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Conducted for the 2006 Future Summit and published exclusively in The Australian, April 20 2006

An overwhelming majority of Australians (71% up 4% from 67% in November 2005) think that if we don’t act now, it will be too late to address the consequences of global warming, a special Roy Morgan telephone survey finds.  Now 12% of Australians aged 14 and over (down 1% since November 2005), think that concerns are exaggerated when it comes to global warming, however 14% (down 1%) think it is already too late, while 3% (down 2%) can’t say.

Women are more concerned about the effects of global warming than men: 74% of women think that if we don’t act now, it will be too late, compared with only 67% of men. Conversely men (16%) are more likely than women (9%) to believe that concerns about global warming are exaggerated. Almost nine-in-ten (87%) Australians aged 14-17 believe that if we don’t act now on global warming it will be too late, however only 64% of those aged 18-24 think that if we don’t act now it will be too late.

Greens supporters (79%) are most likely to think that if we don’t act now, it will be too late, followed by Liberal-National Party supporters (71%) and supporters of Independent candidates and other parties (70%). ALP supporters (19%) are more likely to believe that it is already too late than supporters of any other political party, while supporters of Independent candidates and other parties (21%), followed by supporters of the L-NP (18%) are more likely to believe that concerns are exaggerated.

Analysis on a State-by-State basis shows Tasmanian residents are the least likely to think concerns are exaggerated (8%) and the most likely to think that it is already too late (23%). Those living in South Australia and the Northern Territory (77%) closely followed by those living in NSW (76%) are the most likely to think that if we don’t act now, it will be too late.

Gary Morgan says:

“Global warming continues to be a hot topic in Australia.  More than seven-in-ten Australians (71%) think that if we don’t act now it will be too late  — up 4% from 67% in November 2005. Of some concern, 14% of Australians  think it is already too late. 

Women are more worried about global warming than men, more women than men think that if we don’t act now it will be too late (74% cf 67%) and that it is already too late (15% cf 14%), meanwhile more men (16%) than women (9%) think that concerns about global warming are exaggerated.”

This special telephone Roy Morgan Survey conducted for the 2006 Future Summit was conducted on April 5/6 with an Australia-wide cross-section of 669 men and women aged 14 and over. More details are available on a subscription basis. The Future Summit will be held at the Brisbane Convention and Exhibition Centre on May 11/12.

Views About Global Warming

Respondents were asked: “Which of the following is closest to your view about Global Warming?”

A clear majority of respondents think Australia must immediately begin addressing global warming issues, otherwise it will be too late.  Those in South Australia and the Northern Territory (77%) were most likely to share this view, followed closely by those in New South Wales (76%) and Western Australia (70%).  Almost a quarter (23%) of respondents from Tasmania think it’s already too late, while 17% of Victorians think concerns are exaggerated.

	Electors 18+		Analysis by Region and State
	Nov 2005	Apr 2006	Metro	Country	NSW	Vic	Qld	SA/NT	WA	Tas#
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Concerns are exaggerated	13	12	12	13	10	17	14	10	12	8
If we don’t act now, it will be too late	67	71	71	70	76	68	61	77	70	69
It is already too late	15	14	15	14	12	13	19	11	15	23
Can’t say	5	3	2	3	2	2	6	2	3	-
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

#Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Men were slightly more sceptical of global warming than women: 16% of men think concerns are exaggerated compared with 9% of women. Sixty-seven per cent of men think that if Australia doesn’t act now it will be too late compared to 74% of women.  Those aged 14-17 (87%) and those aged 50 and over (71%) were more likely to think we must act now.

	Electors 18+		Analysis by Sex and Age
	Nov 2005	Apr 2006	Men	Women	14-17#	18-24	25-34	35-49	50+
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Concerns are exaggerated	13	12	16	9	2	16	10	12	15
If we don’t act now, it will be too late	67	71	67	74	87	64	70	69	71
It is already too late	15	14	14	15	11	20	18	16	11
Can’t say	5	3	3	2	-	-	2	3	3
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

#Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Supporters of Independent and Other candidates (21%) and the Coalition Government (18%) are the most likely to think concerns relating to global warming are exaggerated.  Greens supporters (79%) are most likely to believe that Australia must act now, unless it will be too late.

	Electors 18+		Analysis by Federal Voting Intention
					The	Ind/	No
	Nov 2005	April 2006	L-NP	ALP	Greens	Other#	Answer*
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Concerns are exaggerated	13	12	18	9	2	21	7
If we don’t act now, it will be too late	67	71	71	69	79	70	71
It is already too late	15	14	9	19	15	9	19
Can’t say	5	3	2	3	4	-	3
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

*Includes all respondents who were undecided on voting intention, plus those ineligible to vote and those aged 14-17

This special telephone Roy Morgan Survey conducted for the 2006 Future Summit was conducted on April 5/6 with an Australia-wide cross-section of 669 men and women aged 14 and over. More details are available on a subscription basis. The Future Summit will be held at the Brisbane Convention and Exhibition Centre on May 11/12.

The Morgan Poll is conducted by the ONLY Australian and New Zealand member of
the Gallup International Association.

No Other public opinion poll taken in Australia has this qualification.

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