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Howard Still The Man To Lead Liberals – Beazley Would Make Better PM Than Costello

Finding No. 4054 - July 14, 2006

Prime Minister John Howard is preferred by 43% (up 7% since March) of all electors to be the Coalition Leader at the next Federal Election, 17% (unchanged) prefer Peter Costello, 8% (down 1%) Alexander Downer and 6% for both Tony Abbott (unchanged) and Malcolm Turnbull (down 4%). Of L-NP voters, a substantial 70% prefer Mr Howard as Liberal Leader, while only 12% prefer Mr Costello according to a special telephone Morgan Poll over the last two nights.

In addition, a higher proportion of electors (48%) say Opposition Leader Kim Beazley would make a better Prime Minister than Peter Costello (41%), while 11% can’t say. This should be of concern to Mr Costello supporters as 61% (unchanged since March 2006) of electors believe John Howard is a better PM than Mr Beazley (34%) would be while 5% can’t say.


Of some consolation to Mr Costello, if John Howard retires, he is clearly the preferred Liberal Leader with 31% (up 2%) of all electors and 33% of L-NP supporters preferring him to lead the Liberal Party, while Mr Downer’s support increases 9% to 17% and Mr Abbott’s support increases 7% to 13%.


Approval of the way Mr Howard is handing his job as PM is up 3% to 52%, while a large 87% of L-NP voters approve.


Approval of the way Mr Beazley is handling his job as Opposition Leader is 39% (up 10% from 29% in March), but still 8% below his 47% approval rating in September last year.


However, the same proportion of electors (26%) prefer Labor front-bencher Julia Gillard (down 5% since March) to lead the Labor Party to the next election as they do Mr Beazley (up 6% since March).


When Mr Beazley is removed as a candidate for the Labor leadership, support for Ms Gillard rises 6% to 32% of all voters and 38% of ALP voters. Shadow Foreign Minister Kevin Rudd was supported by 20% of all electors and 25% of ALP voters to lead the Labor Party to the next election. Australian Workers’ Union Secretary Bill Shorten and Jenny Macklin are each preferred by 6% of all electors.


Gary Morgan says:


“This special telephone Morgan Poll shows that John Howard is clearly preferred as Australia’s Liberal PM irrespective of Peter Costello’s ‘deal’ in 1994.


“Mr Howard’s experience over many years was frequently mentioned in special qualitative research — it is clear he has built and maintained significant trust with electors.


“Many electors who prefer Kim Beazley for Prime Minster over Peter Costello point to the political error Mr Costello made this week in confronting John Howard. However, a week is a long time in politics — next week the media will be focusing on the economy; higher fuel prices, declining unemployment and a booming Australian economy forcing the RBA to lift interest rates!


“For the ‘academics’, the special telephone Morgan Poll two-party preferred vote over the last two night’s showed the ALP at 51%, L-NP 49%. Last weekend’s face-to-face Morgan Poll showed the ALP at 53.5%, L-NP 46.5%.”

Special Morgan Poll Qualitative Research looked at reasons why electors said John Howard, Peter Costello or Kim Beazley would make the better Prime Minister:

Given a choice between John Howard and Kim Beazley, many thought John Howard makes a better Prime Minister than Kim Beazley because of Mr Howard’s experience:
“He’s got the runs on the board, so to speak, and this experience generates trust”, “He has won four elections, and is better than any other Prime Minster for a long time”, “He’s really proved himself”, “Better the devil you know”, “John Howard is a proven performer”, “John Howard has kept the country on the right track, it’s gone forward with him”, “John Howard has more experience and makes the tough decisions when they need to be made”.


Given a choice between Peter Costello and Kim Beazley, many thought Peter Costello’s success as Treasurer placed him in a better position to run the country:
“He has a good economics background, and you need to be a businessman to run the country”, “Costello has done a great job as Treasurer”, “Peter Costello has a proven track record”, “He’s been Treasurer and we’ve seen continuing economic growth”, “He has his finger on the pulse more than Beazley”, He’s been in charge of the economy for a long time, and we’re in very good shape”, “He has been running the country when Howard is away anyway”.


Many of those who consider that Kim Beazley would make a better Prime Minster than Peter Costello highlighted Peter Costello’s political misstep by confronting John Howard:
“Costello has made a serious political error which shows that he is not up to the job”, “Recent circumstances have reinforced that he is immature”, “Mr. Costello has embarrassed himself recently”, “I don’t like Costello because he has been too pushy over the leadership”, “Costello just wants the top job and that’s it”.

This special telephone Morgan Poll was conducted on the evenings of July 12/13, 2006, with an Australia-wide cross section of 578 electors.

Roy Morgan Detailed Analysis
A detailed analysis of the results is available for $6,800 plus GST (this fee includes the data loaded in Roy Morgan’s Asteroid Software).

For further information:


Gary Morgan: Office (03) 9224 5213 Mobile 0411 129 094 Home (03) 9419 3242

Michele Levine: Office (03) 9224 5215 Mobile 0411 129 093 Home (03) 9817 3066

 

1. Better Prime Minister: Howard vs Beazley

Respondents were asked: “Thinking of Mr Howard and Mr Beazley. In your opinion, who would make the better Prime Minister — Mr Howard or Mr Beazley?”

Support for Mr Howard as better Prime Minister was highest with L-NP supporters (94%) followed by Family First (60%) and Australian Democrats (58%) voters. Support for Mr Beazley was highest with ALP supporters (64%) followed by the Greens (52%) and Australian Democrats (42%) supporters.

 

Electors 18+

Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

 

Jan

Sep

Mar

Jul

   

Aust

The

Family

Ind/

 

2005

2005

2006

2006

L-NP

ALP

Dem.#

Greens#

First#

Other#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Howard

57

59

61

61

94

32

58

38

60

57

Beazley

33

30

26

34

4

64

42

52

40

31

Other/can’t say

10

11

13

5

2

4

-

10

-

12

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

 

Support for Mr Howard as better Prime Minister was marginally higher amongst women (62%) than men (61%) and highest of all with voters aged 18-24 (70%). Support for Mr Beazley was the same with men and women (both 34%) and highest with those aged 35-49 (37%).

 

Electors 18+

                          Analysis by Sex and Age

 

Jan

Sep

Mar

Jul

           
 

2005

2005

2006

2006

Men

Women

18-24

25-34

35-49

50+

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Howard

57

59

61

61

61

62

70

62

56

62

Beazley

33

30

26

34

34

34

29

35

37

34

Other/can’t say

10

11

13

5

5

4

1

3

7

4

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

 

Sept 12/13, 2001

Sept 15/16, 2001

Sept, 2002^

April 23, 2003^

May 20-22, 2003^

June 4-5, 2003^

Sep 15-17 2003

Dec, 2003*

June 2/3, 2004*

June 30/July 1 2004*

Aug 4/8 2004*

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Howard

53

64

57

71

71

73

57

61.5

50

55

58

Beazley

31

23

25

15

19

16

25

25

38

34

34

Other/Can't Say

16

13

18

14

10

11

18

13.5

12

11

8

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

                       
 

Aug 11/12 2004*

Aug 18/19 2004*

Sept 1/2 2004*

Sept 15/16 2004*

Sept 22/23 2004*

Sept 29/30 2004*

Oct 7/8 2004*

Nov 3/4 2004*

Jan 19/20 2005

Sept 21/22 2005

Jul 12/13 2006

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Howard

50

49

51

49

53

57

54

62

57

59

61

Beazley

40

40

38

42

36

34

37

29

33

30

34

Other/Can't Say

10

11

11

9

11

9

9

9

10

11

5

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

^Simon Crean was Leader of the ALP from Nov 22, 2001 to Dec 2, 2003
*Mark Latham was Leader of the ALP from December 2003 until January 2005

 

2. Better Prime Minister: Costello vs Beazley

Respondents were asked: “Thinking of Mr Costello and Mr Beazley. In your opinion, who would make the better Prime Minister — Mr Costello or Mr Beazley?”

Support for Mr Beazley as better Prime Minister was highest with ALP voters (72%) followed by Australian Democrats (63%) voters. Support for Mr Costello was highest with L-NP supporters (66%) followed by Family First (41%) and Independent and Other Parties (39%) voters.

 

Electors 18+

Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

 

Jun

Jul

   

Aust

The

Family

Ind/

 

2003

2006

L-NP

ALP

Dem.#

Greens#

First#

Other#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Beazley

53

48

26

72

63

58

25

52

Costello

38

41

66

19

37

27

41

39

Someone else/can’t say

9

11

8

9

-

15

34

9

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Support for Mr Beazley as better Prime Minister was higher with men (52%) than women (46%) and highest with voters aged 35-49 (52%). Support for Mr Costello was marginally higher with women (42%) than men (40%) and highest with those aged 25-34 (44%).

 

Electors 18+

Analysis by Sex and Age

 

Jun

Jul

           
 

2003

2006

Men

Women

18-24

25-34

35-49

50+

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Beazley

53

48

52

46

51

46

52

47

Costello

38

41

40

42

41

44

40

42

Someone else/can’t say

9

11

8

12

8

10

8

11

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

3. Approval of Leaders

Prime Minister

Respondents were asked: “Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mr Howard is handling his job as Prime Minister?”

Mr Howard’s approval is highest with L-NP supporters (87%) followed by Australian Democrats supporters (55%). Disapproval is highest with ALP (70%) and Independent and Other voters (69%).

 

Electors 18+

 

Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

 

Aug 11/12

Aug 18/19

Sep 1/2

Sep 15/16

Sep 22/23

Sep 29/30

Oct 7/8

Nov 3/4

Sep 21/22

Mar 29/30

Jul 12/13

Aust

The

Family

Ind/

 

2004

2004

2005

2005

2004

2004

2004

2004

2005

2006

2006

L-NP

ALP

Dem.#

Greens#

First#

Other#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Approve

47

47

50

51

54

56

53

59

54

49

52

87

23

55

22

44

25

Disapprove

44

47

43

43

38

38

40

34

40

44

42

9

70

45

68

39

69

Can't say

9

6

7

6

8

6

7

7

6

7

6

4

7

-

10

17

6

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Mr Howard’s approval is highest with men (53%) than women (51%) and highest with those aged 18-24 (57%) followed by those aged 50+ (56%). Disapproval is highest with those aged 35-49 (47%) and those aged 25-34 (41%).

 

Electors 18+

 

Analysis by Sex and Age

 

Aug

11/12

Aug 18/19

Sep 1/2

Sep 15/16

Sep 22/23

Sep 29/30

Oct 7/8

Nov 3/4

Sep 21/22

Mar 29/30

Jul

12/13

           
 

2004

2004

2005

2005

2004

2004

2004

2004

2005

2006

2006

Men

Women

18-24

25-34

35-49

50+

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Approve

47

47

50

51

54

56

53

59

54

49

52

53

51

57

49

45

56

Disapprove

44

47

43

43

38

38

40

34

40

44

42

42

41

36

41

47

40

Can't say

9

6

7

6

8

6

7

7

6

7

6

5

8

7

10

8

4

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

Approval Rating Trend for Prime Minister since 1996 Federal election

 

Mar

16-23

Mar 30 —

Apr 6

Apr

13-20

Apr 27- May 5

May

11-18

May 26 —

June 2

Sep

15/16

Sep

16/17

Apr

11/12

May 17/18

June

2/3

June 30 —

July 1

 

1996

1996

1996

1996

1996

1996

2001

2002

2003

2003

2004

2004

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Approve

49

54

54

57

67

67

60

52

65

65

48

55

Disapprove

13

13

16

17

15

25

23

40

28

30

45

38

Can't say

38

33

30

26

18

8

17

8

7

5

7

7

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

                         
 

Aug 4/5

Aug

11/12

Aug

18/19

Sep

1/2

Sep

15/16

Sep

22/23

Sep

29/30

Oct

7/8

Nov

3/4

Sep

21/22

Mar

29/30

Jul

12/13

 

2004

2004

2004

2004

2004

2004

2004

2004

2004

2005

2006

2006

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Approve

58

47

47

50

51

54

56

53

59

54

49

52

Disapprove

34

44

47

43

43

38

38

40

34

40

44

42

Can't say

8

9

6

7

6

8

6

7

7

6

7

6

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

Opposition Leader

Respondents were asked: “Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mr Beazley is handling his job as Leader of the Opposition?”

Mr Beazley’s approval is highest with ALP supporters (50%) followed by Greens (39%). Disapproval is highest with Democrats supporters (70%).

 

Electors 18+

          Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

 

Aug 11/12*

Aug 18/19*

Sep

1/2*

Sep

15/16*

Sep 22/23*

Sep 29/30*

Oct 7/8*

Nov 3/4*

Sep 21/22

Mar

29/30

Jul

12/13

   

Aust

The

Family

Ind/

 

2004

2004

2005

2005

2004

2004

2004

2004

2005

2006

2006

L-NP

ALP

Dem.#

Greens#

First#

Other#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Approve

56

58

58

64

55

55

58

47

47

29

39

31

50

30

39

23

29

Disapprove

30

32

30

26

33

34

30

43

42

62

49

58

39

70

55

44

56

Can't say

14

10

12

10

12

11

12

10

11

9

12

11

11

-

6

33

15

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution
* Mark Latham was Leader of the ALP from December 2003 until January 2005

Mr Beazley’s approval is higher with men (46%) than women (33%) and highest for those aged 18-24 (43%). Disapproval is highest for those aged 25-34 (54%) and 50+ (51%).

 

Electors 18+

Analysis by Sex and Age

 

Aug 11/12*

Aug 18/19*

Sep

1/2*

Sep

15/16*

Sep 22/23*

Sep 29/30*

Oct

7/8*

Nov 3/4*

Sep 21/22

Mar

29/30

Jul

12/13

           
 

2004

2004

2005

2005

2004

2004

2004

2004

2005

2006

2006

Men

Women

18-24

25-34

35-49

50+

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Approve

56

58

58

64

55

55

58

47

47

29

39

46

33

43

37

41

38

Disapprove

30

32

30

26

33

34

30

43

42

62

49

46

53

44

54

46

51

Can't say

14

10

12

10

12

11

12

10

11

9

12

8

14

13

9

13

11

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

* Mark Latham was Leader of the ALP from December 2003 until January 2005

Approval Rating Trend for Opposition Leader since 1996 Federal election

 

Mar 16-23

Mar 30 — Apr 6

Apr13-20

Apr 27- May 5

May 11-18

May 26 — June 2

Sep 15/16

Sep 16/17^

Apr 11/12^

May 17/18^

June 2/3*

June 30/July 1*

 

1996

1996

1996

1996

1996

1996

2001

2002

2003

2003

2004

2004

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Approve

34

41

42

45

52

48

35

30

26

26

56

50

Disapprove

17

15

16

16

17

21

54

38

60

63

32

37

Can't say

49

44

42

39

31

31

11

32

14

11

12

13

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

 

Aug 4/5

Aug

11/12

Aug

18/19

Sep

1/2

Sep

15/16

Sep

22/23

Sep

29/30

Oct

7/8

Nov

3/4

Sep

21/22

Mar

29/30

Jul

12/13

 
 

2004

2004

2004

2004

2004

2004

2004

2004

2004

2005

2006

2006

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Approve

53

56

58

58

64

55

55

58

47

47

29

39

Disapprove

34

30

32

30

26

33

34

30

43

42

62

49

Can't say

13

14

10

12

10

12

11

12

10

11

9

12

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

4. Preferred Coalition Leader

Respondents were asked: “If you were a Liberal or National Party voter and helping to choose the Coalition leader for the next Federal election, who would you prefer?”

 

Electors 18+

Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

 

Apr

Sep

Mar

Jul

   

Aust

The

Family

Ind/

 

2004

2005

2006

2006

L-NP

ALP

Dem.#

Greens#

First#

Other#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Howard

46

37

36

43

70

24

38

19

25

19

Costello

14

18

17

17

12

21

10

23

27

19

Downer

6

10

9

8

5

10

22

10

8

4

Turnbull

6

9

10

6

2

10

19

10

-

4

Abbott

3

6

6

6

3

8

11

-

33

11

Nelson

n/a

4

4

3

1

5

-

2

-

18

Andrews

n/a

3

2

2

1

3

-

10

-

4

Someone else

2

*

1

3

*

3

-

7

-

11

Can't say

18

12

15

12

6

16

-

19

7

10

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution
* Less than 0.5%

 

 

Electors 18+

Analysis by Sex and Age

 

April

Sep

Mar

Jul

           
 

2004

2005

2006

2006

Men

Women

18-24

25-34

35-49

50+

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Howard

46

37

36

43

43

43

49

37

34

50

Costello

14

18

17

17

20

14

22

22

19

12

Downer

6

10

9

8

7

8

10

9

8

6

Turnbull

6

9

10

6

8

4

2

5

5

8

Abbott

3

6

6

6

5

7

5

7

7

6

Nelson

n/a

4

4

3

3

4

-

3

4

4

Andrews

n/a

3

2

2

2

2

4

2

4

1

Someone else

2

*

1

3

3

2

2

1

3

3

Can't say

18

12

15

12

9

16

6

14

16

10

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

* Less than 0.5%

Respondents who preferred John Howard were then asked: “Still thinking about helping choose the Coalition leader for the next Federal election, who would you prefer out of: Peter Costello, Tony Abbott, Malcolm Turnbull, Alexander Downer, Brendan Nelson, Kevin Andrews?”

The answers were added to those preferred Coalition Leader from the previous question to show preferred leaders of the Liberal Party other than John Howard.

 

Electors 18+

Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

 

Mar

Jul

   

Aust

The

Family

Ind/

 

2006

2006

L-NP

ALP

Dem.#

Greens#

First #

Other#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Costello

29

31

33

30

18

27

44

28

Downer

15

17

22

14

32

12

8

10

Abbott

11

13

14

11

21

2

41

11

Turnbull

12

9

6

12

29

10

-

4

Nelson

7

6

7

6

-

2

-

23

Andrews

3

3

2

3

-

13

-

4

Someone else

2

2

-

3

-

7

-

11

Can't say

21

19

16

21

-

27

7

9

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

 

 

Electors 18+

Analysis by Sex and Age

 

Mar

Jul

           
 

2006

2006

Men

Women

18-24

25-34

35-49

50+

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Costello

29

31

35

26

43

35

31

25

Downer

15

17

15

20

15

15

14

21

Abbott

11

13

11

14

10

12

13

13

Turnbull

12

9

12

6

2

4

7

14

Nelson

7

6

7

6

7

5

8

5

Andrews

3

3

3

3

5

2

5

2

Someone else

2

2

3

2

2

1

3

3

Can't say

21

19

14

23

16

26

19

17

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

 

5. Preferred Labor Leader

Respondents were then asked: “If you were a Labor Party voter and helping to choose the Labor leader for the next Federal election, who would you prefer?”

 

Electors 18+

Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

 

Jan

Sep

Mar

Jul

   

Aust

The

Family

Ind/

 

2005

2005

2006

2006

L-NP

ALP

Dem.#

Greens#

First #

Other#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Beazley

42

30

20

26

22

36

10

9

64

15

Gillard

15

20

31

26

25

29

54

27

-

12

Rudd

23

19

20

20

19

17

18

27

22

39

Shorten

-

-

*

5

6

3

8

15

6

-

Macklin

-

4

6

4

5

2

10

8

-

5

Swan

3

4

3

3

2

3

-

-

-

14

Tanner

1

3

2

2

1

3

-

2

-

-

Smith

2

3

3

1

1

1

-

3

-

4

Someone else

1

2

1

*

*

*

-

-

-

-

Can't say

13

15

14

13

19

6

-

9

8

11

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

* Less than 0.5%

 

Electors 18+

Analysis by Sex and Age

 

Jan

Sep

Mar

Jul

           
 

2005

2005

2006

2006

Men

Women

18-24

25-34

35-49

50+

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Beazley

42

30

20

26

25

27

55

26

26

19

Gillard

15

20

31

26

26

26

17

17

26

32

Rudd

23

19

20

20

22

17

9

20

19

23

Shorten

-

-

*

5

5

4

-

6

6

4

Macklin

-

4

6

4

3

4

5

4

4

3

Swan

3

4

3

3

4

1

*

4

3

2

Tanner

1

3

2

2

1

3

1

2

*

3

Smith

2

3

3

1

2

-

2

3

1

*

Someone else

1

2

1

*

1

-

-

1

-

*

Can't say

13

15

14

13

11

18

11

17

15

14

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

* Less than 0.5%

Respondents who preferred Kim Beazley were then asked: “Still thinking about helping choose the Labor leader for the next Federal election, who would you prefer out of: Julia Gillard, Kevin Rudd, Wayne Swan, Stephen Smith, Bill Shorten, Jenny Macklin, Lindsay Tanner?”

The answers were added to those preferred for Labor Leader from the previous question to show preferred leaders of the Labor Party other than Kim Beazley.

 

Electors 18+

Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

 

Mar

Jul

   

Aust

The

Family

Ind/

 

2006

2006

L-NP

ALP

Dem.#

Greens#

First #

Other#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Gillard

35

32

30

38

54

27

-

12

Rudd

24

25

23

24

18

30

29

49

Macklin

8

6

6

4

10

10

17

5

Shorten

*

6

7

4

8

16

6

-

Swan

4

5

5

6

-

-

-

14

Tanner

3

3

2

5

-

2

-

-

Smith

5

2

1

3

-

3

-

4

Someone else

1

1

1

*

10

-

-

-

Can’t say

20

20

25

16

-

12

48

16

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

* Less than 0.5%

 

Electors 18+

Analysis by Sex and Age

 

Mar

Jul

       

 

 

 

2006

2006

Men

Women

18-24

25-34

35-49

50+

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Gillard

35

32

31

32

24

23

33

36

Rudd

24

25

28

22

16

24

25

27

Macklin

8

6

5

7

9

6

6

5

Shorten

*

6

6

6

1

6

8

5

Swan

4

5

8

2

6

5

5

5

Tanner

3

3

2

4

7

2

2

3

Smith

5

2

3

1

8

3

1

1

Someone else

1

1

1

*

-

2

1

1

Can’t say

20

20

16

26

29

29

19

17

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

* Less than 0.5%

This special Roy Morgan telephone survey was conducted on the evenings of July 12/13, 2006, with an Australia-wide cross section of 578 male and female electors.

The Morgan Poll is conducted by the ONLY

Australian and New Zealand member of the Gallup International Association.

No other public opinion poll taken in Australia or New Zealand has this qualification.


© 2007 Roy Morgan Research. All Rights Reserved
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