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A large majority of Queensland voters (70%) think Premier Peter Beattie would make a better Premier than Lawrence Springborg a special Roy Morgan telephone survey finds.  Twenty per cent of voters think Mr Springborg would make a better Premier while 10% couldn’t say.  An overwhelming majority of ALP supporters (92%) think Mr Beattie is the better Premier. Surprisingly, more Liberal-National Party supporters think Mr Beattie would be a better Premier than Mr Springborg (41% cf. 39%), while 20% couldn’t say.

Mr Beattie’s popularity was further confirmed by 62% of voters saying they approve of the way he is handling his job as Premier, 32% disapprove while 6% couldn’t say.  A majority of voters (55%) want Mr Beattie to lead the ALP to the next State election, followed by Anna Bligh (25%) and Rod Welford (5%).

Less than half of the voters (42%) approve of the way Mr Springborg is handling his job as Opposition Leader, 37% disapprove and 21% couldn’t say.  Mr Springborg, however, is the preferred candidate for the National Party leadership (47%), followed by Fiona Simpson (10%), Kevin Lingard (7%) and Mike Rowell (2%).

Gary Morgan says:

“Peter Beattie continues to be one of Australia’s most popular Premiers, an overwhelming majority of Queenslanders (70%) think he would make a better Premier than Lawrence Springborg.  

Despite criticism over the speed of the Government’s response to Cyclone Larry, 62% of Queensland voters approve of the job Mr Beattie is doing as Premier compared to 42% for Mr Springborg as Opposition Leader.  Mr Springborg retains the support of 47% of Queensland voters to lead the Nationals to the next election, while Fiona Simpson is preferred by 10% followed by Kevin Lingard with 7%.”

This special Roy Morgan telephone survey was conducted on the evenings of March 29/30 and April 5/6, 2006 with a Queensland-wide cross section of 235 men and women electors. More details are available on a subscription basis.

1. - Better Premier

Electors were asked: “Thinking of Mr Beattie and Mr Springborg. In your opinion, who would make the better Premier — Mr Beattie or Mr Springborg?”

Support for Mr Beattie as better Premier was highest amongst ALP supporters (92%) compared to 41% from L-NP supporters.  Support for Mr Springborg was highest amongst L-NP supporters (39%).

	Electors 18+	Analysis by State Voting Intention
	Apr			Minor Parties/
	2006	ALP	L-NP	Undecided
	%	%	%	%
Beattie	70	92	41	50
Springborg	20	6	39	29
Can't say	10	2	20	21
Total	100	100	100	100

Support for Mr Beattie as better Premier was marginally higher amongst women (70%) than men (69%) and highest of all with voters aged 18-24 (81%).  Support for Mr Springborg was higher amongst men (23%) than women (18%) and highest amongst those aged 50+ (24%).

	Electors 18+	Analysis by Sex and Age
	Apr
	2006	Men	Women	18-24#	25-34#	35-49	50+
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Beattie	70	69	70	81	68	69	68
Springborg	20	23	18	16	14	20	24
Can't say	10	8	12	3	18	11	8
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

2. - Approval of Leaders

Electors were asked: “Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mr Beattie is handling his job as Premier?”

An overwhelming majority of ALP supporters (84%) approve of the job Mr Beattie is doing compared to 35% of L-NP supporters.

	Electors 18+					Analysis by State Voting Intention
	Jul/Aug*	May/Jun*	Sep/Oct*	May/Jun^	Apr			Minor Parties/
	1993	1994	1995	1996	2006	ALP	L-NP	Undecided
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Approve	63	73	56	45	62	84	35	34
Disapprove	28	20	34	36	32	11	56	55
Can't say	9	7	10	19	6	5	9	11
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

*Wayne Goss (Premier)

^Rob Borbidge (Premier)

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Mr Beattie’s approval ratings were higher amongst men (64%) than women (60%) and highest in those aged 18-24 (84%) followed by those aged 25-34 (70%).  Disapproval ratings were highest amongst those aged 50 and over (40%).

	Electors 18+					Analysis by Sex and Age
	Jul/ Aug*	May/Jun*	Sep/Oct*	May/Jun^	Apr
	1993	1994	1995	1996	2006	Men	Women	18-24#	25-34#	35-49	50+
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Approve	63	73	56	45	62	64	60	84	70	64	51
Disapprove	28	20	34	36	32	30	33	16	28	28	40
Can't say	9	7	10	19	6	6	7	-	2	8	9
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

*Wayne Goss (Premier)

^Rob Borbidge (Premier)

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Opposition Leader

Electors were asked: “Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mr Springborg is handling his job as Opposition Leader?”

Mr Springborg’s approval ratings were highest amongst L-NP supporters (47%) compared to 41% from ALP supporters.  

	Electors 18+					Analysis by State Voting Intention
	Jul/Aug*	May/Jun*	Sep/Oct*	May/Jun^	Apr			Minor Parties/
	1993	1994	1995	1996	2006	ALP	L-NP	Undecided
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Approve	32	33	41	44	42	41	47	26
Disapprove	42	44	40	28	37	39	33	42
Can't say	26	23	19	28	21	20	20	32
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

*Rob Borbidge (Opposition Leader)

^Peter Beattie (Opposition Leader)

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Mr Springborg’s approval ratings were higher amongst men (47%) than women (38%) and highest for those aged 50 and over (47%).  Disapproval ratings were even amongst men and women (both 37%) and highest for those aged 25-34 (44%).

	Electors 18+					Analysis by Sex and Age
	Jul/ Aug*	May/ Jun*	Sep/ Oct*	May/ Jun^	Apr
	1993	1994	1995	1996	2006	Men	Women	18-24#	25-34#	35-49	50+
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Approve	32	33	41	44	42	47	38	32	40	41	47
Disapprove	42	44	40	28	37	37	37	29	44	31	40
Can't say	26	23	19	28	21	16	25	39	16	28	13
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

*Rob Borbidge (Opposition Leader)

^Peter Beattie (Opposition Leader)

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

3. - Preferred Leader

Preferred Labor Leader

Respondents were asked: “If you were a Labor Party voter and helping to choose the Labor leader for the next Queensland State election, who would you prefer?”

Support for Mr Beattie is highest amongst ALP supporters (64%) followed by L-NP supporters (46%).  Anna Bligh (25%) was a clear second choice as the potential Labor leader for the next State election.  Her support was strongest from L-NP supporters (27%) although still below support for Mr Beattie (46%).

	Electors 18+	Analysis by State Voting Intention
	Apr			Minor Parties/
	2006	ALP	L-NP	Undecided
	%	%	%	%
Beattie	55	64	46	25
Bligh	25	24	27	26
Welford	5	2	7	11
Mickel	1	1	1	5
Reynolds	1	1	1	-
Someone else	1	1	2	-
Can't say	12	7	16	33
Total	100	100	100	100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

More men (57%) than women (52%) prefer Mr Beattie as the Labor leader at the next State election with support highest amongst those aged 25-34 (59%). 

	Electors 18+	Analysis by Sex and Age
	Apr
	2006	Men	Women	18-24#	25-34#	35-49	50+
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Beattie	55	57	52	58	59	52	53
Bligh	25	25	26	26	22	25	26
Welford	5	4	5	3	-	8	5
Mickel	1	1	2	3	-	2	1
Reynolds	1	2	-	3	-	1	1
Someone else	1	-	2	-	-	2	2
Can't say	12	11	13	6	19	10	12
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Preferred National Party Leader

Electors were then asked: “If you were a National Party voter and helping to choose the National leader for the next Queensland State election, who would you prefer?”

Mr Springborg is the clearly preferred candidate to lead the National Party at the next State election (47%).  Support is strongest from L-NP supporters (50%).  Only 10% of Queensland voters would prefer Fiona Simpson to lead the National Party at the next State election.

	Electors 18+	Analysis by State Voting Intention
	Apr			Minor Parties/
	2006	ALP	L-NP	Undecided
	%	%	%	%
Springborg	47	46	50	38
Simpson	10	12	8	5
Lingard	7	4	11	10
Seeney	2	1	2	7
Rowell	2	2	3	-
Someone else	1	-	1	-
Can't say	31	35	25	40
Total	100	100	100	100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Significantly more men (54%) than women (40%) would prefer Mr Springborg to lead the National Party at the next State election.  Fifty-four per cent of those aged 50 and over would prefer Mr Springborg, compared with 36% of those aged 18-24.

	Electors 18+	Analysis by Sex and Age
	Apr
	2006	Men	Women	18-24#	25-34#	35-49	50+
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Springborg	47	54	40	36	41	44	54
Simpson	10	8	11	3	15	11	8
Lingard	7	7	8	13	5	3	10
Seeney	2	2	1	-	-	2	3
Rowell	2	-	4	6	6	-	1
Someone else	1	1	2	-	-	1	2
Can't say	31	28	34	42	33	39	22
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

This special Roy Morgan telephone survey was conducted on the evenings of March 29/30 and April 5/6, 2006 with a Queensland-wide cross section of 235 men and women electors. More details are available on a subscription basis.

The Morgan Poll is conducted by the ONLY Australian and New Zealand member of
the Gallup International Association.

No Other public opinion poll taken in Australia has this qualification.

For further information:

Gary Morgan:        Office +61 3 9224 5213      Mobile +61 411 129 094       Home +61 3 9419 3242
Michele Levine:   Office +61 3 9224 5215       Mobile  +61 411 129 093       Home +61 3 9817 3066 

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