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Mike Baird set to lead L-NP to clear victory in NSW Election

This special SMS Morgan Poll on State voting intention and preferred Premier in New South Wales was conducted over the last few days March 20-23, 2015 with a cross-section of 1,211 New South Wales electors.

A special SMS Morgan Poll on State voting intention conducted over the last few days (March 20-23, 2015) with a representative cross-section of 1,211 New South Wales electors shows the L-NP set for victory in this week’s NSW State Election – L-NP (56%, up 0.5% since March 13-15, 2015) cf. ALP (44%, down 0.5%) on a two-party preferred basis. The NSW Election is on this Saturday.

NEW SOUTH WALES: L-NP will win the State Election easily

2PP: L-NP 56% (up 0.5% since March 13-15, 2015) cf. ALP 44% (down 0.5%).

Primary vote: L-NP 45.5% (down 1%), ALP 32.5% (down 1%), Greens 12% (up 0.5%), Christian Democrats 3% (up 1.5%) and Independents/ Others 7% (unchanged).

Change since the last NSW State Election in 2011

2PP: L-NP 56% (down 8.2% since the 2011 NSW State Election) cf. ALP 44% (up 8.2%).

Primary vote: L-NP 45.5% (down 5.6%), ALP 32.5% (up 6.9%), Greens 12% (up 1.7%), Christian Democrats 3% (down 0.1%) and Independents/ Others 7% (down 2.9%).

Better Premier: Premier Mike Baird (Liberal) v Luke Foley (ALP):
Mr. Baird 65% (up 1%) cf. Mr. Foley 35% (down 1%); Lead to Mr. Baird 30% (up 2%).

New South Wales real unemployment is now 9.4% (down 1% since December–January 2015) and under-employment is 6.9% (down 2.2%). This means total New South Wales unemployment & under-employment is 16.3% (down 3.2%). (Interviewed in January – February 2015).

New South Wales State Election is scheduled for this week, Saturday March 28, 2015.

Gary Morgan says:

“NSW Premier Mike Baird has maintained a significant two-party preferred lead less than a week before New South Wales goes to the polls this Saturday with the L-NP 56% (up 0.5%) well ahead of the ALP 44% (down 0.5%).

“Premier Mike Baird launched the Liberal Party’s New South Wales election campaign on the weekend at the City Recital Hall in Sydney CBD. Baird was joined at the launch by current Prime Minister Tony Abbott – although Abbott didn’t speak, and also former Liberal Prime Minister John Howard.

“Baird promised to create 150,000 jobs if he is elected as Premier in his own right for the first time this Saturday. Baird also promised to invest significant funds in strengthening the health-care sector, improving access to childcare in NSW, introducing $1,000 scholarships for 25,000 TAFE students, a $2,000 incentive payment for small business to hire new workers and also rebates on gas bills for low income families.

“All signs points to a comfortable victory for the NSW L-NP Coalition despite losses in recent elections in Queensland, Victoria and a year ago in South Australia. When asked who they preferred as Premier New South Wales electors clearly favoured Baird 65% (up 1%) cf. Opposition Leader Luke Foley 35% (down 1%).”

 

For the poll-watchers:

Electors were asked: “If a State Election for New South Wales were being held today — which party would receive your first preference?” Electors were then asked: “Thinking of Premier Mike Baird and Opposition Leader Luke Foley. In your opinion, who would make the better Premier?

This special SMS Morgan Poll on State voting intention and preferred Premier in New South Wales was conducted over the last few days March 20-23, 2015 with a cross-section of 1,211 New South Wales electors.


For further information:

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