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Overwhelming majorities of New Zealand (85%, up 1% in 12 months) and Australian (81%, down 2%) workers say their current job is safe and both are among a group of 14 countries (out of 58 countries surveyed) where a majority of full-time or part-time workers say they could find a new job quickly if they were to become unemployed (New Zealand: 70%, down 1%; Australia 63%, up 1%), a recent Roy Morgan International survey, in conjunction with the Gallup International Association, finds.

Apart from Australia and New Zealand, Vietnam (69%, up 5%), China (53% down 3%) and Hong Kong (52%, up 8%), are the only other countries in the Asia-Pacific region where more than half of the working population believe they could find a new job quickly if they became unemployed.

Three-quarters of British workers (75%, down 7%) say their current job is safe while 64% (unchanged) believe that if they became unemployed a new job could be found quickly.  Half the British population (50%) expects unemployment to increase in 2007. 

Strong majorities of American and Canadian workers (both 78%) believe their current jobs are safe.  A significantly higher proportion of Canadian workers (65%, unchanged) say they could find a new job quickly if unemployed compared to American workers (39%, down 21%).  Only 40% (down 5%) of Americans and 37% (unchanged) of Canadians say unemployment will rise in 2007.

The war torn nations of Afghanistan (53%, up 8%) and Iraq (50%, up 18%) have the highest proportion of residents expecting unemployment to rise in 2007 in comparison to other Middle Eastern and Central Asian nations. 

Gary Morgan says:

“Both New Zealand (85%) and Australia (81%) are ranked in the top 10 countries for ‘job safety’.  America (78%) rounds out the top ten, while three-quarters (75%) of Brits say their job is ‘safe’.  Iceland (91%) has the highest proportion of workers who classify their present job as ‘safe’.

“Forty per cent of Australians and 37% of New Zealanders think unemployment will increase in the next 12 months. Indonesians (81%), Philippinos (75%) and India (72%) are the most likely countries to expect unemployment to rise.”

1. Unemployment

Respondents were first asked: “In the next 12 months, do you expect the number of unemployed to increase a lot, to increase slightly, remain the same, fall slightly, or fall a lot?”

2. Job Security

Those respondents surveyed who work full-time or part-time were then asked: “Do you think your present job is safe, or do you think there's a chance you may become unemployed?”

3. Finding A New Job If Unemployed

Full-time and part-time workers were also asked: “If you became unemployed, do you think you'd be able to find a new job fairly quickly — or do you think it might take longer?”

Overwhelming majorities of New Zealand (85%, up 1% on last year) and Australian (81%, down 2%) workers say their current job is safe and of the countries in the Asia-Pacific region, they are amongst the most likely to believe they could find a new job quickly (New Zealand: 70%, down 1%; Australia 63%, up 1%). 

Apart from Australia and New Zealand, Vietnam (69%, up 5%), China (53% down 3%) and Hong Kong (52%), are the only other countries in the Asia-Pacific region where more than half of the working population believe they could find a new job quickly if they became unemployed.  Indonesia (81%), the Philippines (75%) and India (72%) are the countries most likely to expect unemployment to increase, according to the residents of each country.

	The Asia-Pacific in 2007
	Expect unemployment to increase	Change on 2006	Present job safe	Change on 2006	Find a new job quickly	Change on 2006
	%	%	%	%	%	%
Indonesia	81	+11	73	+11	31	+9
Philippines	75	+3	51	-1	34	-1
India	72	+5	71	+9	34	-12
Korea	65	+12	55	-14	25	-9
Thailand	58	*	74	*	37	*
Malaysia	55	-3	87	-4	25	-13
Pakistan	54	-1	^	^	^	^
Australia	40	-1	81	-2	63	+1
New Zealand	37	-7	85	+1	70	-1
Vietnam	36	-12	65	-21	69	+5
Singapore	30	-3	68	+8	37	+6
Japan	28	-6	39	+2	16	+4
Hong Kong	20	-3	77	+4	52	-8
China	^	^	^	^	53	-3

* Did not participate

^ Did not ask question

Strong majorities of American and Canadian workers (both 78%) believe their current jobs are safe.  A significantly higher proportion of Canadian workers (65%, unchanged) say they could find a new job quickly if unemployed compared to American workers (39%, down 21%).  Less than half of Americans (40%, down 5%) and Canadians (37%, unchanged) say unemployment will rise in 2007.

	The Americas in 2007
	Expect unemployment to increase	Change on 2006	Present job safe	Change on 2006	Find a new job quickly	Change on 2006
	%	%	%	%	%	%
USA	40	-5	78	-2	39	-21
Venezuela	37	+3	62	-5	41	-8
Canada	37	unchanged	78	unchanged	65	unchanged
Bolivia	31	-5	50	+20	39	+17
Peru	29	-5	29	-4	22	+2
Argentina	20	+3	61	+6	32	+10

Three-quarters of British workers (75%, down 7%) say their current job is safe while 64% (unchanged) believe that if they became unemployed a new job could be found quickly. Half the British population (50%) expects unemployment to increase in 2007.  

	Western Europe in 2007
	Expect unemployment to increase	Change on 2006	Present job safe	Change on 2006	Find a new job quickly	Change on 2006
	%	%	%	%	%	%
Luxembourg	71	-3	76	-6	34	-4
Belgium	70	+10	77	+4	56	+1
Greece	60	+2	66	+4	26	-5
Italy	50	-4	66	+8	24	+3
UK	50	+6	75	-7	64	unchanged
Portugal	49	-11	65	+4	29	unchanged
Austria	41	*	61	*	31	*
France	35	-8	70	+6	48	+4
Ireland	35	-8	^	^	^	^
Germany	33	-2	77	+9	44	+10
Switzerland	32	-21	68	-3	29	+16
Netherlands	29	-6	74	+1	52	+3
Iceland	27	+12	91	+4	77	-1
Sweden	24	*	79	*	62	*
Finland	22	-10	71	+1	48	unchanged
Denmark	19	-4	82	-2	67	-5
Norway	17	-2	84	+1	52	+7

* Did not participate

^ Did not ask question

Georgia (48%) and Bosnia and Herzegovina (47%) are the most likely Eastern and Central Europe countries to expect unemployment to increase in 2007.  Fifty-nine per cent of Russians and 57% of Ukrainians say their job is safe.  More than two-in-five Russians (42%) say that if they were to become unemployed, they would be able to find a new job quickly.

	Eastern and Central Europe in 2007
	Expect unemployment to increase	Change on 2006	Present job safe	Change on 2006	Find a new job quickly	Change on 2006
	%	%	%	%	%	%
Georgia	48	+2	55	+21	20	+2
Bosnia and Herzegovina	47	-8	52	+14	34	+10
Kosovo	43	+7	34	-18	15	-9
Russia	42	+6	59	-2	42	unchanged
Serbia	42	-16	43	+10	14	-1
Croatia	41	-5	53	+1	34	+6
Romania	38	-8	52	+1	14	-11
Macedonia	37	-9	50	+1	17	-4
Czech Republic	33	-6	36	-2	36	+5
Ukraine	29	-2	57	-1	31	+3
Bulgaria	25	-7	42	+6	29	+6
Poland	16	-12	42	+2	28	-1

The war torn nations of Afghanistan (53%, up 8%) and Iraq (50%, up 18%) have the highest proportion of residents expecting unemployment to rise in 2007 in comparison to other Middle Eastern and Central Asian nations.  Sixty-nine per cent of Jordanian workers say their present job is safe, while almost half (49%) of Israel workers say they could find a new job quickly if they became unemployed.

	The Middle East and Central Asia in 2007
	Expect unemployment to increase	Change on 2006	Present job safe	Change on 2006	Find a new job quickly	Change on 2006
	%	%	%	%	%	%
Afghanistan	53	+8	62	+3	33	+7
Iraq	50	+18	57	-7	7	-6
Jordan	48	*	69	*	35	*
Turkey	38	+3	43	-5	20	unchanged
Israel	27	-4	66	-3	49	+4
Egypt	^	^	54	-1	8	+1

Less than one-in-five (19%, down 13%) South Africans workers say they could find a new job quickly if they were to become unemployed.

	Africa in 2007
	Expect unemployment to increase	Change on 2006	Present job safe	Change on 2006	Find a new job quickly	Change on 2006
	%	%	%	%	%	%
Nigeria	47	unchanged	64	-3	23	-6
South Africa	47	-10	53	-17	19	-13
Ghana	46	*	69	*	34	*

* Did not participate

1. Unemployment

Respondents were first asked: “In the next 12 months, do you expect the number of unemployed to increase a lot, to increase slightly, remain the same, fall slightly, or fall a lot?”

Indonesia (81%) has the highest proportion of its population expecting unemployment to increase in 2006, followed by the Philippines (75%) and India (72%).  Hong Kong (59%), the Netherlands (50%) and Vietnam (49%) are the most likely countries to expect unemployment to fall in 2007.

	Expect Unemployment to…
	Increase					Increase	Remain the same	Fall	Don't know
	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2007	2007	2007
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Indonesia	*	*	73	33	70	81	12	6	1
Philippines	76	67	71	78	72	75	12	13	-
India	59	77	65	*	67	72	13	15	-
Luxembourg	55	72	74	71	74	71	11	17	1
Belgium	62	65	60	63	60	70	13	16	1
Korea	64	66	65	70	53	65	24	9	2
Greece	61	57	64	72	58	60	21	18	1
Thailand	*	*	*	*	*	58	17	18	7
Malaysia	53	42	40	44	58	55	25	16	4
Pakistan	53	47	55	45	55	54	22	12	12
Afghanistan	*	*	*	*	45	53	21	24	2
Iraq	*	*	*	*	32	50	14	32	4
Italy	44	56	48	58	54	50	35	13	2
UK	54	44	51	40	44	50	29	13	8
Portugal	47	76	59	50	60	49	18	28	5
Georgia	30	37	8	30	46	48	17	21	14
Jordan	*	*	*	*	*	48	14	34	4
Bosnia and Herzegovina	29	30	30	50	55	47	23	29	1
Nigeria	*	30	39	46	47	47	11	39	3
South Africa	59	64	53	50	57	47	21	24	8
Ghana	*	*	*	*	*	46	11	39	4
Kosovo	35	46	41	37	36	43	18	35	4
Russia	38	38	35	33	36	42	36	18	4
Serbia	*	*	54	58	58	42	31	22	5
Austria	*	*	*	*	*	41	38	10	11
Croatia	44	40	29	*	46	41	26	29	4
Australia	60	44	39	36	41	40	32	24	4
USA	49	43	39	38	45	40	28	25	7
Romania	61	45	55	31	46	38	24	25	13
Turkey	*	*	43	41	35	38	29	23	10
Canada	*	*	36	33	37	37	30	31	2
Macedonia	54	30	57	52	46	37	25	34	4
New Zealand	36	37	35	29	44	37	38	21	4
Venezuela	*	*	37	46	34	37	21	37	5
Vietnam	*	*	*	31	48	36	15	49	-
France	56	59	62	52	43	35	34	27	4
Ireland	68	65	51	31	43	35	36	28	1
Czech Republic	48	51	55	43	39	33	41	21	5
Germany	63	66	57	68	35	33	32	35	-
Switzerland	68	69	56	54	53	32	35	30	3
Bolivia	*	*	*	*	36	31	27	36	6
Singapore	*	*	*	*	33	30	27	36	7
Netherlands	68	79	78	66	35	29	18	50	3
Peru	41	44	50	52	34	29	24	39	8
Ukraine	42	29	29	13	31	29	38	16	17
Japan	77	70	48	41	34	28	28	28	16
Iceland	67	51	32	24	15	27	59	9	5
Israel	*	*	62	35	31	27	38	29	6
Bulgaria	41	46	35	33	32	25	32	21	22
Sweden	*	*	*	*	*	24	27	46	3
Finland	56	51	46	38	32	22	36	35	7
Argentina	*	*	17	20	17	20	42	29	9
Hong Kong	66	44	23	25	23	20	21	59	-
Denmark	35	53	54	33	23	19	31	48	2
Norway			35	35	19	17	45	37	1
Poland	69	51	55	33	28	16	44	31	9

* Did not participate

2. Job Security

Those respondents surveyed who work full-time or part-time were then asked: “Do you think your present job is safe, or do you think there's a chance you may become unemployed?”

Overwhelming majorities of workers in Iceland (91%), Malaysia (87%), and New Zealand (85%) say their present job is safe.  Workers most likely to say there is a chance of unemployment are to be found in Kosovo (63%), Peru (62%), and the Czech Republic (54%).

	Job Security…
	Present job safe					Present job safe	Chance of unemployment	Don't know
	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2007	2007
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Iceland	85	80	81	86	87	91	8	1
Malaysia	78	86	86	89	91	87	12	1
New Zealand	84	81	84	85	84	85	13	2
Ireland	74	74	68	74	77	84	14	2
Norway	*	*	79	81	83	84	13	3
Denmark	85	83	75	81	84	82	12	6
Australia	75	79	78	79	83	81	17	2
Sweden	*	*	*	*	*	79	20	1
Canada	*	*	74	74	78	78	20	2
USA	79	81	80	87	80	78	18	4
Belgium	71	64	74	71	73	77	22	1
Germany	79	74	65	65	68	77	21	2
Hong Kong	57	56	58	63	73	77	23	-
Luxembourg	81	81	75	80	82	76	18	6
UK	76	85	81	83	82	75	20	5
Netherlands	83	79	77	73	73	74	16	10
Thailand	*	*	*	*	*	74	23	3
Indonesia	*	*	63	79	62	73	23	4
Finland	67	71	68	71	70	71	23	6
India	59	66	64	*	62	71	26	3
France	71	65	69	62	64	70	29	1
Ghana	*	*	*	*	*	69	24	7
Jordan	*	*	*	*	*	69	26	5
Singapore	*	*	*	*	60	68	26	6
Switzerland	65	71	67	69	71	68	20	12
Greece	52	53	53	57	62	66	33	1
Israel	*	*	60	63	69	66	27	7
Italy	75	66	67	64	58	66	25	9
Portugal	76	73	69	65	61	65	26	9
Vietnam	*	*	*	67	86	65	33	2
Nigeria	*	78	72	76	67	64	28	8
Pakistan	63	69	73	66	70	63	25	12
Afghanistan	*	*	*	*	59	62	33	5
Venezuela	*	*	74	62	67	62	35	3
Argentina	*	*	52	56	55	61	31	8
Austria	*	*	*	*	*	61	24	15
Russia	68	57	57	57	61	59	38	3
Iraq	*	*	*	*	64	57	42	1
Ukraine	48	48	55	63	58	57	29	14
Georgia	45	56	63	44	34	55	43	2
Korea	58	55	63	58	69	55	34	11
Egypt	*	*	53	56	55	54	42	4
Croatia	48	52	58	*	52	53	46	1
South Africa	41	44	49	44	70	53	35	12
Bosnia and Herzegovina	34	41	40	47	38	52	47	1
Romania	56	55	57	58	51	52	36	12
Philippines	62	49	61	44	52	51	47	2
Bolivia	*	*	*	*	30	50	45	5
Macedonia	43	45	46	52	49	50	46	4
Serbia	*	*	37	43	33	43	49	8
Turkey	*	*	60	51	48	43	28	29
Bulgaria	25	26	29	33	36	42	42	16
Poland	34	23	27	34	40	42	51	7
Japan	31	30	30	29	37	39	25	36
Czech Republic	40	43	36	38	38	36	54	10
Kosovo	47	39	35	42	52	34	63	3
Peru	33	26	55	47	33	29	62	9

* Did not participate

3. Finding A New Job If Unemployed

Those surveyed who work full-time or part-time were also asked: “If you became unemployed, do you think you'd be able to find a new job fairly quickly — or do you think it might take longer?”

Workers in Iceland (77%) are most likely to say they could find a new job quickly, followed by workers in New Zealand (70%), Vietnam (69%) and Denmark (67%).  Only 7% of workers in Iraq, 8% in Egypt, and 14% in Serbia, say they could a find a new job quickly if made unemployed.

	Finding a new job if become unemployed…
	Find a new job quickly					Find a new job quickly	May take longer	Wouldn’t look	Don't know
	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2007	2007	2007
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Iceland	28	31	58	67	78	77	14	-	9
New Zealand	58	67	66	69	71	70	25	2	3
Vietnam	*	*	*	42	64	69	24	5	2
Denmark	73	65	62	67	72	67	23	4	6
Canada	*	*	57	60	65	65	31	2	2
UK	61	71	65	70	64	64	29	3	4
Australia	54	66	64	67	62	63	32	2	3
Ireland	43	40	33	43	44	63	30	4	3
Sweden	*	*	*	*	*	62	33	2	3
Belgium	55	43	47	49	55	56	32	10	2
China	*	*	*	43	56	53	33	9	5
Hong Kong	22	25	30	36	44	52	43	5	-
Netherlands	59	60	47	40	49	52	38	5	5
Norway	*	*	54	57	45	52	37	6	5
Israel	*	*	36	42	45	49	41	6	4
Finland	43	45	41	48	48	48	36	9	7
France	48	52	42	44	44	48	45	4	3
Germany	50	41	36	37	34	44	50	-	6
Russia	44	43	34	50	42	42	50	5	3
Venezuela	*	*	34	40	49	41	52	3	4
Bolivia	*	*	*	*	22	39	50	5	6
USA	59	64	59	63	60	39	51	4	6
Singapore	*	*	*	*	31	37	50	5	8
Thailand	*	*	*	*	*	37	31	28	4
Czech Republic	35	35	24	28	31	36	50	9	5
Jordan	*	*	*	*	*	35	58	5	2
Bosnia and Herzegovina	13	20	23	17	24	34	59	7	-
Croatia	25	24	31	*	28	34	52	11	3
Ghana	*	*	*	*	*	34	50	2	14
India	22	38	36	*	46	34	49	7	10
Luxembourg	51	45	46	35	38	34	55	6	5
Philippines	40	29	38	25	35	34	59	6	1
Afghanistan	*	*	*	*	26	33	55	5	7
Argentina	*	*	21	29	22	32	51	3	14
Austria	*	*	*	*	*	31	50	6	13
Indonesia	*	*	22	23	22	31	58	5	6
Ukraine	20	21	27	26	28	31	39	11	19
Bulgaria	12	13	12	17	23	29	54	4	13
Portugal	37	25	32	26	29	29	56	2	13
Switzerland	20	20	13	11	13	29	55	7	9
Poland	16	11	12	18	29	28	54	3	15
Greece	23	21	22	30	31	26	70	3	1
Romania	24	22	30	29	25	26	58	4	12
Korea	31	29	39	26	34	25	54	12	9
Malaysia	29	38	39	38	38	25	57	12	6
Pakistan	16	16	16	27	26	25	52	6	17
Italy	42	34	33	23	21	24	60	8	8
Nigeria	*	35	34	37	29	23	55	9	13
Peru	13	9	14	18	20	22	60	10	8
Georgia	8	18	21	14	18	20	48	6	26
Turkey	*	*	29	21	20	20	42	5	33
South Africa	15	18	20	19	32	19	62	9	10
Macedonia	20	22	17	26	21	17	64	8	11
Japan	9	9	10	12	12	16	57	6	21
Kosovo	21	20	18	22	24	15	69	4	12
Serbia	*	*	20	14	15	14	59	6	21
Egypt	*	*	14	12	7	8	69	16	7
Iraq	*	*	*	*	13	7	73	12	8

* Did not participate

In Australia, Roy Morgan International interviewed a cross-section of 646 men and women aged 14 or over by telephone on December 2/3, 2006.

In New Zealand, Roy Morgan International interviewed a cross-section of 949 men and women aged 14 or over by telephone from November 29 — December 12, 2006.

Margin of Error

The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. The following table gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. The figures are approximate and for general guidance only, and assume a simple random sample. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate.

Sample Size	Percentage Estimate
	40%-60%	25% or 75%	10% or 90%	5% or 95%
500	±4.5	±3.9	±2.7	±1.9
1,000	±3.2	±2.7	±1.9	±1.4
50,000	±0.4	±0.4	±0.3	±0.2

For further information:

Gary Morgan:           Office +61 3 9224 5213    Mobile +61 411 129 094           Home +61 3 9419 3242

Michele Levine:        Office +61 3 9224 5215    Mobile +61 411 129 093           Home +61 3 9817 3066

Roy Morgan International and the Morgan Poll is conducted by the ONLY Australian and New Zealand member of the Gallup International Association.

No other public opinion poll taken in Australia or New Zealand has this qualification.

© 2007 Roy Morgan Research. All Rights Reserved
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