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Support For NZ Labour Up 2% To 40% - Latest Morgan Poll Shows

In mid August support for the NZ Labour Party Government rose 2% to 40 %, 1.3% below the Labour results at the July 2002 General Election. Support for the Opposition National Party fell 1.5% to 36.5%, which is 15.6% above the National result at the General Election, the latest Morgan Poll finds.

Among the minor parties, support for New Zealand First was 8% (down 2%), the Green Party 7.5% (up 1.5%), ACT New Zealand 2.5% (up 1%), United Future New Zealand 2% (unchanged) and Other Parties 3.5% (down 1%).

This latest Morgan Poll on Voting Intention was conducted in New Zealand from August 2-15, 2005, with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 2,131 electors. Electors were asked ‘If an election were held today which party would receive your party vote?’. Of electors who said they were likely to vote (90.5%), 7.4% were undecided.

The following table compares the latest NZ Morgan Poll on Voting Intention with the result from the previous July 27, 2002 General Election.

VOTING INTENTION SUMMARY

PRIMARY VOTE

Labour

National

NZ First

ACT NZ

GreenParty

UnitedFuture

Other

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

General Election, July 27, 2002

41.3

20.9

10.4

7.1

7

6.7

6.6

 

             

MORGAN POLL

             

July 21 — August 1, 2005

38

38

10

1.5

6

2

4.5

August 2 - 15, 2005 40 36.5 8 2.5 7.5 2 3.5

 

For further information:

Gary Morgan :   Office +61 3 9224 5213 Mobile +61 411 129 094 Home +61 3 9419 3242
Michele Levine :   Office +61 3 9224 5215   Mobile +61 411 129 093   Home +61 3 9817 3066
 

Morgan Poll sampling tolerance:

The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. The following table gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. The figures are approximate and for general guidance only, and assume a simple random sample. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate.

Sample size

Percentage estimate

 

25-75%

10% or 90%

5% or 95%

1000

 ± 3

 ± 2

 ± 1½

The Morgan Poll is conducted by the ONLY Australian member of the Gallup International Association.

No Other public opinion poll taken in Australia has this qualification.