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A special Morgan Poll taken over the last two nights now shows 59% (up 6% in two weeks) of Australians aged 14 and over believe AWB acted unethically in its grain deals with Iraq and 57% (up 1%) believe the Government acted unethically. Awareness of the Royal Commission into AWB was up 2% to 77% since last week’s Morgan Poll.

Only 12% (down 1%) of people think the AWB acted ethically, while the number of people who were unable to say has dropped 5% to 29%, however 17% (up 1%) of people think the Federal Government acted ethically with only 26% (down 2%) of people unable to say.

Of those Australians who are aware of the Royal Commission, 69% believe AWB Ltd. did not act ethically in their negotiations to sell wheat to the Iraqi Government, while 11% believe they acted ethically and 20% can’t say. Of those Australians who are aware of the Royal Commission 62% believe the Government did not act ethically on the issue, while 18% believe they acted ethically and 20% can’t say.

Gary Morgan says:

“Public opinion on the Cole Royal Commission is entrenched: now more people think that AWB - 59% up 6% - and the Government - 57% up 1% - acted unethically than a fortnight ago.

Both the Wheat Board and the Government have some work to do to improve their public images.”

This special telephone Morgan Poll was conducted on the evenings of February 22-23, 2006, with an Australia-wide sample of 656 respondents aged 14 and over.

 Are You Aware Of The Royal Commission Into The AWB’s Dealings With The Iraqi Government?

Respondents were first asked:  "Next about the Royal Commission into AWB Ltd.’s (formerly the Australian Wheat Board) dealings with the Iraqi Government under the United Nations oil-for-food program.  Are you aware of the Royal commission or not?”

Men were more likely than women (79% cf 74%) to be aware of the Royal Commission into AWB Ltd.’s dealings with the Iraqi Government under the United Nations oil-for-food program.  Analysis by age shows that Australians aged over 50 were the most likely (88%) to be aware of the Royal Commission.

	Total All People 14+	Total All People 14+	Total All People 14+	Analysis by Sex and Age
	Feb 1-2 2006	Feb 8-9 2006	Feb 22-23 2006	Men	Women	14-17#	18-24	25-34	35-49	50+
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Yes, aware	68	75	77	79	74	26	51	74	87	88
No, not aware	32	25	23	21	26	74	49	26	13	12
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

People living in capital cities were more likely that those in country areas (77% cf 76%) to be aware of the Royal Commission.  On a state-by-state basis, People from South Australia and the Northern Territory were more likely (87%) to be aware of the Royal Commission, with Queenslanders the least likely (70%).

	Total All People 14+	Total All People 14+	Total All People 14+	Analysis by Region and State
	Feb 1-2 2006	Feb 8-9 2006	Feb 22-23 2006	Capital Cities	Country Areas	NSW	Vic	Qld	SA/NT	WA	Tas#
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Yes, aware	68	75	77	77	76	77	79	70	87	71	78
No, not aware	32	25	23	23	24	23	21	30	13	29	22
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

 # Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Analysis by voting intention shows that Green supporters were the most likely (91%) to be aware of the Royal Commission, with One Nation supporters the least likely (48%) to be aware.

	Total All People 14+	Total All People 14+	Total All People 14+	Analysis by Federal Voting Intention
	Feb 1-2 2006	Feb 8-9 2006	Feb 22-23 2006	L-NP	ALP	Aust. Dems#	The Greens#	One Nation#	Family First#	Ind/ Other#	No Answer
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Yes, aware	68	75	77	87	77	89	91	48	80	86	44
No, not aware	32	25	23	13	23	11	9	52	20	14	56
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Did AWB Ltd. Act Ethically In Their Negotiations To Sell Wheat To The Iraqi Government?

Respondents were then asked:  " In your opinion, did AWB Ltd. act ethically in their negotiations to sell wheat to the Iraqi Government, or not?”

Men were more likely (64%) than women (55%) to believe AWB Ltd. did not act ethically in their negotiations to sell wheat to the Iraqi Government.  Analysis by age shows that those aged over 50 were the most likely (67%) to believe AWB Ltd. did not act ethically.

	Total All People 14+	Total All People 14+	Total All People 14+	Analysis by Sex and Age
	Feb 1-2 2006	Feb 8-9 2006	Feb 22-23 2006	Men	Women	14-17#	18-24	25-34	35-49	50+
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Yes acted ethically	12	13	12	15	9	14	15	11	12	11
No, did not act ethically	50	53	59	64	55	32	44	52	66	67
Can’t say	38	34	29	21	36	54	41	37	22	22
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

People living in country areas were more likely that those in capital cities (62% cf 57%) to believe AWB Ltd. did not act ethically. On a state by state basis, people in Queensland were the most likely (63%) and West Australians the least likely (50%) to believe AWB Ltd. did not act ethically.

	Total All People 14+	Total All People 14+	Total All People 14+	Analysis by Region and State
	Feb 1-2 2006	Feb 8-9 2006	Feb 22-23 2006	Capital Cities	Country Areas	NSW	Vic	Qld	SA/NT	WA	Tas#
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Yes acted ethically	12	13	12	13	10	12	14	9	9	11	15
No, did not act ethically	50	53	59	57	62	62	57	63	59	50	58
Can’t say	38	34	29	30	28	26	29	28	32	39	27
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Analysis by voting intention shows that Australian Democrat and Green supporters were the most likely (89%) to believe AWB Ltd. did not act ethically, whilst L-NP supporters were the least likely (49%) to believe AWB Ltd. did not act ethically.

	Total All People 14+	Total All People 14+	Total All People 14+	Analysis by Federal Voting Intention
	Feb 1-2 2006	Feb 8-9 2006	Feb 22-23 2006	L-NP	ALP	Aust. Dems#	The Greens#	One Nation#	Family First#	Ind/ Other#	No Answer
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Yes acted ethically	12	13	12	16	9	5	2	36	8	8	10
No, did not act ethically	50	53	59	49	72	89	89	64	68	66	41
Can’t say	38	34	29	35	19	6	9	-	24	26	49
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Australians who were aware of the Royal Commission were more likely to believe AWB Ltd. did not act ethically than those who were not aware (69% cf 28%).

	Total All People 14+	Total All People 14+	Total All People 14+	Analysis by Whether Aware Of The Royal Commission
	Feb 1-2 2006	Feb 8-9 2006	Feb 22-23 2006	Aware	Not Aware
	%	%	%	%	%
Yes acted ethically	12	13	12	11	13
No, did not act ethically	50	53	59	69	28
Can’t say	38	34	29	20	59
Total	100	100	100	100	100

Did The Federal Government Act Ethically On This Issue Or Not?

Respondents were then asked:  “Recently there has been discussion about whether or how much the Federal Government knew of AWB Ltd. paying bribes to the Iraqi Government in their negotiations to sell wheat.  From what you know or have heard, do you think the Federal Government acted ethically on this issue, or not?”

Men were more likely (60%) than women (55%) to believe the Government did not act ethically on the issue.  Analysis by age shows that those aged 35-49 were the most likely (66%) to believe the Government did not act ethically.

	Total All People 14+	Total All People 14+	Analysis by Sex and Age
	Feb 8-9 2006	Feb 22-23 2006	Men	Women	14-17#	18-24	25-34	35-49	50+
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Yes acted ethically	16	17	21	13	14	19	18	14	18
No, did not act ethically	56	57	60	55	32	50	51	66	61
Can’t say	28	26	19	32	54	31	31	20	21
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

On a state by state basis, people in Queensland were the most likely (63%) and people in New South Wales the least likely (50%) to believe the Government did not act ethically.

	Total All People 14+	Total All People 14+	Analysis by Region and State
	Feb 8-9 2006	Feb 22-23 2006	Capital Cities	Country Areas	NSW	Vic	Qld	SA/NT	WA	Tas#
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Yes acted ethically	16	17	17	17	17	17	11	22	21	22
No, did not act ethically	56	57	56	59	57	56	62	60	50	57
Can’t say	28	26	27	24	26	28	27	18	29	21
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

 # Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Analysis by voting intention shows that Democrat supporters were the most likely (84%) to believe the Government did not act ethically, whilst L-NP supporters were the least likely (40%) to believe the Government did not act ethically.

	Total All People 14+	Total All People 14+	Analysis by Federal Voting Intention
	Feb 8-9 2006	Feb 22-23 2006	L-NP	ALP	Aust. Dems#	The Greens#	One Nation#	Family First#	Ind/ Other#	No Answer
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Yes acted ethically	16	17	29	7	9	5	21	39	3	9
No, did not act ethically	56	57	40	79	84	76	63	41	73	48
Can’t say	28	26	31	14	7	19	17	20	24	43
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Australians who were aware of the Royal Commission were more likely to believe the Government did not act ethically than those who were not aware (62% cf 43%).

	Total All People 14+	Total All People 14+	Analysis by Whether Aware Of The Royal Commission
	Feb 8-9 2006	Feb 22-23 2006	Aware	Not Aware
	%	%	%	%
Yes acted ethically	16	17	18	13
No, did not act ethically	56	57	62	43
Can’t say	28	26	20	44
Total	100	100	100	100

The above tables show Australians’ attitudes towards AWB Ltd’s dealings with the Iraqi Government under the United Nations oil-for-food program, analysed by Sex, Age, Region, State and Federal Voting Intention.

The complete analysis of results by demographics and regions is available on subscription.

The Morgan Poll is conducted by the ONLY Australian member of the Gallup International Association.

No Other public opinion poll taken in Australia has this qualification.

For further information:

Gary Morgan:       Office (03) 9224 5213         Mobile 0411 129 094       Home (03) 9419 3242

Michele Levine:   Office (03) 9224 5215         Mobile 0411 129 093       Home (03) 9817 3066

The Morgan Poll is conducted by the ONLY Australian member of the Gallup International Association.

No Other public opinion poll taken in Australia has this qualification.

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