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Education, Taxation, Quality of Government and Politicians are the most important things the Federal Government can fix as the Federal Election looms

These are the main findings of a Morgan Poll of 546 electors conducted by telephone throughout Australia on the nights of June 4-6, 2013. Electors were asked: “Thinking about YOURSELF. What could the FEDERAL GOVERNMENT do, that would MOST BENEFIT YOU and YOUR FAMILY?"

Increased spending on Education, HELP fees (12% down 4% since October 2007) is the most important thing that the Federal Government could do that would most benefit electors and their families.

This is a marked change from the issue that has dominated voters’ thoughts heading into previous elections, as Taxation (11%) is at its lowest recorded level, down from 14% in October 2007, and 30% in October 2001 heading into the November 2001 Election. The Quality of Government & Politicians (10%, up 9%) is at its highest ever level heading into this year’s Federal Election and Social welfare and the Aged (9%, down 3%) is also seen as an important issue for the Government to improve.

Health (6%, down 21% from October 2007) has decreased markedly in the minds of electors to be at its lowest level yet. Other important issues include Reducing the cost of living (6%, up 5%), Child and youth services (5%, up 1%), Economy and Finance (4%, up 3%), Unemployment (4%, up 3%), Immigration (3%, up 2%) and Industry & Business (3%, up 1%). Concern about Interest rates (1%, down 6%) has become a less important issue for electors following seven consecutive interest rate decreases since the last election in 2010.

Analysis by Federal voting intention shows that Education, HELP fees are the biggest concern of The Greens supporters (22%) and ALP supporters (16%) although not L-NP supporters (7%). Taxation is a large concern for both L-NP and ALP supporters at 13% while Quality of Government/ Politicians is mentioned by far more L-NP supporters (12%) than ALP supporters (7%) and Greens supporters (4%).

Social Welfare and the Aged is a major concern of all Parties; ALP supporters (10%) followed by L-NP supporters (9%) and Greens supporters (9%). The Economy and Finance is mentioned by 7% of L-NP supporters compared to only 1% of ALP supporters. Health is a larger concern for Greens supporters (10%) than either L-NP supporters (7%) or ALP supporters (4%). In contrast, supporting Industry and Business was mentioned by far more L-NP supporters (6%) than either Greens supporters (5%) or ALP supporters (0%).

Gary Morgan says:

“Heading into this year’s Federal Election Australian electors want the Federal Government to spend more on Education and dealing with HELP fees (12%, down 4% since October 2007). This shows the Federal Government’s Gonski Review into school funding is important to many electors however Prime Minister Gillard needs to get more States 'signed up' before her self-imposed June 30 deadline. At present only New South Wales, South Australia and the ACT have signed up to the Gonski funding arrangements. 

“Despite falling to its lowest ever level Taxation (11%, down 3%) is still an important issue for many Australians – particularly the Carbon Tax and the Mining Tax. However, the issue that has increased remarkably over the last six years as something the Federal Government should do that would most benefit electors and their families is the Quality of Government & Politicians (10%, up 9% - now at a record high).

“Former Prime Minister John Howard was defeated at the 2007 Federal Election with this issue barely rated as a concern for Australian electors. Clearly the high level of dissatisfaction with the Government and politicians in general is a major problem for the Gillard Government less than three months away from a Federal Election most assume it will lose. The latest Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention shows the L-NP (53.5%) cf. ALP (46.5%) on a two-party preferred basis.”


These are the main findings of a Morgan Poll of 546 electors conducted by telephone throughout Australia on the nights of June 4-6, 2013. Electors were asked: “Thinking about YOURSELF. What could the FEDERAL GOVERNMENT do, that would MOST BENEFIT YOU and YOUR FAMILY?"

What could the Federal Government do that would be of most benefit to you and your family?

ANALYSIS BY YEAR

 

All Electors

 

Nov

Feb

Nov

Mar

Oct

Dec

May

May

May

Oct

Jun

Summary Issues

‘95

‘99

‘99

'01

'01

'02

'03

‘04

‘07

‘07

‘13

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Taxation/Lower taxes

n/a

18

15

12

13

15

26

25

15

11

7

Tax reform

n/a

3

*

5

4

6

5

5

1

1

1

Taxation/no GST

n/a

4

3

8

12

3

3

3

2

1

*

Other tax issues incl Carbon

n/a

4

8

*

3

4

1

1

2

1

3

TOTAL TAXATION

25

29

26

25

30

25

34

32

18

14

11

Reduce cost of living

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

2

2

2

1

6

The Australian economy

9

4

4

6

3

3

2

1

2

1

4

Unemployment

7

6

8

5

5

3

2

3

1

1

4

Industry and Business

4

1

2

3

1

2

3

2

2

2

3

Superannuation/Self-funded retirees

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

3

4

1

1

3

Housing affordability

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

2

2

3

5

1

Increase wages

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

1

5

1

3

1

Interest rates

7

1

1

2

1

*

*

3

2

7

1

Petrol prices

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

1

2

4

2

-

TOTAL ECONOMIC/ FINANCE

52

41

41

41

40

33

49

54

32

35

34

Education, HELP fees

6

5

9

9

13

8

13

12

9

16

12

Social welfare and the Aged

11

9

11

13

12

13

10

13

11

12

9

Health

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

16

13

12

26

5

Medicare/Bulk billing

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

7

2

*

1

*

Private health insurance

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

1

2

*

*

1

TOTAL HEALTH

8

10

12

7

10

12

22

16

12

27

6

Child and youth services

4

1

2

2

2

3

2

2

4

4

5

Family issues

2

3

2

3

3

3

1

3

2

2

1

TOTAL SOCIAL ISSUES

31

28

36

34

40

39

48

46

38

61

33

Quality of Govt./Politicians

3

1

2

3

2

2

1

2

2

1

10

Immigration

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

*

*

*

1

1

3

Maintain things as they are

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

3

Environment

1

1

*

1

1

1

3

3

7

5

2

Retain NBN rollout

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

2

Transport/Roads, Infrastructure

1

1

1

1

1

2

2

1

2

4

2

Defence/National security

*

*

*

1

1

2

1

*

1

1

*

Aborigines

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

*

*

-

1

*

-

Equality

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

*

*

-

1

*

-

Law and order

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

-

Trade and Foreign policy

1

1

1

*

*

1

-

1

2

1

-

Water supply/Management

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

3

2

-

Work conditions/IR

4

1

3

5

4

3

1

*

4

3

-

Other

3

7

2

3

3

3

7

6

*

1

3

Total mentioned an issue

80

84

79

81

80

78

88

89

71

85

92

Nothing/Can't say

20

16

21

19

   20

22

12

11

29

15

8

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Results from sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution. - Not mentioned. * Less than 1%. n/a Not available. Multiple answers allowed.


What could the Federal Government do that would be of most benefit to you and your family?

ANALYSIS BY FEDERAL VOTING INTENTION

 

                          Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

 

Total

L-NP

ALP

The Greens

Ind/ Other #

No Answer #

%

%

%

%

%

%

Taxation/Lower taxes

7

8

8

2

6

5

Tax reform

1

1

1

-

-

              -

Taxation/no GST

*

*

1

-

-

-

Other tax incl. Carbon Tax

3

4

2

2

2

-

Total Taxation

11

13

13

4

8

5

Reduce cost of living

6

6

4

2

15

5

The Australian economy

4

7

1

-

6

5

Unemployment

4

3

4

3

2

4

Industry and Business

3

6

-

5

4

-

Superannuation/Self funded retirees

3

4

2

2

2

-

Housing affordability

1

1

*

2

-

-

Increase wages

1

*

1

2

2

-

Interest rates

1

1

1

-

-

-

Petrol prices

-

-

-

-

-

-

TOTAL ECONOMIC/ FINANCE

34

40

26

20

39

19

Education, HELP fees

12

7

16

22

10

-

Social welfare and the Aged

9

9

10

9

12

4

Health

5

6

3

8

6

7

Medicare/Bulk billing

*

-

1

2

-

-

Private health insurance

1

1

1

-

-

-

Total Health

6

7

4

10

6

7

Child and youth services

5

4

5

-

5

-

Family issues

1

*

2

2

4

4

TOTAL SOCIAL ISSUES

33

27

38

43

37

15

Quality of Govt/Politicians

10

12

7

4

11

10

Immigration

3

4

3

6

3

-

Maintain things as they are

3

3

3

2

-

6

Environment

2

*

3

7

-

-

Retain NBN rollout

2

1

4

4

-

-

Transport/Roads, Infrastructure

2

2

3

4

-

-

Defence/National security

*

*

-

-

-

-

Aborigines

-

-

-

-

-

-

Equality

-

-

-

-

-

-

Law and order

-

-

-

-

-

-

Trade and Foreign policy

-

-

-

-

-

-

Water supply/Management

-

-

-

-

-

-

Work conditions/IR

-

-

-

-

-

-

Other

3

3

3

6

7

31

Total mentioned an issue

92

92

90

96

97

81

Nothing/Can't say

8

8

10

4

3

19.

TOTAL 

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Results from sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution. - Not mentioned.* Less than 1%. n/a Not available. Multiple answers allowed.

The Morgan Poll is conducted by the ONLY Australian and New Zealand member of the Gallup International Association.

No other public opinion poll taken in Australia or New Zealand has this qualification.

 

For further information:

Michele Levine:    Office +61 3 9224 5215   Mobile +61 411 129 093

Gary Morgan:       Office +61 3 9224 5213   Mobile +61 411 129 094