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Majority Of Australians Think Howard, Vaile, Downer Unethical Over Grains To Iraq

Finding No. 4016 - April 22, 2006

A majority of Australians (54%) think Prime Minister John Howard did not act ethically over AWB Ltd.’s wheat to Iraq deals a special telephone Morgan Poll finds. Similar proportions of Australians aged 14 and over think Foreign Minister Alexander Downer (56%) and Deputy Prime Minister and Trade Minister Mark Vaile (55%) did not act ethically. This special telephone Morgan Poll was

conducted on April 19/20 in the week following the appearance of Mr Howard, Mr Downer and Mr Vaile at the Cole Royal Commission into AWB Ltd.’s grain dealings with Iraq.

Now four-in-five (80% up 3% since late February) Australians are aware of the Royal Commission and only 20% (down 3%) are unaware of the Royal Commission. When it comes to perceptions of the Federal Government as a whole 63% (up 6% from 57%) think it acted ethically on the issue while 18% (up 1%) think it did not act ethically.

Almost two-thirds (65% up 6%) of Australians think AWB Ltd. did not act ethically in their negotiations to sell wheat to Iraq, 12% (unchanged) think it acted ethically and 23% (down 6%) couldn’t say.

Of those Australians who are aware of the Royal Commission, 58% think Mr Howard did not act ethically, 63% think Mr Downer did not act ethically and 63% think Mr Vaile did not act ethically. Almost three-quarters (74%) of Australians who had heard of the Royal Commission think AWB acted unethically and 68% think the Federal Government acted unethically.

Gary Morgan says:

“Clear majorities of Australians think that Prime Minister Howard (54%), Foreign Minister Downer (56%) and Trade Minister Vaile (55%) did not act ethically over the AWB affair. These senior Government Ministers all gave evidence to the Cole Royal Commission last week

Furthermore 65% of Australians (up 6% since late February) think AWB Ltd.’s actions were not ethical and 63% (up 6%)  those of the Government.

 The Prime Minister and his Ministers seem unconcerned about the fallout from the AWB Royal Commission, the “sleeper” however is the possibility that Commissioner Cole may recommend criminal charges be laid.”

This special telephone Morgan Poll was conducted on the evenings of April 19-20, 2006, with an Australia-wide sample of 658 respondents aged 14 and over.

1. - Are You Aware Of The Royal Commission Into The AWB’s Dealings With The Iraqi Government?

Respondents were first asked:  "Next about the Royal Commission into AWB Ltd.’s (formerly the Australian Wheat Board) dealings with the Iraqi Government under the United Nations oil-for-food program.  Are you aware of the Royal commission or not?

 

Total All People 14+

Analysis by Sex and Age

 

Feb 1-2

2006

Feb 8-9,

2006

Feb 22-23,

2006

Apr 19-20,

2006

Men

Women

14-17#

18-24

25-34

35-49

50+

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, aware

68

75

77

80

83

77

38

47

76

91

93

No, not aware

32

25

23

20

17

23

62

53

24

9

7

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

 

Total All People 14+

Analysis by Region and State

Feb 1-2

2006

Feb 8-9,

2006

Feb 22-23,

 2006

Apr 19-20,

2006

Capital Cities

Country Areas

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA/NT

WA

Tas#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, aware

68

75

77

80

82

77

81

75

84

74

84

85

No, not aware

32

25

23

20

18

23

19

25

16

26

16

15

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

 # Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

 

Total All People 14+

Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

Feb 1-2

2006

Feb 8-9

 2006

Feb 22-23

 2006

Apr 19-20

 2006

L-NP

ALP

Aust.

Dems#

The Greens

One Nation#

Family First#

Ind/

Other#

No Answer

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, aware

68

75

77

80

86

84

93

87

49

75

88

53

No, not aware

32

25

23

20

14

16

7

13

51

25

12

47

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

2. - Did AWB Ltd. Act Ethically In Their Negotiations To Sell Wheat To The Iraqi Government?

Respondents were then asked:  " In your opinion, did AWB Ltd. act ethically in their negotiations to sell wheat to the Iraqi Government, or not?

Total All People 14+

Analysis by Sex and Age

 

Feb 1-2

2006

Feb 8-9,

2006

Feb 22-23,

2006

Apr 19-20,

2006

Men

Women

14-17#

18-24

25-34

35-49

50+

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes acted ethically

12

13

12

12

15

9

12

9

8

14

12

No, did not act ethically

50

53

59

65

68

61

35

54

65

70

70

Can’t say

38

34

29

23

17

30

53

37

27

16

18

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Total All People 14+

Analysis by Region and State

Feb 1-2

2006

Feb 8-9,

2006

Feb 22-23,

2006

Apr 19-20,

2006

Capital Cities

Country Areas

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA/NT

WA

Tas#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes acted ethically

12

13

12

12

10

14

12

14

8

14

12

4

No, did not act ethically

50

53

59

65

67

61

68

60

63

58

70

78

Can’t say

38

34

29

23

23

25

20

26

29

28

18

18

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Total All People 14+

Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

 

Feb 1-2

2006

Feb 8-9, 2006

Feb 22-23, 2006

Apr 19-20,

2006

L-NP

ALP

Aust.

Dems#

The Greens

One Nation#

Family First#

Ind/

Other#

No Answer

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes acted ethically

12

13

12

12

19

6

7

8

-

-

17

11

No, did not act ethically

50

53

59

65

58

74

93

84

90

76

67

41

Can’t say

38

34

29

23

23

20

-

8

10

24

16

48

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

 

Total All People 14+

Analysis by Awareness Of The Royal Commission

Feb 8-9,

2006

Feb 22-23,

2006

Apr 19-20,

2006

Aware

Not Aware

 

%

%

%

%

%

Yes acted ethically

13

12

12

12

9

No, did not act ethically

53

59

65

74

29

Can’t say

34

29

23

14

62

Total

100

100

100

100

100


3. - Did The Federal Government Act Ethically On This Issue Or Not?

Respondents were then asked:  “Recently there has been discussion about whether or how much the Federal Government knew of AWB Ltd. paying bribes to the Iraqi Government in their negotiations to sell wheat.  From what you know or have heard, do you think the Federal Government acted ethically on this issue, or not?”

 

Total All People 14+

Analysis by Sex and Age

 

Feb 8-9,

2006

Feb 22-23,

2006

Apr 19-20,

2006

Men

Women

14-17#

18-24

25-34

35-49

50+

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes acted ethically

16

17

18

23

14

12

9

17

19

22

No, did not act ethically

56

57

63

61

65

49

64

63

69

61

Can’t say

28

26

19

16

21

39

27

20

12

17

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Total All People 14+

Analysis by Region and State

Feb 8-9,

2006

Feb 22-23,

2006

Apr 19-20,

2006

Capital Cities

Country Areas

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA/NT

WA

Tas#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes acted ethically

16

17

18

17

21

19

17

15

15

21

32

No, did not act ethically

56

57

63

65

60

64

62

63

66

65

48

Can’t say

28

26

19

18

19

17

21

22

19

14

20

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

 # Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Total All People 14+

Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

Feb 8-9,

2006

Feb 22-23,

2006

Apr 19-20,

2006

L-NP

ALP

Aust.

Dems#

The Greens#

One Nation#

Family First#

Ind/

Other#

No Answer

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes acted ethically

16

17

18

37

6

-

7

16

12

13

14

No, did not act ethically

56

57

63

44

81

93

80

75

76

72

47

Can’t say

28

26

19

19

13

7

13

9

12

15

39

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Total All People Aged 14+

Analysis by Awareness Of The Royal Commission

Feb 8-9,

2006

Feb 22-23,

2006

Apr 19-20,

2006

Aware

Not Aware

 

%

%

%

%

%

Yes acted ethically

16

17

18

20

13

No, did not act ethically

56

57

63

68

43

Can’t say

28

26

19

12

44

Total

100

100

100

100

100

 

4. - Did Prime Minister John Howard Act Ethically On This Issue Or Not?

Respondents were then asked:  “From what you know or have heard, do you think that Prime Minister, John Howard, acted ethically on this issue, or not?”

 

Total All People 14+

Analysis by Sex and Age

 

Apr 19-20,

2006

Men

Women

14-17#

18-24

25-34

35-49

50+

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes acted ethically

29

33

26

28

23

25

31

32

No, did not act ethically

54

54

53

39

58

51

56

54

Can’t say

17

13

21

33

19

24

13

14

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Total All People 14+

Analysis by Region and State

Apr 19-20,

2006

Capital Cities

Country Areas

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA/NT

WA

Tas#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes acted ethically

29

28

32

29

27

32

24

32

37

No, did not act ethically

54

56

50

57

54

44

58

59

42

Can’t say

17

16

18

14

19

24

18

9

21

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

 # Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Total All People 14+

Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

Apr 19-20,

2006

L-NP

ALP

Aust.

Dems#

The Greens#

One Nation#

Family First#

Ind/

Other#

No Answer

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes acted ethically

29

56

11

13

9

16

12

25

27

No, did not act ethically

54

29

73

73

82

75

76

71

38

Can’t say

17

15

16

14

9

9

12

4

35

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Total All People Aged 14+

Analysis by Awareness Of The

Royal Commission

Apr 19-20,

2006

Aware

Not Aware

 

%

%

%

Yes acted ethically

29

31

23

No, did not act ethically

54

58

37

Can’t say

17

11

40

Total

100

100

100


5. - Did Foreign Minister Alexander Downer Act Ethically On This Issue Or Not?

Respondents were then asked:  “From what you know or have heard, do you think that Foreign Minister, Alexander Downer, acted ethically on this issue, or not?”

 

Total All People 14+

Analysis by Sex and Age

 

Apr 19-20,

2006

Men

Women

14-17#

18-24

25-34

35-49

50+

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes acted ethically

23

30

16

20

16

20

22

27

No, did not act ethically

56

54

59

33

52

54

62

60

Can’t say

21

16

25

47

32

26

16

13

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Total All People 14+

Analysis by Region and State

Apr 19-20,

2006

Capital Cities

Country Areas

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA/NT

WA

Tas#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes acted ethically

23