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More Australians Approve Than Disapprove Of Nuclear Power Plants Although Most Concerned About Disposal Of Waste

Finding No. 4032 - June 10, 2006

More Australians approve (49%) than disapprove (37%) the introduction of nuclear power plants to replace coal, oil and gas power plants to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, while 14% can’t say, a special Morgan Poll conducted after Prime Minister John Howard announced an inquiry into the Australian uranium industry finds.

However, 87% of Australians are concerned about the disposal of nuclear waste if nuclear power plants were introduced in Australia, while 12% said they are not concerned, and 1% couldn’t say.

Now 54% (down 1% from 55% in April 2006) of Australians aged 14 and over, agree that Australia should continue to develop and export uranium for peaceful purposes, while 36% say we should not, and 10% can’t say.

Sixty-five per cent of Australians (down 5% from 70% in October 2005) oppose expanding the three mines policy, 25% (up 2% from 23% in October 2005) agree there should be more than three mines, and 10% can’t say.

Just under three-quarters (73%) of Australians say they had heard about PM Howard’s impending inquiry into the Australian uranium industry, with a similar proportion (71%) agreeing that it should proceed. Twenty-two don’t think the inquiry should go ahead, and 6% can’t say.

Gary Morgan says:

“Following much debate on the Australian uranium industry, more Australians (49%) approve than disapprove (37%) the introduction of nuclear power plants to replace coal, oil, and gas plants to replace greenhouse gas emissions.

“However, with 87% of Australians concerned about the disposal of nuclear waste the Government needs to assure Australians that there will be no adverse effects if nuclear energy is introduced.”

 

Special Roy Morgan Qualitative Research in which respondents gave their reason for approving or disapproving nuclear power plants replacing coal, oil and gas power plants to reduce greenhouse gas emissions found:

Those who approved of the introduction of nuclear power plants into Australia cited improved technology the environmental benefits as well as its long-term viability: “I think we now have the technology to ensure that it’s safe and apart from there being a Chernobyl-type accident, it would be more efficient and globally better than the current way of doing it as far as emissions and greenhouse gases go”, “You have to keep moving forward — we have been burning coal for years, its an old technology. Nuclear technology will probably be the way of the future”, and “We’ve got to do something about cleaning up this world, when they bought oil into the world, if they had known about the world as they do now, they would’ve banned oil. Uranium is the cleanest fuel.”

A number of respondents acknowledged the need to look at power production methods apart from coal, oil and gas, however, a large portion of these thought that the Government should be looking at more environmentally friendly sources of power, rather than nuclear: “I think they should look into wind power and solar power before they jump into nuclear power”, “Nuclear may be better than coal, but they should look into alternatives to nuclear power”, and “A lot of research is going into alternative methods such as solar power, wind power, and hydrogen fuel. It would be a backward step to go nuclear, even though the cost up front appears to be cheaper, in the long-term the cost of dismantling reactors would far outweigh the short-term benefits.”

A number of respondents accepted that nuclear power was likely to be a source of future power, despite citing concerns surrounding its introduction: “Nuclear waste is hard to get rid of, but we need to find a replacement for our natural resources before we run out”, “It would be cleaner, but it’s the storage of the waste that’s the problem — this problem still needs to be addressed”, and “On the basis of reducing greenhouse gases I approve, but in Australia I don’t think it’s an economically viable alternative.”

Opponents of the introduction of nuclear power plants are quick to cite past uranium/nuclear disasters and perceived health risks as reason enough: “I’m worried about the negative effects of uranium exposure — it can kill people”, “I don’t think enough research has been done on what they’re going to do with the waste”, and “The uranium industry has been proven to cover up its mistakes — Chernobyl, Three Mile Island — every time there is an issue, there is a cover-up. I don’t believe we know enough about treating the end product safely. It (nuclear power) may be a reality, but I’m still concerned about why this inquiry is not covering alternative means of energy — locked out for business reasons?”

This special telephone Roy Morgan Survey was conducted on June 7/8, 2006, with an Australia-wide cross-section of 594 men and women aged 14 and over. More details are available on a subscription basis.

For further information:

Gary Morgan

Office +61 3 9224 5213

Mobile +61 411 129 094

Home +61 3 9419 3242

Michele Levine

Office +61 3 9224 5215

Mobile +61 411 129 093

Home +61 3 9817 3066

1. Should Australia Develop And Export Uranium For Peaceful Purposes?

Respondents were asked: “Do you think Australia should - or should not develop and export uranium for peaceful purposes?”

The percentage of Australians who think Australia "should develop and export uranium for peaceful purposes" in June 2006 (54%) is the equal-lowest (with October 2005 and April 1979) on record.

 

Total Respondents

 

 

Jul

Apr

Jul

Jul

Nov

Apr

Jun

Mar

Feb

Mar

Oct

Apr

Jun

 

1978

1979

1982

1983

1983

1984

1991

1996

2005

2005

2005

2006

2006

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, should

59

54

66

66

66

65

62

60

59

61

54

55

54

No, should not

27

32

25

26

23

29

31

34

32

32

38

35

36

Can’t say

14

14

9

8

11

6

7

6

9

7

8

10

10

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

 

 

Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

 

 

 

 

The

Ind/

No

 

June 2006

L-NP

ALP

Greens

Other

Answer*

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, should

54

70

45

18

57

55

No, should not

36

22

46

71

35

27

Can’t say

10

8

9

11

8

18

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

*Includes all respondents who were undecided on voting intention, plus those ineligible to vote and those aged 14-17

 

 

Analysis by Sex and Age

 

June 2006

Men

Women

14-17#

18-24#

25-34

35-49

50+

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, should

54

64

44

52

50

48

53

59

No, should not

36

30

42

30

41

38

41

31

Can’t say

10

6

14

18

9

14

6

10

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

 

 

Analysis by Region and State

 

June 2006

Metro

Country

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA/NT

WA

Tas#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, should

54

54

54

56

49

55

60

51

44

No, should not

36

35

37

34

39

33

34

40

46

Can’t say

10

11

9

10

12

12

6

9

10

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

 

2. Should More Uranium Mines Operate In Australia?

Respondents were then told: “At present the State Labor Governments have a policy restricting the number of uranium mines to three.” They were then asked: “In your opinion, should there be more than three uranium mines operating in Australia or not?”

 

   

Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

   

 

 

 

The

Ind/

No

 

October 2005

June 2006

L-NP

ALP

Greens

Other

Answer*

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, should

23

25

32

20

17

24

29

No, should not

70

65

56

73

72

64

64

Can’t say

7

10

12

7

11

12

7

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

*Includes all respondents who were undecided on voting intention, plus those ineligible to vote and those aged 14-17

 

   

 

Analysis by Sex and Age

 

October 2005

June 2006

Men

Women

14-17#

18-24#

25-34

35-49

50+

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, should

23

25

36

15

32

12

23

25

29

No, should not

70

65

55

74

68

76

66

65

60

Can’t say

7

10

9

11

-

12

11

10

11

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

 

   

Analysis by Region and State

 

October 2005

June 2006

Metro

Country

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA/NT

WA

Tas#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, should

23

25

25

26

25

17

32

38

29

15

No, should not

70

65

64

66

65

73

59

56

59

83

Can’t say

7

10

11

8

10

10

9

6

12

2

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

 

3. Inquiry into the Australian Uranium Industry

Respondents were then told: “Australia has approximately 40% of the world’s known low-cost recoverable uranium reserves. This week Prime Minister John Howard announced an inquiry into the Australian uranium industry to cover: whether more than three uranium mines should operate; the viability of enriching uranium in Australia; and the viability of building nuclear power plants in Australia.” They were then asked: “Have you read, seen or heard about the inquiry?”

 

Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

 

 

The

Ind/

No

 

June 2006

L-NP

ALP

Greens

Other

Answer*

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, have heard

73

78

76

82

74

52

No, haven’t heard

27

22

24

18

26

48

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

*Includes all respondents who were undecided on voting intention, plus those ineligible to vote and those aged 14-17

 

 

Analysis by Sex and Age

 

June 2006

Men

Women

14-17#

18-24#

25-34

35-49

50+

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, have heard

73

78

69

39

62

57

78

87

No, haven’t heard

27

22

31

61

38

43

22

13

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

 

 

Analysis by Region and State

 

June 2006

Metro

Country

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA/NT

WA

Tas#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, have heard

73

76

68

72

79

71

70

69

88

No, haven’t heard

27

24

32

28

21

29

30

31

12

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

 

4. Should the Uranium Inquiry Proceed?

Respondents were then asked: “Do you believe the inquiry into the Australian uranium industry should proceed or not?”

 

Analysis by Awareness of Inquiry

 

June 2006

Have heard

Haven’t heard

 

%

%

%

Yes, should

71

76

61

No, should not

22

20

27

Can’t say

7

4

12

Total

100

100

100

 

 

Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

 

 

 

 

The

Ind/

No

 

June 2006

L-NP

ALP

Greens

Other

Answer*

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, should

71

87

63

59

75

59

No, should not

22

10

27

39

20

30

Can’t say

7

3

10

2

5

11

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

*Includes all respondents who were undecided on voting intention, plus those ineligible to vote and those aged 14-17

 

Analysis by Sex and Age

 

June 2006

Men

Women

14-17#

18-24#

25-34

35-49

50+

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, should

71

80

64

56

67

76

71

74

No, should not

22

16

27

38

24

15

23

21

Can’t say

7

4

9

6

9

9

6

5

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

 

 

Analysis by Region and State

 

June 2006

Metro

Country

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA/NT

WA

Tas#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, should

71

72

70

70

74

71

80

69

57

No, should not

22

22

23

22

22

23

15

23

34

Can’t say

7

6

7

8

4

6

5

8

9

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

 

5. Approval of Nuclear Power Plants

Respondents were then asked: “Do you approve or disapprove of nuclear power plants replacing coal, oil, and gas power plants to reduce greenhouse gas emissions?”

 

 

Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

 

 

 

 

The

Ind/

No

 

June 2006

L-NP

ALP

Greens

Other

Answer*

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

Approve

49

57

39

25

56

61

Disapprove

37

25

48

64

33

29

Can’t say

14

18

13

11

11

10

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

*Includes all respondents who were undecided on voting intention, plus those ineligible to vote and those aged 14-17

 

Analysis by Sex and Age

 

June 2006

Men

Women

14-17#

18-24#

25-34

35-49

50+

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Approve

49

60

38

65

54

46

45

49

Disapprove

37

29

45

35

33

35

44

35

Can’t say

14

11

17

-

13

19

11

16

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

 

 

Analysis by Region and State

 

June 2006

Metro

Country

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA/NT

WA

Tas#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Approve

49

49

49

46

51

57

44

45

37

Disapprove

37

36

40

41

34

30

47

33

46

Can’t say

14

15

11

13

15

13

9

22

17

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

 

6. Nuclear Waste Disposal

Finally, respondents were told: “A major issue that arises from nuclear power plants relates to how and where nuclear waste is disposed.”  Respondents were then asked: “Are you concerned about the disposal of nuclear waste or not?”

 

Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

 

 

 

 

The

Ind/

No

 

June 2006

L-NP

ALP

Greens

Other

Answer*

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, concerned

87

85

89

97

91

81

No, not concerned

12

15

10

3

9

17

Can’t say

1

-

1

-

-

2

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

*Includes all respondents who were undecided on voting intention, plus those ineligible to vote and those aged 14-17

 

Analysis by Sex and Age

 

June 2006

Men

Women

14-17#

18-24#

25-34

35-49

50+

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, concerned

87

83

91

76

91

90

89

85

No, not concerned

12

16

8

24

9

7

11

15

Can’t say

1

1

1

-

-

3

-

-

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

 

 

Analysis by Region and State

 

June 2006

Metro

Country

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA/NT

WA

Tas#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, concerned

87

86

88

91

85

82

79

94

88

No, not concerned

12

13

11

8

15

16

21

6

8

Can’t say

1

1

1

1

-

2

-

-

4

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

The Morgan Poll is conducted by the ONLY Australian and New Zealand member of
the Gallup International Association.

No Other public opinion poll taken in Australia has this qualification.