These are the main insights from the special Roy Morgan telephone survey conducted over the three nights of October 18-20, 2016, with an Australia-wide cross-section of 656 men and women aged 14 or over.
Clear majorities of Australians support Muslim immigration (58% cf. 33% oppose) and Asylum seeker immigration (66% cf. 25% oppose), although even larger majorities of Australians support both Family reunion immigration (74% cf. 21% oppose) and Skilled migrant immigration (77% cf. 18% oppose) according to a special Roy Morgan survey conducted over three nights last week with a nationally representative cross-section of 656 Australians aged 14+.
Muslim Immigration
Support for Muslim immigration is down 7% from a year ago (65% support in October 2015), although it is up 4% from July 2010 (54% support).
Importantly, a majority of L-NP supporters (51% support cf. 36% oppose), ALP supporters (67% support cf. 25% oppose), Greens supporters (88% support cf. 5% oppose) and supporters of Independents/ Others (58% support cf. 34% oppose) all support Muslim immigration.
However, the overwhelming majority of One Nation supporters are opposed to Muslim immigration (87% opposed cf. 4% support).
Immigration Levels & Population
Now 40% (up 3%) of Australians support immigration remaining about the same and a further 21% (down 11%) want to see immigration levels increased; this constitutes a clear majority of Australians 61% (down 8%) who support immigration remaining the same or increasing while 34% (up 8%) want immigration levels reduced and 5% (unchanged) can’t say.
Australians are split on the effect of immigrants on Australia’s culture and way of life: However, there has been a negative shift in the last year – back to lower than recorded in 2010. 32% (down 5%) of Australians believe immigration has a positive effect on Australia; 32% (up 1%) believe immigration has a negative effect while 25% (up 6%) believe immigration has little effect and 11% (down 2%) can’t say.
Most Australians want relatively moderate population growth – 34% (up 2%) want a population under 30 million in 2046, and only 24% (down 6%) want a population of 35 million or more. This is a shift away from growth levels that were seen as acceptable a year ago – but nowhere near the 2010 levels when 56% wanted a population under 30 million in the year 2040.
Gary Morgan says:
“Today’s special Roy Morgan survey conducted over three nights last week shows a clear majority of Australians (58%) support Muslim immigration compared to only 33% that oppose. Even larger majorities of Australians support Asylum seeker immigration (66% cf. 25% oppose), Family reunion immigration (74% cf. 21% oppose) and Skilled migration (77% cf. 18% oppose).
“Importantly, majorities of supporters of Australia’s major political parties support Muslim immigration as well – 51% of L-NP supporters (cf. 36% oppose); 67% of ALP supporters (cf. 25% oppose); 88% of Greens supporters (cf. 5% oppose). Only supporters of a resurgent One Nation party are strongly opposed to Muslim immigration – 87% opposed cf. 4% support.
“Today’s Roy Morgan survey results are in stark contrast to a well-publicised poll conducted by Essential Research in September which showed one-in-two Australians (49%) would support a ban on Muslim immigration compared to 40% of Australians that would oppose such a ban.
“Previous Roy Morgan surveys have consistently showed a majority of Australians support Muslim immigration: 65% of Australians supported Muslim immigration a year ago in October 2015 (full results here) compared to 28% that opposed; and in July 2010 54% of Australians supported Muslim immigration compared to 35% that were opposed (full results here).”
“However, across a number of questions relating to immigration, and the ideal size for Australia, there has been a shift away from supporting growth and immigration over the last year. This is not back to the levels recorded in 2010 but does give a clear sense that Australians are becoming less open to immigration."
These are the main insights from the special Roy Morgan telephone survey conducted over the three nights of October 18-20, 2016, with an Australia-wide cross-section of 656 men and women aged 14 or over. For the ‘poll-watchers’ out there this latest telephone Morgan Poll revealed a two-party preferred lead for the ALP 55% cf. L-NP 45% based on how a cross-section of 588 Australian electors said they would vote.
Immigration Levels
When Australians were asked: “Over the last year (2015) about 180,000 immigrants came to Australia. Do you think the number of people coming here to live permanently should be increased, or reduced, or remain about the same?”
Of Australians 21% (down 11%) said that immigration should be ‘increased,’ while 34% (up 8%) say it should be ‘reduced’ and 40% (up 3%) say it should ‘remain about the same.’ Only 5% (unchanged) of Australians can’t say.
| |
Australians 14+
|
|
|
| |
July
1952*
|
July
1955*
|
May
1956*
|
Jan
1959*
|
Feb
1969*
|
Oct
1970*
|
Mar
2010
|
July
2010
|
Oct
2015
|
Oct 18-20,
2016
|
| |
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Remain about
the same
|
29
|
39
|
40
|
33
|
45
|
45
|
45
|
47
|
37
|
40
|
|
Increased
|
14
|
10
|
8
|
26
|
19
|
12
|
9
|
11
|
32
|
21
|
|
Remain the same or Increased
|
43
|
49
|
48
|
59
|
64
|
57
|
54
|
58
|
69
|
61
|
|
Reduced
|
52
|
45
|
45
|
34
|
26
|
38
|
41
|
40
|
26
|
34
|
|
Can’t say
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
7
|
10
|
5
|
5
|
2
|
5
|
5
|
|
Total
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
* In 1952 immigration level asked about was not stated; 1955 & 1956 – 125,000; 1959 – 100,000; 1969 – 160,000; 1970 – 180,000; 2010 – 170,000; 2013/14 – 210,000.
| |
Electors
|
Analysis by Voting Intention
|
| |
Oct 18-20,
2016
|
L-NP
|
ALP
|
Greens
|
One Nation#
|
Other#
|
Can’t
say#
|
| |
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Remain about
the same
|
39
|
49
|
38
|
30
|
8
|
42
|
18
|
|
Increased
|
22
|
11
|
31
|
61
|
0
|
11
|
2
|
|
Remain the same or Increased
|
61
|
60
|
69
|
91
|
8
|
53
|
20
|
|
Reduced
|
34
|
36
|
28
|
6
|
92
|
37
|
72
|
|
Can’t say
|
5
|
4
|
3
|
3
|
0
|
10
|
8
|
|
Total
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
*The results for political affiliation are based only on interviews conducted with Australian electors. (1952 – 1970 electors were aged 21 & over. Whereas for 2010 electors are now aged 18 & over). # Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution.
| |
|
Analysis by Sex and Age
|
| |
Oct 18-20,
2016
|
Men
|
Women
|
18-34
|
35-49
|
50-64
|
65+
|
| |
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Remain about
the same
|
40
|
47
|
34
|
36
|
43
|
39
|
44
|
|
Increased
|
21
|
16
|
26
|
25
|
20
|
24
|
9
|
|
Remain the same or Increased
|
61
|
63
|
60
|
61
|
63
|
63
|
53
|
|
Reduced
|
34
|
33
|
35
|
37
|
28
|
34
|
45
|
|
Can’t say
|
5
|
4
|
5
|
2
|
9
|
3
|
2
|
|
Total
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
| |
|
Analysis by States & Regions
|
| |
Oct 18-20,
2016
|
Capital
Cities
|
Country
Areas
|
NSW
|
Vic
|
Qld
|
SA
|
WA
|
Tas
|
| |
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Remain about
the same
|
40
|
51
|
32
|
32
|
25
|
44
|
43
|
47
|
41
|
|
Increased
|
21
|
25
|
18
|
26
|
33
|
23
|
14
|
12
|
13
|
|
Remain the same or Increased
|
61
|
76
|
50
|
58
|
58
|
67
|
57
|
59
|
54
|
|
Reduced
|
34
|
20
|
46
|
35
|
37
|
28
|
42
|
37
|
41
|
|
Can’t say
|
5
|
4
|
4
|
7
|
5
|
5
|
1
|
4
|
5
|
|
Total
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
Immigrants effect on Australian Life
Respondents were then asked: “Judging by what you see and hear, do you think immigrants are changing Australia’s culture and way of life – or having little effect.”
Respondents who responded that immigrants are changing us were then asked: “Do you think immigrants are changing Australia’s culture and way of life for better or for worse?”
However, there has been a negative shift in the last year, back to levels lower than seen in 2010. Now 32% (down 5%) say ‘better’ while 32% (up 1%) say ‘worse’ and 36% can’t say or believe there has been little effect.
| |
Australians 14+
|
|
Analysis by Voting Intention
|
| |
July
2010
|
Oct
2015
|
Oct 18-20,
2016
|
Electors
|
L-NP
|
ALP
|
Greens
|
One
Nation#
|
Other#
|
Can’t
say#
|
| |
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Better
|
33
|
37
|
32
|
34
|
28
|
38
|
56
|
-
|
39
|
12
|
|
Worse
|
30
|
31
|
32
|
30
|
39
|
18
|
5
|
84
|
27
|
79
|
|
Can’t say
(Better or Worse)
|
13
|
10
|
8
|
9
|
8
|
8
|
11
|
6
|
14
|
3
|
|
They’re changing us
|
76
|
78
|
72
|
73
|
75
|
64
|
72
|
90
|
80
|
94
|
|
Having little effect
|
21
|
19
|
25
|
23
|
19
|
31
|
25
|
10
|
20
|
-
|
|
Can’t say (Immigrants
changing us)
|
3
|
3
|
3
|
4
|
6
|
5
|
3
|
-
|
-
|
6
|
|
|
Total
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution.
| |
|
Analysis by Sex and Age
|
| |
Oct 18-20,
2016
|
Men
|
Women
|
18-34
|
35-49
|
50-64
|
65+
|
| |
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Better
|
32
|
25
|
39
|
34
|
33
|
29
|
29
|
|
Worse
|
32
|
35
|
29
|
35
|
23
|
38
|
35
|
|
Can’t say
(Better or Worse)
|
8
|
8
|
9
|
5
|
5
|
12
|
12
|
|
They’re changing us
|
72
|
68
|
77
|
74
|
61
|
79
|
76
|
|
Having little effect
|
25
|
31
|
18
|
22
|
34
|
19
|
23
|
|
Can’t say (Immigrations
changing us)
|
3
|
1
|
5
|
4
|
5
|
2
|
1
|
|
Total
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
| |
|
Analysis by States & Regions
|
| |
Oct 18-20,
2016
|
Capital
Cities
|
Country
Areas
|
NSW
|
Vic
|
Qld
|
SA
|
WA
|
Tas
|
| |
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Better
|
32
|
42
|
23
|
30
|
49
|
32
|
21
|
10
|
30
|
|
Worse
|
32
|
20
|
41
|
31
|
24
|
28
|
37
|
49
|
34
|
|
Can’t say
(Better or Worse)
|
8
|
7
|
9
|
9
|
9
|
9
|
12
|
13
|
-
|
|
They’re changing us
|
72
|
69
|
73
|
70
|
82
|
69
|
70
|
72
|
64
|
|
Having little effect
|
25
|
25
|
24
|
21
|
13
|
30
|
29
|
28
|
27
|
|
Can’t say (Immigrations
changing us)
|
3
|
6
|
3
|
9
|
5
|
1
|
1
|
0
|
9
|
|
Total
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
Australian Population Size
Respondents were then asked: “Australia’s population has increased by 6 million from 18 million to just over 24 million over the last 20 years. What population do you think we should aim to have in Australia in 30 years – that is, by 2046?”
| |
Australians 14+
|
|
Analysis by Voting Intention
|
| |
July
2010
|
Oct
2015
|
Oct 18-20,
2016
|
Electors
|
L-NP
|
ALP
|
Greens
|
One
Nation#
|
Other#
|
Can’t
say#
|
| |
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Under 30 million
|
56
|
32
|
34
|
36
|
35
|
32
|
24
|
77
|
38
|
62
|
|
30 – Under 35 million
|
22
|
27
|
24
|
25
|
33
|
19
|
31
|
7
|
28
|
18
|
|
Total under 35 million
|
78
|
59
|
58
|
61
|
68
|
51
|
55
|
84
|
66
|
80
|
|
35 million or more
|
13
|
30
|
24
|
23
|
20
|
28
|
28
|
10
|
23
|
2
|
|
Can’t say
|
9
|
11
|
18
|
16
|
12
|
21
|
17
|
6
|
11
|
18
|
|
|
Total
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution.
| |
|
Analysis by Sex and Age
|
| |
Oct 18-20,
2016
|
Men
|
Women
|
18-34
|
35-49
|
50-64
|
65+
|
| |
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Under 30 million
|
34
|
40
|
29
|
31
|
39
|
43
|
30
|
|
30 – Under 35 million
|
24
|
28
|
20
|
30
|
18
|
20
|
27
|
|
Total under 35 million
|
58
|
68
|
49
|
61
|
57
|
63
|
57
|
|
35 million or more
|
24
|
22
|
27
|
28
|
26
|
23
|
16
|
|
Can’t say
|
18
|
10
|
24
|
11
|
17
|
14
|
27
|
|
Total
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
| |
|
Analysis by States & Regions
|
| |
Oct 18-20,
2016
|
Capital
Cities
|
Country
Areas
|
NSW
|
Vic
|
Qld
|
SA
|
WA
|
Tas
|
| |
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Under 30 million
|
34
|
28
|
40
|
42
|
27
|
29
|
40
|
40
|
39
|
|
30 – Under 35 million
|
24
|
29
|
20
|
17
|
22
|
27
|
30
|
23
|
23
|
|
Total under 35 million
|
58
|
57
|
60
|
59
|
49
|
56
|
70
|
63
|
62
|
|
35 million or more
|
24
|
28
|
22
|
31
|
34
|
28
|
13
|
26
|
15
|
|
Can’t say
|
18
|
15
|
18
|
10
|
17
|
16
|
17
|
11
|
23
|
|
Total
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
Types of Immigrant to Australia
Respondents were then asked: “Please say whether you support or oppose (Muslim / Asylum seeker/ Skilled migrant/ Family reunion) immigration?”
Muslim immigration
| |
Australians 14+
|
|
Analysis by Voting Intention
|
| |
July
2010
|
Oct
2015
|
Oct 18-20,
2016
|
Electors
|
L-NP
|
ALP
|
Greens
|
One
Nation#
|
Other#
|
Can’t
say#
|
| |
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Support
|
54
|
65
|
58
|
59
|
51
|
67
|
88
|
4
|
58
|
49
|
|
Oppose
|
35
|
28
|
33
|
32
|
36
|
25
|
5
|
87
|
34
|
37
|
|
Can’t say
|
11
|
7
|
9
|
9
|
13
|
8
|
7
|
9
|
8
|
14
|
|
Total
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution.
| |
|
Analysis by Sex and Age
|
| |
Oct 18-20,
2016
|
Men
|
Women
|
18-34
|
35-49
|
50-64
|
65+
|
| |
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Support
|
58
|
51
|
65
|
63
|
67
|
54
|
40
|
|
Oppose
|
33
|
37
|
29
|
31
|
25
|
30
|
52
|
|
Can’t say
|
9
|
12
|
6
|
6
|
8
|
16
|
8
|
|
Total
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
| |
|
Analysis by States & Regions
|
| |
Oct 18-20,
2016
|
Capital
Cities
|
Country
Areas
|
NSW
|
Vic
|
Qld
|
SA
|
WA
|
Tas
|
| |
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Support
|
58
|
67
|
51
|
53
|
70
|
56
|
63
|
44
|
56
|
|
Oppose
|
33
|
24
|
40
|
35
|
25
|
32
|
28
|
44
|
36
|
|
Can’t say
|
9
|
9
|
9
|
12
|
5
|
12
|
9
|
12
|
8
|
|
Total
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
Asylum seeker immigration
| |
Australians 14+
|
|
Analysis by Voting Intention
|
| |
July
2010
|
Oct
2015
|
Oct 18-20,
2016
|
Electors
|
L-NP
|
ALP
|
Greens
|
One
Nation#
|
Other#
|
Can’t
say#
|
| |
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Support
|
52
|
71
|
66
|
65
|
59
|
70
|
91
|
43
|
57
|
39
|
|
Oppose
|
39
|
21
|
25
|
26
|
30
|
21
|
3
|
52
|
33
|
37
|
|
Can’t say
|
9
|
8
|
9
|
9
|
11
|
9
|
6
|
5
|
10
|
24
|
|
Total
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution.
| |
|
Analysis by Sex and Age
|
| |
Oct 18-20,
2016
|
Men
|
Women
|
18-34
|
35-49
|
50-64
|
65+
|
| |
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Support
|
66
|
65
|
66
|
77
|
68
|
63
|
49
|
|
Oppose
|
25
|
24
|
26
|
14
|
23
|
29
|
40
|
|
Can’t say
|
9
|
11
|
8
|
9
|
9
|
8
|
11
|
|
Total
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
| |
|
Analysis by States & Regions
|
| |
Oct 18-20,
2016
|
Capital
Cities
|
Country
Areas
|
NSW
|
Vic
|
Qld
|
SA
|
WA
|
Tas
|
| |
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Support
|
66
|
72
|
61
|
63
|
60
|
64
|
70
|
64
|
69
|
|
Oppose
|
25
|
17
|
32
|
27
|
30
|
24
|
28
|
24
|
23
|
|
Can’t say
|
9
|
11
|
7
|
10
|
10
|
12
|
2
|
12
|
8
|
|
Total
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
Skilled migrant immigration
| |
Australians 14+
|
|
Analysis by Voting Intention
|
| |
July
2010
|
Oct
2015
|
Oct 18-20,
2016
|
Electors
|
L-NP
|
ALP
|
Greens
|
One
Nation#
|
Other#
|
Can’t
say#
|
| |
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Support
|
88
|
89
|
77
|
77
|
81
|
74
|
94
|
44
|
83
|
51
|
|
Oppose
|
10
|
8
|
18
|
18
|
14
|
19
|
-
|
51
|
17
|
47
|
|
Can’t say
|
2
|
3
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
7
|
6
|
5
|
-
|
2
|
|
Total
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
11
|
100
|
100
|
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution.
| |
|
Analysis by Sex and Age
|
| |
Oct 18-20,
2016
|
Men
|
Women
|
18-34
|
35-49
|
50-64
|
65+
|
| |
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Support
|
77
|
81
|
73
|
75
|
78
|
79
|
77
|
|
Oppose
|
18
|
14
|
22
|
20
|
20
|
14
|
22
|
|
Can’t say
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
2
|
7
|
1
|
|
Total
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
| |
|
Analysis by States & Regions
|
| |
Oct 18-20,
2016
|
Capital
Cities
|
Country
Areas
|
NSW
|
Vic
|
Qld
|
SA
|
WA
|
Tas
|
| |
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Support
|
77
|
86
|
70
|
88
|
76
|
84
|
87
|
78
|
46
|
|
Oppose
|
18
|
9
|
25
|
8
|
19
|
12
|
13
|
19
|
42
|
|
Can’t say
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
4
|
5
|
4
|
-
|
3
|
12
|
|
Total
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
Family reunion immigration
| |
Australians 14+
|
|
Analysis by Voting Intention
|
| |
July
2010
|
Oct
2015
|
Oct 18-20,
2016
|
Electors
|
L-NP
|
ALP
|
Greens
|
One
Nation#
|
Other#
|
Can’t
say#
|
| |
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Support
|
75
|
79
|
74
|
74
|
70
|
82
|
94
|
26
|
65
|
65
|
|
Oppose
|
16
|
16
|
21
|
20
|
22
|
13
|
5
|
66
|
26
|
25
|
|
Can’t say
|
9
|
5
|
5
|
6
|
8
|
5
|
1
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
|
Total
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution.
| |
|
Analysis by Sex and Age
|
| |
Oct 18-20,
2016
|
Men
|
Women
|
18-34
|
35-49
|
50-64
|
65+
|
| |
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Support
|
74
|
71
|
77
|
74
|
75
|
80
|
61
|
|
Oppose
|
21
|
24
|
19
|
25
|
16
|
17
|
32
|
|
Can’t say
|
5
|
5
|
4
|
1
|
9
|
3
|
7
|
|
Total
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
| |
|
Analysis by States & Regions
|
| |
Oct 18-20,
2016
|
Capital
Cities
|
Country
Areas
|
NSW
|
Vic
|
Qld
|
SA
|
WA
|
Tas
|
| |
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Support
|
74
|
84
|
66
|
67
|
82
|
76
|
73
|
77
|
68
|
|
Oppose
|
21
|
12
|
29
|
22
|
13
|
18
|
26
|
18
|
32
|
|
Can’t say
|
5
|
4
|
5
|
11
|
5
|
6
|
1
|
5
|
-
|
|
Total
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
Margin of Error
The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. The following table gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. The figures are approximate and for general guidance only, and assume a simple random sample. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate.
|
Sample Size
|
Percentage Estimate
|
|
40%-60%
|
25% or 75%
|
10% or 90%
|
5% or 95%
|
|
500
|
±4.5
|
±3.9
|
±2.7
|
±1.9
|
|
1,000
|
±3.2
|
±2.7
|
±1.9
|
±1.4
|
|
1,500
|
±2.6
|
±2.2
|
±1.5
|
±1.1
|
|
2,000
|
±2.2
|
±1.9
|
±1.3
|
±1.0
|
For further information:
|
Contact
|
Office
|
Mobile
|
|
Gary Morgan:
|
+61 3 9224 5213
|
+61 411 129 094
|
|
Michele Levine:
|
+61 3 9224 5215
|
+61 411 129 093
|