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Following Opposition Leader Kim Beazley’s pledge this week to expand Labor’s uranium mining policy, 38% (up 13% from June) of Australians say there should be more than three uranium mines operating in Australia. However, a majority, albeit a small one (51%, down 14% from June), oppose the expansion of uranium mines beyond three and 11% can’t say, a special Roy Morgan telephone survey conducted over the last two nights finds.

Of particular importance are the views of ALP voters, with 38% (up 18% from June) now saying that the number of uranium mines in Australia should be expanded beyond three. An increased proportion of L-NP voters (44%, up 12% from June) are in favour of expanding the number of uranium mines.  Many more men (59%, up 23% from June) say that more than three uranium mines should be operating than women (18%, up 3% from June).

A significantly higher proportion of men are in favour of expanding the number of uranium mines beyond three than women (59% cf 18%).

Gary Morgan says:

“Kim Beazley’s plans to abolish Labor’s long-standing ‘three-mines’ policy is a bold move and one that is likely to cause deep division among the ALP’s rank and file. Some ALP Members of Parliament have already spoken out against the idea.

“The positive news for Mr Beazley is that 38% (up 13% from 25% in early June) of Australians say that more than three uranium mines should be operating.

“Also of importance to Mr Beazley is the increase in support from ALP voters, 38% - up 18% in seven weeks.  This is not far off the 44% support from L-NP voters.”

For the Academics: Telephone Morgan Poll 2PP
	L-NP	ALP
2004 Federal Election	52.7%	47.3%
July 12/13, 2006	49%	51%
July 26/27, 2006	50%	50%

This special telephone Roy Morgan Survey was conducted on July 26/27, 2006, with an Australia-wide cross-section of 644 men and women aged 14 and over. More details are available on a subscription basis.

1. Should More Uranium Mines Operate In Australia?

Respondents were told: “At present the State Labor Governments have a policy restricting the number of uranium mines to three. This week Federal Opposition Leader said that he intends to change Labor policy so the number of uranium mines can be expanded beyond three.”

They were then asked: “In your opinion, should there be more than three uranium mines operating in Australia or not?”

	Total All People 14+				Analysis by Federal VotingIntention
		October 2005	June 2006	July 27/28,  2006	L-NP	ALP	Dems.#	Greens#	Family First#	Ind/ Other#
		%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Yes, should		23	25	38	44	38	34	11	70	44
No, should not		70	65	51	46	51	48	86	20	56
Can’t say		7	10	11	10	11	18	3	10	-
Total		100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

	Total All People 14+			Analysis by Sex and Age
	October 2005	June  2006	July 27/28,  2006	Men	Women	14-17#	18-24	25-34	35-49	50+
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Yes, should	23	25	38	59	18	27	30	38	37	43
No, should not	70	65	51	36	66	57	48	51	53	49
Can’t say	7	10	11	5	16	16	22	11	10	8
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

	Total All People 14+			Analysis by Region and State
	October 2005	June 2006	July 27/28, 2006	Metro	Country	NSW	Vic	Qld	SA/NT	WA	Tas#
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Yes, should	23	25	38	37	39	39	33	37	46	42	35
No, should not	70	65	51	49	54	52	54	51	45	46	45
Can’t say	7	10	11	14	7	9	13	12	9	12	20
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

2. Analysis by Sex over time

“In your opinion, should there be more than three uranium mines operating in Australia or not?”
	Men	Women
July 2006	59% “should” 36% “should not” 5% “can’t say”	18% “should” 66% “should not” 16% “can’t say”
June 2006	36% “should” 55% “should not” 9% “can’t say”	15% “should” 74% “should not” 11% “can’t say”
October 2005	32% “should” 61% “should not” 7% “can’t say”	13% “should” 79% “should not” 8% “can’t say”

Morgan Poll Detailed Analysis
A detailed analysis of this special Roy Morgan survey can be purchased for $6,800 plus GST (which includes the data loaded in Roy Morgan’s Asteroid Software).

For further information:

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