Home | site-map | indonesia | indonesian-single-source-articles | asteroid-user-registration |
Roy Morgan OZ Panel Login | Mail Diary Panel Login | careers | contact-us | state-of-the-nation-webcast |
|
||||
 |
 |
 |
|
  |
|
|
||||
COMPANY ONLINE STORE PRODUCTS SERVICES INDUSTRIES MORGAN POLL PAPERS PRESS RELEASES CONSUMER CONFIDENCE READERSHIP UNEMPLOYMENT THE REACTOR 
|
||||
| NEWS : Morgan Poll : | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2004 Federal Budget Improves Mr Howard's Image And L-NP Support
Last night’s Federal Budget was generally well received by the Australian electorate. It has positively reversed the electorate’s view of Mr Howard on the critical issue of minimising tax, and has levelled the playing field on the question of looking after families, a special Morgan Poll finds. More electors (27%) considered last night’s budget a good budget than a bad budget (12%). Almost half the electorate rated the Budget as average (49%) and 12% couldn’t say. As 6-in-10 budgets receive more negative than positive electoral responses, this is a good response. The electorate does not consider that the Budget will have a net effect on unemployment (69% expect the Budget to have no effect on unemployment, 9% that it will reduce unemployment, and 8% that it will worsen unemployment). However, the Budget has increased confidence for Australia’s future among an already confident electorate (Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating of 125 /news/polls/2004/322/). Of electors 28% say the Budget makes them feel more confident, 14% less confident and 50% that it makes no difference. The only warning from the electorate is a concern about inflation. 20% of electors consider the budget will increase the rate of inflation, 4% that it will reduce the rate of inflation, and 56% that it will have little effect. Following the Budget an increased majority of Australian electors believe Prime Minister John Howard would be better at managing Australia’s economy 58% (up 3% since early April) than Opposition Leader Mark Latham 27% (up 2%). However, the real change since the Budget is that now more electors believe the Prime Minister is ‘best for minimising the tax you pay’ 44% (up 15%) than Mr Latham at 38% (down 1%). This is a reversal since early April. On the important issue of “Who would be better at looking after your family’s needs” the Prime Minister at 43% (up 9%) drew almost level with Opposition Leader Mr Latham on 44% (down 6%). The latest Morgan Poll was conducted by telephone last night (Wednesday, May 12) with an Australia wide cross-section of 565 electors. The telephone Morgan Poll showed a large swing back to the L-NP. If an election had been held the day after the Budget, the L-NP would have won: L-NP — 52% (up 5% since last Morgan Poll conducted by telephone on March 31/April 1 2004), ALP — 48%. As reported on previous occasions, telephone polls are more volatile than face-to-face polls, and historically have responded more strongly to events and news. The next face-to-face Morgan Poll taken after the Budget will be released on Friday, May 21.
People surveyed were asked: “Thinking of the Prime Minister Mr Howard, and the Opposition Leader Mr Latham. In your opinion…”
Who, if elected Prime Minister, would be better at managing Australia’s economy - Mr Howard or Mr Latham?
Who, if elected Prime Minister, do you trust more to keep Australia safe and secure - Mr Howard or Mr Latham?
Who, if elected Prime Minister, would be best for minimising the tax you pay - Mr Howard or Mr Latham?
Who, if elected Prime Minister, would be better at looking after your family’s needs - Mr Howard or Mr Latham?
2. A Good or Bad Federal Budget Electors were first told: “Thinking now about the Federal Budget announced on Tuesday night.”
* Results from sample sizes under 50 should be treated with caution 3. Impact of Federal Budget on Confidence About Unemployment Electors were then asked: “ In your opinion, will the Federal Budget cause unemployment to get worse, or reduce unemployment, or have little effect either way?”
4. Impact of Federal Budget on Inflation Electors were then asked: “ In your opinion, will the Federal Budget increase the rate of inflation, reduce the rate of inflation, or have little effect either way?”
* Results from sample sizes under 50 should be treated with caution 5. Impact of Federal Budget on confidence about Australia’s economic future Electors were then asked: “Does the Budget make you feel more confident or less confident about Australia’s economic future — or does it make no difference?”
* Results from sample sizes under 50 should be treated with caution. Roy Morgan Budget Polls 1978-1998. Morgan Polls No. 3085, May 15, 1998. Finding No. 3740 is taken from Computer Report No. 1956 The Morgan Poll is conducted by the |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
© 2007 Roy Morgan Research. All Rights Reserved |
