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Wayne Swan’s Sixth Federal Budget worse than expected, and 25-34 year olds the most unhappy age group

Finding No. 4931 – This special SMS pre Federal Budget and post Federal Budget Morgan Poll was conducted on May 10-12, 2013 (Pre Federal Budget) and May 21-22 (Post Federal Budget). This SMS poll was conducted with 1,409 Australian electors in both interviewing periods.
A special SMS Morgan Poll conducted in the days before the Federal Budget (May 10-12, 2013) and after the Budget had been well publicised by the media (May 21-22, 2013) with the same electors shows that 86% of Australian electors said that last week’s Budget did not benefit them – very similar to the 84% who thought the Budget would provide no benefit to their families when interviewed pre-Budget. In comparison, only 14% of electors said the Budget benefited them post Budget down from 16% who beforehand thought it would benefit them and their families.

There was little difference between the sexes with 86% of Men saying post Budget the Budget did not benefit them and their families compared to 84% before the Budget and 87% of Women saying the Budget did not benefit them and their families compared to 84% beforehand.

As one would expect, ALP voters are much more positive about the Budget than supporters of other parties. Post Budget 30% of ALP supporters said the Budget benefited them and their families, slightly fewer than pre-Budget when 32% expected the Budget would benefit them, compared to just 3% of Liberal supporters who said the Budget benefited them and their families, down from 6% pre-Budget who expected the Budget to benefit them.

All age groups except electors aged 65 or more said the Budget was worse for them and their families than expected beforehand. Ninety percent of electors aged 25-34 years (the highest of any age group) said the Budget did not benefit them and their families compared to 83% before the Budget was delivered. Of electors aged 65 or more 80% said the Budget did not benefit them and their families post Budget compared to a higher 83% who said the Budget did not benefit them and their families before the Budget was delivered.

Gary Morgan says:

“This special SMS Morgan Poll conducted with the same group of respondents pre-Budget (May 10-12, 2013) and post-Budget (May 21-22, 2013) shows Australian electors were less impressed with the Federal Budget after it was delivered (86% said the Federal Budget did not benefit them and their family) than before (84% expected the Federal Budget to benefit them and their family).

“There was little difference in the opinion of both Men and Women in relation to the Federal Budget. After the Budget was delivered 86% of Men and 87% of Women said the Budget did not benefit them and their families which was slightly up on the pre-Budget figures when 84% of Men and 84% of Women expected the Budget would not benefit them and their families.

“However, when analysing by age-group, the biggest change for the worse was amongst the age-group associated with young families (25-34yr olds). Beforehand, 83% of 25-34yr olds didn’t expect the Budget to benefit them and their families and after the Budget, this rose to 90% saying the Budget did not benefit them and their families – the highest of any age group. Clearly, Wayne Swan’s decision to remove the $5,000 baby bonus has not impressed the young adults in this age group (25-34) considering starting a family.”

This special SMS pre Federal Budget and post Federal Budget Morgan Poll was conducted on May 10-12, 2013 (Pre Federal Budget) and May 21-22 (Post Federal Budget). This SMS poll was conducted with 1,409 Australian electors in both interviewing periods.

Questions

Pre-Budget: “Do you think the 2013 Federal Budget will benefit you and your family?”

Post Budget: “Did last Tuesday’s Federal Budget benefit you and your family?”

Voting Intention

ALP

Liberal

National

Greens

Other

Can’t say

Total

PRE BUDGET

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes

32

6

6

26

7

8

16

No

68

94

94

74

93

92

84

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

POST BUDGET

Yes

30

3

4

22

10

-

14

No

70

97

96

78

90

100

86

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

Age & Gender

Gender

Age

Men

Women

18-24

25-34

35-49

50-64

65+

PRE BUDGET

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes

16

16

21

17

14

16

17

No

84

84

79

83

86

84

83

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

POST BUDGET

Yes

14

13

17

10

12

13

20

No

86

87

83

90

88

87

80

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100


For further information:

Contact

Office

Mobile

Gary Morgan:

+61 3 9224 5213

+61 411 129 094

Michele Levine:

+61 3 9224 5215

+61 411 129 093