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The Roy Morgan Unemployment estimate fell in the June 2004 Quarter, with estimated unemployment at 8.3%. This is down 0.6% from the March 2004 Quarter, but slightly higher than the June 2003 Quarter (8.0%).

An estimated 819,000 Australians were looking for work in the June 2004 Quarter. This is 80,000 lower than in the March 2004 Quarter, but is the highest June Quarter since 2001 (before the bombing of the World Trade Centre on September 11) when 942,000 people were looking for work.

Since March, the number of Australians working full-time has decreased 170,000 to 6,209,000 and the number of Australians working part-time rose 67,000 to 2,869,000 resulting in 9,079,000 Australians employed. This is a decrease of 103,000 since the March Quarter.

The number of Australians who are now part of the workforce is down 182,000 since the Ma Quarter to 9,898,000.

The number of Australians seeking full-time and part-time work in the June Quarter was 485,000 (down 47,000 since March) and 334,000 (down 33,000) respectively.

Unemployment in regional and rural areas (9.9%, down 0.8%) is still much higher than in capital cities (7.4%, down 0.5%).

Queensland (7.3%) had the lowest estimated unemployment level for the June Quarter, followed by Tasmania (7.8%), Victoria (8.0%), Western Australia (8.1%), New South Wales (8.9%) and South Australia (9.6%).

For the Roy Morgan Unemployment estimate during the June Quarter, 13,881 Australians aged 14 and over were interviewed face-to-face on the weekends of April — June, 2004.

For further information:

Michele Levine:   Office (03) 9224 5215 Mobile 0411 129 093  Home (03) 9817 3066

Gary Morgan:   Office (03) 9224 5213 Mobile 0411 129 094  Home (03) 9419 3242

The Roy Morgan Unemployment estimate is obtained by surveying an Australia-wide cross section by face-to-face interviews. An unemployed person is classified as part of the labour force if they are looking for work, no matter when. The results are not seasonally adjusted and provide an accurate measure of monthly unemployment estimates in Australia . The Australian Bureau of Statistics Unemployment estimates are obtained by mostly telephone interviews. Households selected for the ABS Survey are interviewed each month for eight months, with one-eighth of the sample being replaced each month. The first interview is conducted face-to-face. Subsequent interviews are then conducted by telephone. The ABS classifies an unemployed person as part of the labour force only if, when surveyed, they have been actively looking for work in the four weeks up to the end of the reference week and if they were available for work in the reference week. The Australian Bureau of Statistics Unemployment estimates are also seasonally adjusted. For these reasons the Australian Bureau of Statistics Unemployment estimates are different from the Roy Morgan Unemployment estimate. Gary Morgan's concerns regarding the ABS Unemployment estimate is clearly outlined in his letter to the Australian Financial Review, which was not published! /news/papers/2 0 03/20030801/

Roy Morgan Research vs ABS Unemployment Estimates

Roy Morgan Employment Estimate - detailed

ABS Employment Estimates - detailed

							% of workforce unemployed
	Total workforce* ('000)		Total employed* ('000)		Total Looking for work* ('000)		Original		Adjusted
2000
January	9558		8903		655		7.4		6.9
February	9606		8962		644		7.5		6.7
March	9650	(9605) **	8950	(8938) **	700	(666)**	7.3	(7.4) **	6.9	(6.8)**
April	9664		9005		659		6.8		6.8
May	9659		9017		643		6.7		6.7
June	9665	(9663) **	9056	(9026) **	609	(637)**	6.3	(6.6) **	6.6	(6.7) **
July	9728		9118		610		5.9		6.3
August	9766		9142		624		6.2		6.4
September	9725	(9740) **	9111	(9124) **	614	(616)**	6.4	(6.2) **	6.3	(6.3) **
October	9722		9106		615		6.0		6.3
November	9684		9047		637		6.2		6.6
December	9730	(9712) **	9087	(9080) **	643	(632)**	6.5	(6.2) **	6.6	(6.5) **
2001
January	9730		9083		647		7.2		6.6
February	9773		9099		673		7.6		6.9
March	9752	(9752) **	9090	(9091) **	662	(661)**	7.2	(7.3) **	6.5	(6.7) **
April	9800		9140		671		6.8		6.8
May	9818		9152		676		6.9		6.9
June	9830	(9816) **	9149	(9147) **	681	(676)**	6.7	(6.8) **	6.9	(6.9) **
July	9809		9191		618		6.3		6.3
August	9768		9124		644		6.6		6.6
September	9928	(9835) **	9255	(9190) **	672	(672)**	6.8	(6.6) **	6.7	(6.5) **
October	9880		9183		697		6.7		7.1
November	9848		9187		661		6.4		6.7
December	9864	(9864) **	9199	(9189) **	665	(674)**	6.6	(6.6) **	6.7	(6.8) **
2002
January	9955		9263		693		7.4		7.0
February	9936		9283		653		7.3		6.6
March	9972	(9939) **	9304	(9283) **	622	(656)**	6.7	(7.1) **	6.3	(6.6) **
April	9882		9261		621		6.4		6.3
May	9928		9305		622		6.3		6.3
June	9962	(9924) **	9318	(9294) **	643	(628)**	6.3	(7.1) **	6.5	(6.4) **
July	9898		9289		609		5.6		6.2
August	10000		9378		622		6.0		6.2
September	9964	(9954) **	9347	(9338) **	617	(616)**	6.2	(5.9) **	6.2	(6.2) **
October	9962		9363		599		5.7		6.0
November	10040		9424		617		5.8		6.1
December	10104	(10035) **	9476	(9421)**	628	(615) **	6.1	(5.9) **	6.2	(6.1) **
2003
January	10196		9576		620		6.5		6.1
February	10173		9564		610		6.7		6.0
March	10146	(10172)**	9521	(9554)**	626	(619)**	6.5	(6.6)**	6.2	(6.1)**
April	10129		9506		623		6.2		6.1
May	10148		9535		613		6.1		6.0
June	10128	(10135)**	9508	(9516)**	620	(619)**	5.9	(6.1)**	6.1	(6.1)**
July	10102		9481		621		5.6		6.2
August	10129		9535		594		5.6		5.9
September	10144	(10125)**	9555	(9524)**	590	(602)**	5.8	(5.7)**	5.8	(6.0)**
October	10190		9613		577		5.4		5.7
November	10209		9637		573		5.3		5.6
December	10241	(10213)**	9666	(9639)**	575	(575)**	5.6	(5.4)**	5.6	(5.6)**
2004
January	10156		9571		584		6.2		5.8
February	10168		9573		595		6.6		5.9
March	10211	(10178)**	9637	(9594)**	574	(584)**	5.9	(6.2)**	5.6	(5.8)**
April	10271		9696		574		5.7		5.6
May	10216		9655		561		5.5		5.5
June
* Seasonally Adjusted figures ** Average calculated for previous three months

Finding No. 3754 is taken from Computer Report No. 1970

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