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During November-December, support for the ALP in Western Australia was down 3% to 39.5% while L-NP support was up 2% to 43.5%, the latest Morgan Poll finds.

Among the minor parties, support for the Greens was at 8% (down 1%), Other Parties and Independent Candidates 4.5% (up 0.5%), One Nation 2.5% (up 1.5%), Family First 1% and the Australian Democrats 1% (down 1%).

On a two-party preferred basis, support for the ALP was down 3.5% to 49.5% while L-NP support was 50.5% (up 3.5%). If a Western Australian election had been held in November-December, the outcome would be decided by the preferences of the 17% supporting minor parties.

Gary Morgan says:

“When minor party preferences are distributed according to how people voted at the 2001 State election, the Two-Party preferred vote suggests a marginal L-NP lead of 2% (L-NP 51% cf ALP 49%).

“The outcome of an election would be decided by the preferences of the 17% of all electors who have nominated a minor party - seat by seat.”

During the period:

•  In anticipation of the upcoming State election, Prime Minister John Howard joined State Opposition Leader Colin Barnett on the campaign trail in Perth at a community function, while Premier Geoff Gallop posed for photos in his office with Federal Opposition Leader Mark Latham. Dr Gallop distanced himself from the Labor loss in the recent Federal election, saying his re-election strategy is not linked to federal issues.

•  Figures released from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed that the State recorded its highest quarter of mineral exploration since December 1998.

•  The State Government’s four-year $1 billion tax relief package was passed in the Lower House.

•  The State Government’s announcement of a plan to build a $2 billion canal to take water from the Kimberley in the State’s North-West to Perth has attracted a lot of debate. While the plan has been criticised by politicians, environmental activists and the indigenous community, a feasibility study into the plan is underway.

•  In December the State Government pledged an initial $2 million to the Australian Red Cross to aid relief efforts in areas of South-East Asia affected by the tsunami.

Preferences of supporters of the Australian Democrats (ALP — 100% cf L-NP — 0%), the Greens (ALP — 67.5% cf L-NP — 32.5%) and One Nation (ALP — 76.5% cf L-NP — 23.5%) favored the ALP State Government, while supporters of Family First (L-NP — 90.5% cf ALP — 9.5%) and Other Parties and Independent candidates (L-NP — 61% cf ALP — 39%) favored the L-NP Opposition.

Respondents gave reasons for voting for their preferred Party during special Roy Morgan Qualitative Research, conducted on December 11/12, 2004.

Some ALP supporters appeared to be divided on Dr Gallop’s performance as Premier. While some had positive comments, such as “I think Geoff Gallop is doing a good job” and “I like Dr Gallop” , others were critical, saying “I don’t like Geoff Gallop but I’m still considering what to do” and “I’d vote for Kim Beazely if he stood, but not Gallop” .

Other ALP supporters were satisfied with the ALP policies, saying “Labor is geared towards transport, education and child care” and “Prefer the Labor Party foreign policy and treatment of Aborigines” , while others were critical of the Liberal Party; “The Liberals are a bunch of clowns” , “Liberals have no leadership” , “Anything to keep out the Liberals” .

  Several supporters of the Liberal Party expressed dissatisfaction with the performance of the current Government: “The Labor Party are making bad blunders for the future of Perth” , “Gallop and Ripper have ruined this State, Liberals always have to fix up their mess” , “Current Government does not have its priorities right” and “Don’t like Premier Geoff Gallop” .   

This Morgan Poll on Western Australia State Voting Intention was conducted face-to-face among 689 electors throughout Western Australia on the weekends of November and December 2004. Electors were asked: “If a State election were being held today - which Party would receive your first preference?” Of all electors surveyed, 3% (down 2.5%) were undecided on voting intention.

For further information:

Gary Morgan : Office (03) 9224 5213 Mobile 0411 129 094 Home (03) 9419 3242

Finding No. 3819 is taken from Computer Report No. 2008

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