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PM Tony Abbott (44%) now leads Opposition Leader Bill Shorten (37%) as ‘Better PM’ but neither Leader has positive job approval

This special telephone Morgan Poll was conducted over the last three nights this week, September 30 and October 1-2, 2014, with an Australia-wide cross section of 503 electors.

Despite neither Leader having positive job approval, Prime Minister Tony Abbott 44% (up 6% since June 4-6, 2014) now leads Opposition Leader Bill Shorten (37%, down 6%) as the ‘Better PM’ according to a special telephone Morgan Poll conducted over the last three nights September 30 – October 2, 2014.

Job Performance – Approve/Disapprove

Prime Minister Tony Abbott has improved his standing among electors with 44% (up 10%) approving of his handling of his job as Prime Minister although this is still behind the 47% (down 12%) who disapprove while 9% (up 2%) can’t say.

Australian electors have a similar view of Opposition Leader Bill Shorten’s handling of the job as Opposition Leader; 42% (down 3%) disapprove and 37% (up 2%) approve although a much higher 21% (up 1%) can’t say.

Analysis by Gender

Analysis by gender shows men clearly prefer Abbott (49%, up 9%) cf.  Shorten (34%, down 6%) as ‘Better PM’ while women are almost evenly divided with Shorten (41%, down 5%) slightly preferred to Abbott (40%, up 3%).

There is a clear gender split when judging Prime Minister Tony Abbott’s handling of the job as Prime Minister. More men (51%, up 15%) approve than disapprove 43% (down 14%). In complete contrast – more women disapprove (51%, down 11%) than approve (38%, up 5%) of Prime Minister Tony Abbott’s handling of the job as Prime Minister.

However amongst both men and women more disapprove than approve of Opposition Leader Bill Shorten’s handling of the job as Opposition Leader: Nearly half of male electors (45%, down 2%) disapprove of Opposition Leader Bill Shorten’s handling of the job while 40% (up 6%) approve. Among women: (39%, down 4%) disapprove cf. 34% (down 2%) approve.

Gary Morgan says:

“Today’s special telephone Morgan Poll shows Prime Minister Tony Abbott (44%, up 6% since June 2014) now leads Opposition Leader Bill Shorten (37%, down 6%) and is regarded as the ‘Better PM’ by Australian electors.

“However, both Leaders are rated poorly for their handling of their respective jobs. More Australian electors disapprove (47%) of Abbott’s handling of the job as Prime Minister than approve (44%) and the same applies for Shorten as Opposition Leader: Disapprove (42%) cf. approve (37%). There is strong disapproval of Abbott amongst younger Australians (under 35) – this reflects the problems younger Australians and their friends have in finding jobs (Roy Morgan September Unemployment estimate shows real Australian unemployment of 9.9%).

“Although both men and women have a very similar view of Bill Shorten as Opposition Leader, there is a clear gender split with regards to Prime Minister Tony Abbott. A majority of men approve (51%) of Abbott’s handling of the job compared to 43% that disapprove whereas a majority of women disapprove (51%) of Abbott’s handling of the job and only 38% approve.”

This special telephone Morgan Poll was conducted over the last three nights this week, September 30 and October 1-2, 2014, with an Australia-wide cross section of 503 electors.

Visit the Roy Morgan Online Store to browse our Voter Profiles by electorate, detailed Voting Intention Demographics Reports and Most important Political Issue Reports (all 150 electorates ranked by an issue).


Better Prime Minister: Abbott v Shorten

Electors were asked: “Thinking of Mr. Tony Abbott and Mr. Bill Shorten. In your opinion, who would make the better Prime Minister – Mr. Abbott or Mr. Shorten?”

Rudd/ Gillard v Abbott

Abbott v Shorten

Prime Minister
Julia Gillard

Prime Minister Kevin Rudd

Prime Minister Tony Abbott

 

Mar 16/17,

2011

June 11/12,
2013

July 16/17,
2013

Aug 12/13,
2013

Aug 28/29,
2013

Oct 18-20,
2013

June 4-6,
2014

Sep 30-Oct 2,
2014

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Rudd/ PM Abbott

59

50

52

46

43

40

38

44

Abbott/ Shorten

32

43

36

43

44

36

43

37

Rudd/ Abbott lead

27

7

16

3

(1)

4

(5)

7

Other / Can’t say

9

7

12

11

13

24

19

19

TOTAL

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100


Electors 18+

Analysis by Sex & Age

Sep 30-Oct 2,
2014

Men

Women

18-24

25-34

35-49

50-64

65+

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Abbott

44

49

40

38

38

43

44

53

Shorten

37

34

41

48

48

37

36

27

Abbott lead

7

15

(1)

(10)

(10)

6

8

26

Neither/ Can’t say

19

17

19

14

14

20

20

20

TOTAL

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100


Electors 18+

Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

Sep 30-Oct 2,
2014

L-NP

ALP

Greens

Palmer

Ind/
Others

Can’t say

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Abbott

44

88

11

6

25

39

19

Shorten

37

3

70

73

23

25

-

Abbott lead

7

85

(59)

(66)

2

14

19

Neither/ Can’t say

19

9

19

21

52

36

81

TOTAL

100

100

100

100

100

100

100


Approval of Leaders – Tony Abbott v Bill Shorten

Prime Minister: Tony Abbott

Electors were asked: “Do you APPROVE or DISAPPROVE of the way Mr. Abbott is handling his job as Prime Minister?”

Prime Minister Julia Gillard

Prime Minister Kevin Rudd

PM Tony Abbott

Sep 17-20,

2012

Nov 27-29,

2012

June 11/12,

2013

July 16/17,
2013

Aug 12/13,
2013

Aug 28/29,
2013

June 4-6,
2014

Sep 30-Oct 2,
2014

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Approve

40

42

27

45

40

36

34

44

Disapprove

51

48

65

40

49

53

59

47

Approve -
Disapprove

(11)