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| COMPANY ONLINE STORE PRODUCTS SERVICES INDUSTRIES MORGAN POLL PAPERS PRESS RELEASES CONSUMER CONFIDENCE READERSHIP UNEMPLOYMENT THE REACTOR |
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NSW Voting Intention Stable: ALP Still Have Comfortable Lead
During June, primary support for the NSW State Government was up 0.5% to 51%, while support for the Coalition was down 1.5% to 30.5%, the latest Morgan Poll finds. Among the minor parties, support for the Greens was 9% (unchanged), Australian Democrats 2% (up 0.5%), One Nation 0.5% (unchanged) and Other Parties and Independent Candidates 7% (up 0.5%). On a two-party preferred basis, support for the ALP was up 0.5% to 63% while support for the L-NP was down 0.5% to 37%. If a State election had been held during June, the ALP would have won easily. During the polling period:
Special Roy Morgan Qualitative Research in which respondents gave their reason for voting was conducted on June 14-15, 2003. Typical reasons for voting ALP included "I like the current policies - health especially. They are strong and progressive", "This Party is for the people", "They care for the poor and have a good policy for the country", "I am happy with the current Government" and "The Opposition is inexperienced in leadership". A large number of responses from ALP supporters were praising Bob Carr, with comments including "I like Bob Carr and his leadership capability", "This Premier is worth while voting for. The State has been run well under him", "Mr Carr has his finger on the pulse" and "I like Bob Carr - I think he is serious and honest. I think he tries his best." Typical reasons for voting for the Coalition included "Labor is not doing very much at the moment", "Give the Liberals a go and see if they can do better", "ALP can’t handle finances", "I prefer the policies of the Liberals and I relate more to their ideals" and "We need a change". Some respondents’ comments displayed a lack of trust for Labor policies and leadership, with comments including "I don’t like being lied to", "I don’t trust the ALP" and "Bob Carr told us lies before the last election." Others felt that the ALP lacked a powerful opponent, with one respondent commenting, "The present Government needs a stronger Opposition - I would vote for the Opposition to make them stronger". Preferences of supporters of the Greens (ALP — 86% cf L-NP — 14%) favoured the State Government. Preferences of the Australian Democrats (L-NP — 66% cf ALP — 34%) and One Nation (L-NP — 60.5% cf ALP — 39.5%) favoured the Opposition. Supporters of Other Parties and Independent Candidates were split (L-NP — 50% cf ALP — 50%). This latest Morgan Poll on New South Wales State Voting Intention was conducted face-to-face among 1,706 electors throughout New South Wales during June 2003. Electors were asked: "If a State election were being held today — which Party would receive your first preference?" Of all electors surveyed 4.5% (down 0.5%) did not name a party.
Further information: Gary Morgan: Office: (03) 9224 5213 Mobile: 0411 129 094 Home: (03) 9419 3242
NSW STATE VOTING INTENTION SUMMARY (%)
Note: National Party results are in brackets
NOTE: The State Electoral Office of NSW has not released a two-party preferred result for the March 2003 election.
## Results from sample sizes under 50 should be treated with caution. Sample: 1,706 electors Interviewed: June 2003. 4.5% (down 0.5%) did not name a party. Finding No. 3648 is taken from Computer Report No. 1890 The Morgan Poll is conducted by the |
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