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In September - October, primary support for the ALP in South Australia fell 3% to 50%, while support for the Liberal Party rose 1% to 33%.

On a two-party preferred basis, with preferences distributed as they were at the 2002 South Australian election, ALP support was 59.5% (down 1%), while L-NP support was at 40.5% (up 1%). If a South Australian State election had been held in September — October, the ALP would have won easily, the latest Morgan Poll finds.

Among the minor parties support for the Greens was 4.5% (up 1%), Family First 3.5% (down 0.5%), Australian Democrats 3.5% (up 0.5%), One Nation 0.5% (down 0.5%) and Other Parties and Independent 5% (up 1.5%).

During the period:

• The Federal Government launched the advertising campaign for its new Industrial Relations changes. The Labor Party continued to oppose the reforms at both Federal and State levels.
• Liberal MP Martin Hamilton-Smith announced he would challenge Rob Kerin for the leadership of the South Australian Liberal Party. He later decided not to challenge, citing a lack of support, and stepped down from the Liberal front bench.
• MP Mark Brindal withdrew as a candidate for the seat of Adelaide at next year’s election amidst the controversy surrounding the revelation that he had an affair with 24 year old man. He later apologised to the South Australian Parliament.
• State Leaders met with the Prime Minister in Canberra to discuss anti-terrorism laws. The States approved the new legislation allowing police to detain terrorism suspects for up to two weeks without charge. The new laws will be reviewed after 5 years and will expire after 10 years.
• Former Federal Labor Opposition Leader Mark Latham released The Latham Diaries in which he attacked both Federal and State Labor Party figures.
• The South Australian Government said that despite opposing the plan it has no influence over the Victorian Government’s plan to build a toxic waste dump near the South Australian border.
• The SA Government settled a pay dispute with public hospital doctors. This will result in a pay rise of 14.5% over the next three years.

Respondents gave reasons for voting for their preferred Party during special Roy Morgan Qualitative Research, conducted on September 10/11 and October 15/16, 2005.

ALP supporters continued to be happy with the Labor Party and Premier Mike Rann, commenting: “Rann has done a lot for our State”, “I like the way Mr. Rann is getting to a lot of the problem areas”, “Labor has a good record of making changes”, and “Mr. Rann is doing a good job”.

Other ALP supporters were critical of the Liberal Opposition, and their perceived low profile, saying: “I don’t believe the Liberals have the right skills or enough options”, “No one else has anything to offer that is better or different”, “The Liberal Party don’t tell me about themselves — the leader included ”, and “There is not much choice other than Labor”.

Many Liberal supporters cited their traditional views as reason for voting for the Liberals, saying: “I’m a conservative thinker and a Liberal person”, “Traditionally, the Liberals are a fairly solid Party”, and “That’s the way my politics and beliefs are”.

Preferences of supporters of the Greens (ALP — 96.5% cf Lib. — 3.5%), the Australian Democrats (ALP — 94.5% cf Lib. — 5.5%), One Nation (ALP — 55% cf Lib. — 45%), Other Parties and Independent Candidates (ALP — 58.5% cf Lib — 41.5%) and Family First (ALP — 57% cf Lib. — 43%) all favored the ALP State Government.

This Morgan Poll on South Australian State Voting Intention was cond ucted face-to-face among 528 electors throughout South Australia during the months of September and October 2005. Electors were asked: “If a State Election were being held today - which Party would receive your first preference?” Of all electors surveyed, 2.5% (down 0.5%) did not name a party.

For further information:

SOUTH AUSTRALIAN STATE VOTING INTENTION SUMMARY (%)

Finding No. 3919 is taken from Computer Report No. 2070

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