Majority Of Australians Think Howard, Vaile, Downer Unethical Over Grains To Iraq
| Finding No. 4016 -
April 22, 2006 |
A majority of Australians (54%) think Prime Minister John Howard did not act ethically over AWB Ltd.’s wheat to Iraq deals a special telephone Morgan Poll finds. Similar proportions of Australians aged 14 and over think Foreign Minister Alexander Downer (56%) and Deputy Prime Minister and Trade Minister Mark Vaile (55%) did not act ethically. This special telephone Morgan Poll was
conducted on April 19/20 in the week following the appearance of Mr Howard, Mr Downer and Mr Vaile at the Cole Royal Commission into AWB Ltd.’s grain dealings with Iraq.
Now four-in-five (80% up 3% since late February) Australians are aware of the Royal Commission and only 20% (down 3%) are unaware of the Royal Commission. When it comes to perceptions of the Federal Government as a whole 63% (up 6% from 57%) think it acted ethically on the issue while 18% (up 1%) think it did not act ethically.
Almost two-thirds (65% up 6%) of Australians think AWB Ltd. did not act ethically in their negotiations to sell wheat to Iraq, 12% (unchanged) think it acted ethically and 23% (down 6%) couldn’t say.
Of those Australians who are aware of the Royal Commission, 58% think Mr Howard did not act ethically, 63% think Mr Downer did not act ethically and 63% think Mr Vaile did not act ethically. Almost three-quarters (74%) of Australians who had heard of the Royal Commission think AWB acted unethically and 68% think the Federal Government acted unethically.
Gary Morgan says:
“Clear majorities of Australians think that Prime Minister Howard (54%), Foreign Minister Downer (56%) and Trade Minister Vaile (55%) did not act ethically over the AWB affair. These senior Government Ministers all gave evidence to the Cole Royal Commission last week
Furthermore 65% of Australians (up 6% since late February) think AWB Ltd.’s actions were not ethical and 63% (up 6%) those of the Government.
The Prime Minister and his Ministers seem unconcerned about the fallout from the AWB Royal Commission, the “sleeper” however is the possibility that Commissioner Cole may recommend criminal charges be laid.”
This special telephone Morgan Poll was conducted on the evenings of April 19-20, 2006, with an Australia-wide sample of 658 respondents aged 14 and over.
1. - Are You Aware Of The Royal Commission Into The AWB’s Dealings With The Iraqi Government?
Respondents were first asked: "Next about the Royal Commission into AWB Ltd.’s (formerly the Australian Wheat Board) dealings with the Iraqi Government under the United Nations oil-for-food program. Are you aware of the Royal commission or not?”
|
Total All People 14+ |
Analysis by Sex and Age |
|
|
Feb 1-2
2006 |
Feb 8-9,
2006 |
Feb 22-23,
2006 |
Apr 19-20,
2006 |
Men |
Women |
14-17# |
18-24 |
25-34 |
35-49 |
50+ |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Yes, aware |
68 |
75 |
77 |
80 |
83 |
77 |
38 |
47 |
76 |
91 |
93 |
|
No, not aware |
32 |
25 |
23 |
20 |
17 |
23 |
62 |
53 |
24 |
9 |
7 |
|
Total |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution
|
Total All People 14+ |
Analysis by Region and State |
|
|
Feb 1-2
2006 |
Feb 8-9,
2006 |
Feb 22-23,
2006 |
Apr 19-20,
2006 |
Capital Cities |
Country Areas |
NSW |
Vic |
Qld |
SA/NT |
WA |
Tas# |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Yes, aware |
68 |
75 |
77 |
80 |
82 |
77 |
81 |
75 |
84 |
74 |
84 |
85 |
|
No, not aware |
32 |
25 |
23 |
20 |
18 |
23 |
19 |
25 |
16 |
26 |
16 |
15 |
|
Total |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution
|
Total All People 14+ |
Analysis by Federal Voting Intention |
|
|
Feb 1-2
2006 |
Feb 8-9
2006 |
Feb 22-23
2006 |
Apr 19-20
2006 |
L-NP |
ALP |
Aust.
Dems# |
The Greens |
One Nation# |
Family First# |
Ind/
Other# |
No Answer |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Yes, aware |
68 |
75 |
77 |
80 |
86 |
84 |
93 |
87 |
49 |
75 |
88 |
53 |
|
No, not aware |
32 |
25 |
23 |
20 |
14 |
16 |
7 |
13 |
51 |
25 |
12 |
47 |
|
Total |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 | # Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution
2. - Did AWB Ltd. Act Ethically In Their Negotiations To Sell Wheat To The Iraqi Government?
Respondents were then asked: " In your opinion, did AWB Ltd. act ethically in their negotiations to sell wheat to the Iraqi Government, or not?”
|
Total All People 14+ |
Analysis by Sex and Age |
|
|
Feb 1-2
2006 |
Feb 8-9,
2006 |
Feb 22-23,
2006 |
Apr 19-20,
2006 |
Men |
Women |
14-17# |
18-24 |
25-34 |
35-49 |
50+ |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Yes acted ethically |
12 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
15 |
9 |
12 |
9 |
8 |
14 |
12 |
|
No, did not act ethically |
50 |
53 |
59 |
65 |
68 |
61 |
35 |
54 |
65 |
70 |
70 |
|
Can’t say |
38 |
34 |
29 |
23 |
17 |
30 |
53 |
37 |
27 |
16 |
18 |
|
Total |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution
|
Total All People 14+ |
Analysis by Region and State |
|
|
Feb 1-2
2006 |
Feb 8-9,
2006 |
Feb 22-23,
2006 |
Apr 19-20,
2006 |
Capital Cities |
Country Areas |
NSW |
Vic |
Qld |
SA/NT |
WA |
Tas# |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Yes acted ethically |
12 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
10 |
14 |
12 |
14 |
8 |
14 |
12 |
4 |
|
No, did not act ethically |
50 |
53 |
59 |
65 |
67 |
61 |
68 |
60 |
63 |
58 |
70 |
78 |
|
Can’t say |
38 |
34 |
29 |
23 |
23 |
25 |
20 |
26 |
29 |
28 |
18 |
18 |
|
Total |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution
|
Total All People 14+ |
Analysis by Federal Voting Intention |
|
|
|
Feb 1-2
2006 |
Feb 8-9, 2006 |
Feb 22-23, 2006 |
Apr 19-20,
2006 |
L-NP |
ALP |
Aust.
Dems# |
The Greens |
One Nation# |
Family First# |
Ind/
Other# |
No Answer |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Yes acted ethically |
12 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
19 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
- |
- |
17 |
11 |
|
No, did not act ethically |
50 |
53 |
59 |
65 |
58 |
74 |
93 |
84 |
90 |
76 |
67 |
41 |
|
Can’t say |
38 |
34 |
29 |
23 |
23 |
20 |
- |
8 |
10 |
24 |
16 |
48 |
|
Total |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution
|
|
Total All People 14+ |
Analysis by Awareness Of The Royal Commission |
|
|
Feb 8-9,
2006 |
Feb 22-23,
2006 |
Apr 19-20,
2006 |
Aware |
Not Aware |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Yes acted ethically |
13 |
12 |
12 |
12 |
9 |
|
No, did not act ethically |
53 |
59 |
65 |
74 |
29 |
|
Can’t say |
34 |
29 |
23 |
14 |
62 |
|
Total |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
3. - Did The Federal Government Act Ethically On This Issue Or Not?
Respondents were then asked: “Recently there has been discussion about whether or how much the Federal Government knew of AWB Ltd. paying bribes to the Iraqi Government in their negotiations to sell wheat. From what you know or have heard, do you think the Federal Government acted ethically on this issue, or not?”
|
|
Total All People 14+ |
Analysis by Sex and Age |
|
|
Feb 8-9,
2006 |
Feb 22-23,
2006 |
Apr 19-20,
2006 |
Men |
Women |
14-17# |
18-24 |
25-34 |
35-49 |
50+ |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Yes acted ethically |
16 |
17 |
18 |
23 |
14 |
12 |
9 |
17 |
19 |
22 |
|
No, did not act ethically |
56 |
57 |
63 |
61 |
65 |
49 |
64 |
63 |
69 |
61 |
|
Can’t say |
28 |
26 |
19 |
16 |
21 |
39 |
27 |
20 |
12 |
17 |
|
Total |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution
|
|
Total All People 14+ |
Analysis by Region and State |
|
|
Feb 8-9,
2006 |
Feb 22-23,
2006 |
Apr 19-20,
2006 |
Capital Cities |
Country Areas |
NSW |
Vic |
Qld |
SA/NT |
WA |
Tas# |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Yes acted ethically |
16 |
17 |
18 |
17 |
21 |
19 |
17 |
15 |
15 |
21 |
32 |
|
No, did not act ethically |
56 |
57 |
63 |
65 |
60 |
64 |
62 |
63 |
66 |
65 |
48 |
|
Can’t say |
28 |
26 |
19 |
18 |
19 |
17 |
21 |
22 |
19 |
14 |
20 |
|
Total |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution
|
|
Total All People 14+ |
Analysis by Federal Voting Intention |
|
|
Feb 8-9,
2006 |
Feb 22-23,
2006 |
Apr 19-20,
2006 |
L-NP |
ALP |
Aust.
Dems# |
The Greens# |
One Nation# |
Family First# |
Ind/
Other# |
No Answer |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Yes acted ethically |
16 |
17 |
18 |
37 |
6 |
- |
7 |
16 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
|
No, did not act ethically |
56 |
57 |
63 |
44 |
81 |
93 |
80 |
75 |
76 |
72 |
47 |
|
Can’t say |
28 |
26 |
19 |
19 |
13 |
7 |
13 |
9 |
12 |
15 |
39 |
|
Total |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution
|
|
Total All People Aged 14+ |
Analysis by Awareness Of The Royal Commission |
|
|
Feb 8-9,
2006 |
Feb 22-23,
2006 |
Apr 19-20,
2006 |
Aware |
Not Aware |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Yes acted ethically |
16 |
17 |
18 |
20 |
13 |
|
No, did not act ethically |
56 |
57 |
63 |
68 |
43 |
|
Can’t say |
28 |
26 |
19 |
12 |
44 |
|
Total |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
4. - Did Prime Minister John Howard Act Ethically On This Issue Or Not?
Respondents were then asked: “From what you know or have heard, do you think that Prime Minister, John Howard, acted ethically on this issue, or not?”
|
|
Total All People 14+ |
Analysis by Sex and Age |
|
|
Apr 19-20,
2006 |
Men |
Women |
14-17# |
18-24 |
25-34 |
35-49 |
50+ |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Yes acted ethically |
29 |
33 |
26 |
28 |
23 |
25 |
31 |
32 |
|
No, did not act ethically |
54 |
54 |
53 |
39 |
58 |
51 |
56 |
54 |
|
Can’t say |
17 |
13 |
21 |
33 |
19 |
24 |
13 |
14 |
|
Total |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution
|
|
Total All People 14+ |
Analysis by Region and State |
|
|
Apr 19-20,
2006 |
Capital Cities |
Country Areas |
NSW |
Vic |
Qld |
SA/NT |
WA |
Tas# |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Yes acted ethically |
29 |
28 |
32 |
29 |
27 |
32 |
24 |
32 |
37 |
|
No, did not act ethically |
54 |
56 |
50 |
57 |
54 |
44 |
58 |
59 |
42 |
|
Can’t say |
17 |
16 |
18 |
14 |
19 |
24 |
18 |
9 |
21 |
|
Total |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution
|
|
Total All People 14+ |
Analysis by Federal Voting Intention |
|
|
Apr 19-20,
2006 |
L-NP |
ALP |
Aust.
Dems# |
The Greens# |
One Nation# |
Family First# |
Ind/
Other# |
No Answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Yes acted ethically |
29 |
56 |
11 |
13 |
9 |
16 |
12 |
25 |
27 |
|
|
No, did not act ethically |
54 |
29 |
73 |
73 |
82 |
75 |
76 |
71 |
38 |
|
|
Can’t say |
17 |
15 |
16 |
14 |
9 |
9 |
12 |
4 |
35 |
|
|
Total |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
|
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution
|
|
Total All People Aged 14+ |
Analysis by Awareness Of The
Royal Commission |
|
|
Apr 19-20,
2006 |
Aware |
Not Aware |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
Yes acted ethically |
29 |
31 |
23 |
|
No, did not act ethically |
54 |
58 |
37 |
|
Can’t say |
17 |
11 |
40 |
|
Total |
100 |
100 |
100 |
5. - Did Foreign Minister Alexander Downer Act Ethically On This Issue Or Not?
Respondents were then asked: “From what you know or have heard, do you think that Foreign Minister, Alexander Downer, acted ethically on this issue, or not?”
|
|
Total All People 14+ |
Analysis by Sex and Age |
|
|
Apr 19-20,
2006 |
Men |
Women |
14-17# |
18-24 |
25-34 |
35-49 |
50+ |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Yes acted ethically |
23 |
30 |
16 |
20 |
16 |
20 |
22 |
27 |
|
No, did not act ethically |
56 |
54 |
59 |
33 |
52 |
54 |
62 |
60 |
|
Can’t say |
21 |
16 |
25 |
47 |
32 |
26 |
16 |
13 |
|
Total |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution
|
|
Total All People 14+ |
Analysis by Region and State |
|
|
Apr 19-20,
2006 |
Capital Cities |
Country Areas |
NSW |
Vic |
Qld |
SA/NT |
WA |
Tas# |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Yes acted ethically |
23 |
| |