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Home Latest Morgan Poll Releases Federal Voting Primary Voting Intention (%) (2013-2020)

Primary Voting Intention (%) (2013-2020)

House of Representatives


 ALP
 L-NP
 The Greens
 One Nation
 NXT/ Centre Alliance Ind./Others
Recent Election Results
 %
 %
 %
 %
 %  %
Election, May 18, 2019 33.3 41.4 (4.8) 10.4 3.1 0.3 11.5
Election, July 2, 2016 34.7 42.0 (4.8) 10.2 1.3 1.9 9.9
Election, September 7, 2013
 33.4
 45.5 (4.3)
 8.7
 0.2
 n/a 12.2
Election, August 21, 2010
 38.0
 43.6 (3.7)
 11.8
 0.2
 n/a 6.4
Election November 24, 2007
 43.4
 42.1 (5.9)
 7.8
 0.3
 n/a 6.4
Election October 9, 2004
 37.6
 46.4 (5.9)
 7.2
 1.2
 n/a 7.6
Election November 10, 2001
 37.8
 43 (5.6)
 4.4
 4.3
 n/a 9.6
Election October 3^, 1998
 40.1
 39.5 (5.3)
 2.1
 8.4
 n/a 9.9
Election March 2, 1996
 38.8
 47.3 (8.6)
 1.7
 0.3
 n/a 11.9







Roy Morgan Poll Results % % % % % %
April 18/19 & 25/26, 2020 33 43.5 (3) 11.5 3 n/a 9
February 28/March 1 & 7/8, 2020 36 36.5 (2.5) 11 4 n/a 12.5
2020
2019 Federal Election - May 18, 2019 33.3 41.4 (4.8) 10.4 3.1 0.3 11.5
April 20/21, 2019 35.5 39 (2.5) 9.5 4.5 n/a 11.5
April 6/7, 2019 35 37 (3) 13.5 4 n/a 10.5
March 16/17 & 23/24, 2019 36.5 34.5 (2.5) 12.5 3.5 n/a 13
February 16/17, 2019 34.5 37 (3.5) 11.5 3.5 n/a 13.5
February 2/3 & 9/10, 2019 36 34.5 (2.5) 12.5 3 n/a 14
2019





August 25/26, 2018 36 36.5 (4.5) 13 2.5 0.5 11.5
August 24, 2018 - Scott Morrison emerges victorious in a three way leadership ballot and becomes Prime Minister
August 18/29, 2018 34.5 39 (4.5) 12 2 1 11.5
March 17/18 & 24/25, 2018 35 40 (5.5) 12 3.5 0.5 9
March 3/4 & 10/11, 2018 36 36 (2.5) 13.5 3 1.5 10
2018





2016 Federal Election - July 2, 2016 34.7 42 (4.8) 10.2 1.3 1.9 9.9
May 21/22 & 28/29, 2016 32.5 37.5 (3.5) 13 n/a 5 12
May 14/15, 2016 33 36.5 (3) 15.5 n/a 5 10
April 23/24, 30/ May 1, 2016 32.5 40 (3) 13.5 n/a 4 10
April 9/10 & 16/17, 2016 32 40.5 (3) 14 n/a 4.5 9
March 26/27 & April 2/3, 2016 31 42 (3.5) 13 n/a 4.5 9.5
March 12/13 & 19/20, 2016 33 40 (3.5) 14 n/a 4 9
February 27/28 & March 5/6, 2016 29.5 43 (3.5) 13 n/a 5 9.5
February 13/14 & 20/21, 2016 29.5 43.5 (3.5) 15 n/a 1.5 10.5
January 30/31 & February 6/7, 2016 29 43.5 (2.5) 16 n/a 1 10.5
January 16/17 & 23/24, 2016 28 43.5 (3) 15 n/a 2 11.5
January 2/3 & 9/10, 2016 29 47 (3) 13 n/a n/a 11
2016
December 5/6 & 12/13, 2015 27 48 (3) 14.5 n/a n/a 10.5
November 21/22 & 28/29, 2015 28.5 46.5 (2.5) 14 n/a n/a 11
November 7/8 & 14/15, 2015 28 46 (2.5) 14.5 n/a n/a 11.5
October 24/25, 31 & November 1, 2015 28.5 47 (3) 14.5 n/a n/a 10
October 10/11 & 17/18, 2015 27.5 46.5 (3) 15.5 n/a n/a 10.5
September 26/27 & October 1-5, 2015 27.5 47 (3) 14 n/a n/a 11.5
September 19/20, 2015 29.5 46 (2.5) 13 n/a n/a 11.5
September 15, 2015 - Malcolm Turnbull challenges and defeats Tony Abbott to become Prime Minister
September 12/13, 2015 36.5 35 (2.5) 16 n/a n/a 12.5
August 29/30 & September 5/6, 2015 35.5 36.5 (2) 16.5 n/a n/a 11.5
August 15/16 & 22/23, 2015 36 38.5 (2.5) 14 n/a n/a 11.5
August 1/2 & 8/9, 2015 37 36.5 (3) 15.5 n/a n/a 11
July 18/19 & 25/26, 2015 35.5 39 (2.5) 15 n/a n/a 10.5
July 4/5 & 11/12, 2015 34.5 41.5 (2.5) 13.5 n/a n/a 10.5
June 20/21 & 27/28, 2015 36 39 (2) 14 n/a n/a 11
June 6/7 & 13/14, 2015 37.5 37.5 (2.5) 13.5 n/a n/a 11.5
May 23/24 & 30/31, 2015 37 41 (3) 13 n/a n/a 9
May 16/17, 2015 35.5 41.5 (3) 12.5 n/a n/a 10.5
April 25/26 & May 2/3, 2015 37.5 40 (2.5) 11.5 n/a n/a 11
April 11/12 & 18/19, 2015 38 38.5 (2.5) 12 n/a n/a 11.5
March 28/29 & April 3-6, 2015 36 40.5 (3) 12.5 n/a n/a 11
March 14/15 & 21/22, 2015 40 38 (3) 11 n/a n/a 11
February 28/ March 1 & 7/8, 2015 38 39 (2.5) 11.5 n/a n/a 11.5
February 14/15 & 21/22, 2015 40.5 37.5 (2.5) 10 n/a n/a 12
January 31/ February 1 & 7/8, 2015 41.5 35.5 (2) 12 n/a n/a 11
January 23-27, 2015 39.5 37.5 (2.5) 12 n/a n/a 11
January 3/4 & 10/11, 2015 38.5 38.5 (2.5) 9.5 n/a n/a 13.5
2015
December 6/7 & 13/14, 2014 41 35 (3) 11.5 n/a n/a 12.5
November 22/23 & 29/30, 2014 37.5 39 (2.5) 12 n/a n/a 11.5
November 8/9 & 15/16, 2014 38.5 38 (2) 12 n/a n/a 11.5
October 25/26 & November 1/2, 2014 37.5 38.5 (2) 12.5 n/a n/a 11.5
October 11/12 & 18/19, 2014 35.5 39.5 (2.5) 12 n/a n/a 13
September 27/28 & October 4/5, 2014 35 40 (2) 12 n/a n/a 13
September 13/14 & 20/21, 2014 37.5 38.5 (2) 12 n/a n/a 12
August 30/31 & September 6/7, 2014 37 38 (2.5) 10.5 n/a n/a 14.5
August 16/17 & 23/24, 2014 38.5 37.5 (2.5) 10.5 n/a n/a 13.5
August 2/3 & 9/10, 2014 38 37.5 (2.5) 11 n/a n/a 13.5
July 19/20 & 26/27, 2014 39 38 (2) 10.5 n/a n/a 12.5
July 5/6 & 12/13, 2014 38.5 34 (2) 11.5 n/a n/a 16
June 21/22 & 28/29, 2014 36.5 35 (2.5) 12 n/a n/a 16.5
June 14/15, 2014 38 36.5 (2) 12 n/a n/a 13.5
June 7/8, 2014 42 33 (1.5) 12 n/a n/a 13
May 24/25 & 31/ June 1, 2014 38 35 (2) 11 n/a n/a 16
May 17/18, 2014 38.5 35 (2) 12 n/a n/a 14.5
April 26/27 & May 3/4, 2014 37 37.5 (2) 12 n/a n/a 13.5
April 12/13 & 19/20, 2014 34 38.5 (2) 13 n/a n/a 14.5
March 29/30 & April 5/6, 2014 34.5 38.5 (2) 12 n/a n/a 15
March 15/16 & 22/23, 2014 38.5 38 (2) 11 n/a n/a 12.5
March 1/2 & 8/9, 2014 37 39.5 (2) 12 n/a n/a 11.5
February 15/16 & 22/23, 2014 35.5 41 (2.5) 10.5 n/a n/a 13
February 1/2 & 8/9, 2014 37 40.5 (2) 10.5 n/a n/a 12
January 18/19 & 25/26, 2014 37 39.5 (2) 11.5 n/a n/a 12
January 4/5 & 11/12, 2014 38 39 (2) 10.5 n/a n/a 12.5
2014
December 7/8 & 14/15, 2013 (Multi-mode) 38.5 40.5 (2) 10 n/a n/a 11
November 30/ December 1, 2013 (Multi-mode) 38.5 41.5 (2) 8.5 n/a n/a 11.5
November 16/17, 2013 (Multi-mode) 32.5 42.5 (2.5) 11 n/a n/a 14
November 2/3, 2013 (Multi-mode) 35 41.5 (1.5) 10.5 n/a n/a 13
October 19/20, 2013 (Multi-mode) 34.5 43.5 (2.5) 10 n/a n/a 12
October 13, 2013 - Bill Shorten is elected as the new leader of the ALP over Anthony Albanese
October 5/6, 2013 (Multi-mode)

 37 42 (2) 9 n/a n/a 12
September 21/22, 2013 (Multi-mode) 34 43.5 (2.5) 10.5 n/a n/a 12
September 7, 2013 - Tony Abbott leads the L-NP (53.5%) cf. ALP (46.5%) to Federal Election victory

Note: ^ 1998 Federal Election results have been updated to include results from the electorate of Newcastle supplementary election. The L-NP did not have a candidate contesting the electorate of Newcastle.*An increasing proportion of Greens voters are indicating a preference for the L-NP ahead of the ALP. At the 2010 Federal Election only 20% of Greens voters preferenced the L-NP, but recent Morgan Polls have this figure closer to 40%.