sample 2,115 electors).