Primary Voting Intention (%) (2013-2019)

House of Representatives


ALP
L-NP
The Greens
One Nation
NXT/ Centre Alliance Ind./Others
Recent Election Results
%
%
%
%
%  %
Election, July 2, 2016 35.0 42.1 (4.8) 9.8 1.3 1.9 9.9
Election, September 7, 2013
33.4
45.5 (4.3)
8.7
0.2
n/a 12.2
Election, August 21, 2010
38.0
43.6 (3.7)
11.8
0.2
n/a 6.4
Election November 24, 2007
43.4
42.1 (5.9)
7.8
0.3
n/a 6.4
Election October 9, 2004
37.6
46.4 (5.9)
7.2
1.2
n/a 7.6
Election November 10, 2001
37.8
43 (5.6)
4.4
4.3
n/a 9.6
Election October 3^, 1998
40.1
39.5 (5.3)
2.1
8.4
n/a 9.9
Election March 2, 1996
38.8
47.3 (8.6)
1.7
0.3
n/a 11.9
Morgan Poll: Federal Election 2016-2019
August 25/26, 2018 36 36.5 (4.5) 13 2.5 0.5 11.5
August 24, 2018 - Scott Morrison emerges victorious in a three way leadership ballot and becomes Prime Minister
August 18/29, 2018 34.5 39 (4.5) 12 2 1 11.5
March 17/18 & 24/25, 2018 35 40 (5.5) 12 3.5 0.5 9
March 3/4 & 10/11, 2018 36 36 (2.5) 13.5 3 1.5 10
2018

Note: ^ 1998 Federal Election results have been updated to include results from the electorate of Newcastle supplementary election. The L-NP did not have a candidate contesting the electorate of Newcastle.*An increasing proportion of Greens voters are indicating a preference for the L-NP ahead of the ALP. At the 2010 Federal Election only 20% of Greens voters preferenced the L-NP, but recent Morgan Polls have this figure closer to 40%.