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ABIX-Roy Morgan Daily News Summary Melbourne Cup 2016 Tips

“There are two kind of people who make predictions. Those that don't know and those that don't know they don't know.” Importantly I am the former… So here goes…..

Qewy – Heartbreak City – Grey Lion – Oceanographer - Almandin - Jameka

There are two kind of people who make predictions. Those that don't know and those that don't know they don't know.” Importantly I am the former… So here goes…..

  1. My top pick is the Geelong Cup hero Qewy who won it by leading all the way when he was a sitting duck. He has absolutely beaten the handicapper for mine. He just qualified into the field which is an art, and he is 9 kg below weight for age with 50.5 kg. In the UK he had two unlucky seconds in high quality handicaps at Royal Ascot and Glorious Goodwood where he unluckily flew home on each occasion to just be beaten carrying 61kg. Here in Melbourne he drops a massive 10kg and he can sit on the pace as doesn’t have to lead. He beat his stablemate Oceanographer even though he was a sitting duck and Oceanographer is $6.50 and Qewy is $26.

  2. For second place I have decided on Heartbreak City. He has won 4 of 5 starts in 2016. Last start he won the major European staying handicap the Ebor by 4 lengths. He is to be ridden by the world's leading jockey Jo Moreira. He has all the qualifications.

  3. My number three selection is the fabulous looking Grey Lion who was a gutsy second at Geelong. He is also very well in on the weights. I had a gorgeous Auntie Betty Magennis who used to say if you don’t know who to back then back the grey because at least you get the pleasure of seeing him in the run. By Gallileo he looks a serious improver.

  4. The third placegetter at Geelong was Oceanographer who subsequently won the Hotham Handicap on Saturday. Amazingly he ran his last 1000 m in 56.8 seconds. Backing horses that come from a mile behind is fraught with problems in the Cup but again he is still well in with only 52kg.

  5. You always need a Lloyd Williams horse in your first 5 and I have gone for Almandin who was most impressive winning his last start.

  6. I would love to see the locally bred trained Jameka win. Carrying weight for age is tough but her sire didn’t win beyond 1600m and won the equivalent of the Golden Slipper in France. Her mother was by super sprinter General Nedyim and it is not until the third dam that you find the super UK Derby winning staying stallion The Minstrel. But then Madam Melba’s sister couldn’t sing a note. For all Victorian Breeders. Go Jameka.


So in summary in order

No.  23. Qewy [$26]

No. 13.  Heartbreak City [$15]

No.  19. Grey Lion [$40]

No.  20.  Oceanographer [$6,50]

No.  17.  Almandin   [$15]

No   12  Jameka [$8.00]

I am going to box these numbers 12…13..17..19..20..23.. in the quinella, the trifecta and the first four.

Good luck.


If you want to see the run of Qewy Grey Lion and Oceanographer at Geelong Here is the link.
https://twitter.com/Racing/status/788607023965405185?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

If you want to see Heartbreak City win the Ebor here is the link.
https://www.racing.com/news/2016-10-10/2016-internationals-heartbreak-city