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‘Honest Government’ and ‘Managing the Economy’ the biggest issues in Higgins, Indi, Mayo & Menzies

Today’s special Snap SMS Roy Morgan survey was carried out last weekend with 308 electors across the four seats of Higgins (Victoria), Indi (Victoria), Mayo (South Australia) and Menzies (Victoria). Electors were asked: “Which candidate are you voting for at the Federal Election?” and provided with a named list of local candidates in each electorate. Electors were also asked “Which of the following issues is most important to you?” and prompted with a list of six issues: Reducing crime, Improving education, Honest Government, Improving health services, Reducing living costs and Managing economy.

‘Honest Government’ and ‘Managing the Economy’ are regarded as the key issues for electors in the four key seats of Higgins, Indi, Mayo and Menzies two weeks before Australians vote in this year’s Federal Election, according to a special Roy Morgan ‘issues’ survey. In total, a cross-section of 308 electors were surveyed across these four seats over the last weekend.

The electorate’s ranking of issues today are very different than found by a Roy Morgan ‘issues’ survey  conducted over the past 30 months since the last Federal Election in September 2013. Over the period before the Federal Election was called the main issues in the electorates were Keeping day-to-day living costs down (31%), Improving health services and hospitals (27%), Managing the economy (23%) and Improving education (20%). Electors were shown a list of issues and asked: “Which three issues are most important to you”.

This week’s Snap SMS Roy Morgan ‘issues’ survey asked respondents: “Which of the following issues is most important to you?” Of the six issues surveyed most frequently mentioned was Honest government (30%) followed by Managing the economy (24%) and Reducing living costs (17%) ahead of Improving health services (13%), Improving education (12%) and Reducing crime (4%).


Four Electorates: Higgins (VIC), Indi (VIC), Mayo (SA) & Menzies (VIC)

Roy Morgan Face-to-Face ‘issues’ survey
(Since Sep 2013 – 2,725 electors)

Snap SMS Roy Morgan ‘issues’ survey
(June 2016 – 308 electors)

Keeping day-to-day living costs down (31%)

Honest government (30%)

Improving health services and hospitals (27%)

Managing economy (24%)

Managing the economy (23%)

Reducing living costs (17%)

Improving education (20%)

Improving health services (13%)

Open and honest government (19%)

Improving education (12%)

Reducing crime and maintaining law and order (10%)

Reducing crime (4%)


Higgins – Green Jason Ball in close contest with incumbent Liberal Kelly O’Dwyer

In Higgins support is split evenly between incumbent Liberal Kelly O’Dwyer and Greens candidate Jason Ball with the remaining third of the vote split between ALP candidate Carl Katter and minor parties.

Liberal supporters in Higgins nominated ‘Managing economy’ as the most important issue ahead of ‘Honest Government’ while Greens supporters nominated ‘Honest Government’ as the most important issue ahead of ‘Improving education’. ALP supporters nominated ‘Improving health services’ ahead of ‘Honest Government’ as the most important issues.

Compared to the Roy Morgan ‘issues’ survey conducted in Higgins since the last Federal Election, ‘Honest Government’ (27%) is now the key issue in Higgins.

Roy Morgan Face-to-Face survey
(Since Sep 2013)

Snap SMS Roy Morgan survey
(June 2016)

Improving education (32%)

Honest Government (27%)

Managing the economy (31%)

Managing economy (23%)

Improving health services and hospitals (31%)

Improving education (20%)

Open and honest government (24%)

Reducing living costs (15%)

Keeping day-to-day living costs down (22%)

Improving health services (10%)

Reducing crime and maintaining law and order (4%)

Reducing crime (4%)


Indi – Independent Cathy McGowan in strong position to retain seat

In Indi support for Independent Cathy McGowan has solidified in recent weeks and McGowan looks set to be returned as the split vote between Liberal Sophie Mirabella and National Marty Corboy gives McGowan a significant lead on primary votes. Preferences to McGowan from ALP candidate Eric Kerr, Greens candidate Jenny O’Connor and other candidates puts McGowan in a good position to be re-elected.

Supporters of McGowan nominated ‘Improving health services’ as the most important issue in Indi followed by ‘Honest Government’ whereas Liberal (and National) supporters nominated ‘Managing economy’ and ‘Honest Government’ as the most important issues.

Compared to the Roy Morgan Research ‘issues’ survey since the last Federal Election in Indi, ‘Honest Government’ (32%) has increased substantially while ‘Reducing living costs’ (20%) has decreased as a key issue in Indi.

Roy Morgan Face-to-Face survey
(Since Sep 2013)

Snap SMS Roy Morgan survey
(June 2016)

Keeping day-to-day living costs down (39%)

Honest Government (32%)

Improving health services (22%)

Managing economy (21%)

Open and honest government (16%)

Reducing living costs (20%)

Improving education (15%)

Improving health services (12%)

Managing the economy (14%)

Improving education (9%)

Reducing crime and maintaining law and order (12%)

Reducing crime (5%)


Mayo – NXT candidate Rebekha Sharkie in strong position

In Mayo support for Nick Xenophon Team (NXT) candidate Rebekha Sharkie is surging in recent weeks and Sharkie is well positioned to win NXT’s first Lower House seat at next week’s Federal Election – as also suggested last week in a separate Roy Morgan release  – ‘Nick Xenophon Team looks likely to nick L-NP seats of Mayo & Grey’.

Two weeks before the Federal Election Sharkie leads Liberal incumbent Jamie Briggs with other candidates including ALP candidate Glen Dallimore and Greens candidate Nathan Daniell trailing well behind the insurgent.

Supporters of Sharkie clearly nominated ‘Honest Government’ as the most important issue in Mayo followed by ‘Improving health services’ and ‘Reducing living costs’ while supporters of Briggs nominated ‘Managing economy’ followed by ‘Reducing living costs’ as the most important issue.

Compared to the Roy Morgan ‘issues’ survey conducted since the last Federal Election in Mayo, ‘Honest Government’ (29%) is now the clear leader as the most important issue while ‘Managing economy’ (24%) and ‘Reducing living costs’ (22%) are next.

Roy Morgan Face-to-Face survey
(Since Sep 2013)

Snap SMS Roy Morgan survey
(June 2016)

Keeping day-to-day living costs down (32%)

Honest Government (29%)

Improving health services and hospitals (27%)

Managing economy (24%)

Open and honest government (24%)

Reducing living costs (22%)

Managing the economy (24%)

Improving health services (13%)

Improving education (14%)

Improving education (9%)

Reducing crime and maintaining law and order (9%)

Reducing crime (1%)


Menzies – Preferences to decide if Liberal Kevin Andrews holds seat

In Menzies support is fairly evenly split between incumbent Liberal Kevin Andrews, high-profile Independent candidate Stephen Mayne and ALP candidate Adam Rundell – no candidate in the seat appears to have significant support in this special Snap SMS Roy Morgan survey.

Supporters of both Andrews and Mayne nominated ‘Managing economy’ as the most important issue ahead of ‘Honest Government’ in Menzies, whereas ALP supporters nominated ‘Improving education’ as the most important issue, as did supporters of Greens candidate Richard Cranston.

Compared to the Roy Morgan ‘issues’ survey conducted since the last Federal Election in Mayo, ‘Honest Government’ (30%) has increased substantially to be the most important issue in Menzies ahead of ‘Managing economy’ (27%) and ‘Improving health services’ (17%) – which have both been regarded as important issues in the electorate since the last Federal Election.

Roy Morgan Face-to-Face survey
(Since Sep 2013)

Snap SMS Roy Morgan survey
(June 2016)

Keeping day-to-day living costs down (28%)

Honest Government (30%)

Improving health services and hospitals (28%)

Managing economy (27%)

Managing the economy (22%)

Improving health services (17%)

Improving education (20%)

Improving education (11%)

Reducing crime and maintaining law and order (16%)

Reducing living costs (10%)

Open and honest government (13%)

Reducing crime (5%)


Gary Morgan, Executive Chairman, Roy Morgan Research, says:

“Today’s special Snap SMS Roy Morgan ‘issues’ survey shows ‘Honest Government’ and ‘Managing the economy’ are clearly the two most important issues across the four electorates of Higgins, Indi, Mayo and Menzies - all of which will be closely watched next week on election night.

“Cathy McGowan – the Independent member for Indi in country Victoria looks set to be returned in a multi-faceted contest  against the Liberals, Nationals, ALP, Greens and Others; whilst Nick Xenophon Team (NXT) candidate Rebekah Sharkie is in a good position to win NXT’s first Lower House seat in Mayo, currently held by former Liberal Minister Jamie Briggs.

“There is a tight contest in the outer metropolitan Melbourne electorate of Menzies – the only electorate in suburban Melbourne not serviced by a train line – between Liberal MP Kevin Andrews and high profile independent Melbourne City Councillor Stephen Mayne; while the contest is ‘too close to call’ in the leafy Eastern suburbs of Melbourne electorate of Higgins between Liberal incumbent Kelly O’Dwyer and Greens challenger Jason Ball.”


Today’s special Snap SMS Roy Morgan ‘issues’ survey was conducted last weekend with 308 electors across the four seats of Higgins (Victoria), Indi (Victoria), Mayo (South Australia) and Menzies (Victoria).

Electors were asked: “Which candidate are you voting for at the Federal Election?” and provided with a named list of local candidates in each electorate. Electors were also asked “Which of the following issues is most important to you?” and prompted with a list of six issues: Reducing crime, Improving education, Honest Government, Improving health services, Reducing living costs and Managing economy.


For further information:

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