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More Australian electors (49%) want the Carbon Tax repealed than those that don’t (41%) but a clear majority of Australians (86%) think it important Australia reduces its emissions of carbon dioxide

Finding No. 5422 - This special telephone Morgan Poll on Global Warming and the Carbon Tax was conducted over the last three nights (February 4-6, 2014) with an Australia-wide cross-section of 664 Australians aged 14+.

More Australians electors (49%, although down 2% since October 2013) support Prime Minister Tony Abbott’s decision to repeal the Carbon Tax while 41% (up 3%) disagree and 10% (down 1%) can’t say according to a special telephone Morgan Poll conducted over the last three nights (February 4-6, 2014).

However, a very large majority of Australians 86% (down 1%) think it is important Australia reduces its emissions of carbon dioxide while only 11% (up 1%) don’t think it is important and 3% (unchanged) can’t say.

In terms of Global Warming, 50% (up 1% since July 2013) of Australians say it will be too late if we don’t act now, 30% (down 3%) of Australians say Global Warming concerns are exaggerated and 16% (up 2%) say it is already too late (a record high) and 4% (unchanged) can’t say.

Analysis by Voting Intention

A big difference is seen when electors are asked whether Prime Minister Tony Abbott should repeal the Carbon Tax.

Now 82% (down 2%) of L-NP supporters agree the Carbon Tax should be repealed compared to only 25% (up 5%) of ALP supporters and just 9% (up 3%) of Greens supporters while 89% (up 7%) of Greens supporters and 66% (down 2%) of ALP supporters say the Carbon Tax should not be repealed compared to only 12% (up 2%) of L-NP supporters.

However, there is broad agreement between supporters of all political parties that it is important Australia reduces its emissions of carbon dioxide with 78% (unchanged) of L-NP supporters, 92% (down 4%) of ALP supporters and 100% (up 6%) of Greens supporters saying it is important while only 20% (up 1%) of L-NP supporters and 6% (up 3%) of ALP supporters say it is not important.

Analysis of concerns regarding Global warming by voting intention shows that 49% (down 7%) of L-NP supporters think concerns are exaggerated whereas 20% (up 4%) of ALP and only 5% (down 1%) of Greens supporters agree with them. Both the Greens supporters 75% (unchanged) and ALP supporters 62% (down 8%) say if we don’t act now it will be too late compared to 37% (up 10%) of L-NP supporters.

In addition small minorities of all three parties say ‘it is already too late’: Greens supporters 20% (up 4%), ALP supporters 16% (up 5%) and only 8% (down 4%) of L-NP supporters.

Gary Morgan says:

“Nearly half of Australian electors (49%, down 2% since October 2013) want the Carbon Tax repealed, more than the 41% (up 3%) of electors that don’t want it repealed. However, there is a clear split on the question with 82% (down 2%) of L-NP supporters wanting it repealed compared to only 25% (up 5%) of ALP supporters and just 9% (up 3%) of Greens supporters.

“However, a very large majority of Australians (86%, down 1%) believe it is important Australia reduce its emissions of carbon dioxide and only 11% (up 1%) don’t think it is important. Large majorities of supporters of all parties agree with this sentiment.

“In terms of Global Warming itself, Australians are split on the issue. 50% (up 1%) of Australians say ‘If we don’t act now it will be too late’ compared to 30% (down 3%) that say ‘Concerns are exaggerated’ and 16% (up 2%) that say ‘It is already too late’. Although only a small minority say ‘It is already too late’ – this is a record high number of Australians with the most pessimistic view.”

Finding No. 5422 - This special telephone Morgan Poll on Global Warming and the Carbon Tax was conducted over the last three nights (February 4-6, 2014) with an Australia-wide cross-section of 664 Australians aged 14+.


For further information:

Contact

Office

Mobile

Gary Morgan:

+61 3 9224 5213

+61 411 129 094

Michele Levine:

+61 3 9224 5215

+61 411 129 093

 

 

Margin of Error

The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. The following table gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. The figures are approximate and for general guidance only, and assume a simple random sample. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate.

Sample Size

Percentage Estimate

40%-60%

25% or 75%

10% or 90%

5% or 95%

500

±4.5

±3.9

±2.7

±1.9

1,000

±3.2

±2.7

±1.9

±1.4



Global Warming and the Carbon Tax

Question 1

Respondents were asked: “Which of the following is closest to your view about Global Warming? Do you think concerns are exaggerated; if we don’t act now it will be too late; or, it is already too late?”

 

About
Global Warming

Total all people aged 14+

 

 

April

2006

Nov

2008

May

2009

Aug

2009

Nov

2009

Dec

2009

Jan

2010

June

2011

July

2013

Feb 4-6,
2014

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Concerns are

 exaggerated

13

19

26

27

30

31

31

32

33

30

If we don’t act now

it will be too late

67

64

58

58

52

50

54

50

49

50

It is already too late

15

4

12

11

14

14

12

15

14

16

Can’t say

5

3

4

4

4

5

3

3

4

4

TOTAL

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

 

 

About
Global Warming

Australians
14+

Analysis by States & Regions

 

 

 

Feb 4-6,
2014

Capital

Cities

Country

Areas

NSW

Vic

Qld

WA

SA

Tas#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Concerns are

exaggerated

30

29

32

28

30

39

26

27

3

If we don’t act now

 it will be too late

50

50

51

56

49

42

50

49

64

It is already too late

16

18

11

12

17

15

20

18

33

Can’t say

4

3

6

4

4

4

4

6

-

TOTAL

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

#Figures for some these demographics must be treated with caution as there are under 50 interviews.

 

About
Global Warming

Electors

Federal Voting Intention

 

July
2013

Feb 4-6,
2014

ALP

L-NP

Greens

Palmer#

Ind./ Others#

Can’t say#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Concerns are

exaggerated

34

32

20

49

5

10

36

28

If we don’t act now

 it will be too late

50

50

62

37

75

48

43

33

It is already too late

13

14

16

8

20

42

14

24

Can’t say

3

4

2

6

-

-

7

15

TOTAL

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

#Figures for some these demographics must be treated with caution as there are under 50 interviews.

 

 

Should the Carbon Tax be repealed or not?

Question 2

Respondents were then asked: “Do you support Prime Minister Tony Abbott’s decision to repeal the Carbon Tax or not?”

 

Total all people aged 14+

Analysis by Sex & Age

 

 

 

Oct
2013

Feb 4-6,
2014

Men

Women

14-17#

18-24

25-34

35-49

50-64

65+

 

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

Yes, repeal

50

48

52

43

31

40

34

52

56

52

 

No, don’t repeal

37

40

39

42

38

42

49

41

38

37

 

Can’t say

13

12

9

15

31

18

17

7

6

11

 

TOTAL

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

 

#Figures for some these demographics must be treated with caution as there are under 50 interviews.

 

 

Total all people

 aged 14+

Analysis by States & Regions

 

Feb 4-6,
2014

Capital

Cities

Country

Areas

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA

WA

Tas#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, repeal

48

47

49

49

47

52

41

45

27

No, don’t repeal

40

41

39

41

41

35

42

43

70

Can’t say

12

12

12

10

12

13

17

12

3

TOTAL

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

#Figures for some these demographics must be treated with caution as there are under 50 interviews.

 

Electors

Federal Voting Intention

 

 

Oct
2013

Feb 4-6,
2014

ALP

L-NP

Greens

Palmer#

Ind./ Others#

Can’t say#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, repeal

51

49

25

82

9

9

61

35

No, don’t repeal

38

41

66

12

89

76

25

15

Can’t say

11

10

9

6

2

15

14

50

TOTAL

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

#Figures for some these demographics must be treated with caution as there are under 50 interviews.


Should Australia reduce its emissions of carbon dioxide?

Question 3

Respondents were then asked: “Do you think it is important Australia reduces its emissions of carbon dioxide?”

 

Total all people  aged 14+

Analysis by Sex & Age

 

 

 

Oct 29/30,
2013

Feb 4-6,
2014

Men

Women

14-17#

18-24

25-34

35-49

50-64

65+

 

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

Yes

87

86

82

90

86

86

89

87

86

82

 

No

10

11

15

7

11

11

8

12

12

11

 

Can’t say

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

1

2

7

 

TOTAL

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

 

#Figures for some these demographics must be treated with caution as there are under 50 interviews.

 

 

Total all people

 Aged 14+

Analysis by States & Regions

 

Feb 4-6,
2014

Capital

Cities

Country

Areas

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA

WA

Tas#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes

86

86

87

86

87

83

82

90

100

No

11

11

10

11

10

15

13

8

-

Can’t say

3

3

3

3

3

2

5

2

-

TOTAL

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

#Figures for some these demographics must be treated with caution as there are under 50 interviews.

 

Electors

Federal Voting Intention

 

 

Feb 4-6,
2014

ALP

L-NP

Greens

Palmer#

Ind./ Others#

Can’t say#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes

85

92

78

100

100

80

72

No

12

6

20

-

-

15

13

Can’t say

3

2

2

-

-

5

15

TOTAL

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

#Figures for some these demographics must be treated with caution as there are under 50 interviews.