Two Party Preferred Voting Intention (%) (2016-2022)

Recent Election Results
L-NP ALP
% %
Election, May 18, 2019 51.5 48.5
Election, July 2, 2016 50.3 49.7
Election, September 7, 2013 53.5 46.5
Election, August 21, 2010 49.9 50.1
Election, November 24, 2007 47.3 52.7
Election, October 9, 2004 52.7 47.3
Election, November 10, 2001 51.0 49.0
Election, October 3^, 1998 49.0 51.0
Election, March 2, 1996 53.6 46.4

  Preferences distributed
by how electors say they will vote
Preferences distributed by how
electors voted at the 2016/19 Federal Elections
% % % %


L-NP ALP L-NP ALP
May 9-15, 2022 43.5 56.5 47 53
May 2-8, 2022 44 56 45.5 54.5
April 25 - May 1, 2022 44.5 55.5 46 54
April 18-24, 2022 45.5 54.5 47 53
April 11-17, 2022 45 55 46.5 53.5
April 4-10, 2022 43 57 44.5 55.5
March 28 - April 3, 2022 43 57 44.5 55.5
March 21-27, 2022 44.5 55.5 46 54
March 14-20, 2022 42 58 43.5 56.5
March 3-13, 2022 44 56 45.5 54.5
February 24 - March 2, 2022 (Post Ukraine War) 43.5 56.5 45 55
February 14-23, 2022 (Pre-Ukraine War) 43.5 56.5 45 55
January 31 - February 13, 2022 43 57 44.5 55.5
January 17-30, 2022 43.5 56.5 45 55
January 4-16, 2022 44 56 45.5 54.5
2022
December 11/12 & 18/19, 2021 44.5 55.5 46 54
November 27/28 & December 4/5, 2021 43.5 56.5 45 55
November 13/14 & 20/21, 2021 44.5 55.5 46 54
October 30/31 & November 6/7, 2021 46.5 53.5 48 52
October 16/17 & 23/24, 2021 46 54 47.5 52.5
October 2/3 & 9/10, 2021 47 53 48.5 51.5
September 18/19 & 25/26, 2021 46 54 47.5 52.5
September 4/5 & 11/12, 2021 47.5 52.5 49 51
August 21/22 & 28/29, 2021 45.5 54.5 47 53
Aug 7/8 & 14/15, 2021 46 54 47.5 52.5
July 24/25 & 31/ Aug 1, 2021 46.5 53.5 48 52
July 10/11 & 17/18, 2021 47.5 52.5 49 51
June 12/13 & 19/20, 2021 49.5 50.5 51 49
May 29/30 & June 5/6, 2021 49 51 50.5 49.5
March 6/7 & 13/14, 2021 49.5 50.5 51 49
February 6/7 & 13/14, 2021 49.5 50.5 51 49
2021
November 14/15 & 21/22, 2020 50.5 49.5 52 48
October 17/18 & 24/25, 2020 50.5 49.5 52 48
August 8/19 & 15/16, 2020 54 46 55.5 44.5
July 11/12 & 18/19, 2020 51.5 48.5 52.5 47.5
June 13/14 & 20/21, 2020 50.5 49.5 52 48
May 16/17 & 23/24, 2020 52.5 47.5 54.5 45.5
April 18/19 & 25/26, 2020 51.5 48.5 53 47
February 29/March 1 & 7/8, 2020 47 53 49 51
2020
2019 Federal Election - May 18, 2019 51.5 48.5 51.5 48.5
Morgan Poll: Federal Election 2016-2019
May 2019 48 52 48.5 51.5
May 4/5, 2019 49 51 49 51
April 27/28, 2019 49 51 49 51
April 20/21, 2019 49 51 49 51
April 6/7, 2019 47.5 52.5 48 52
March 16/17 & 23/24, 2019 45 55 45.5 54.5
February 16/17, 2019 47.5 52.5 48 52
February 2/3 & 9/10, 2019 44.5 55.5 45 55
2019
August 25/26, 2018 46 54 46.5 53.5
August 24, 2018 - Scott Morrison emerges victorious in a three way leadership ballot and becomes Prime Minister
August 18/19, 2018 49.5 50.5 49 51
March 17/18 & 24/25, 2018 49 51 48.5 51.5
March 3/4 & 10/11, 2018 46 54 46.5 53.5
2018

^1998 Federal Election results have been updated to include results from the electorate of Newcastle supplementary election.

The L-NP did not have a candidate contesting the electorate of Newcastle.