Home | site-map | indonesia | indonesian-single-source-articles | asteroid-user-registration |
Roy Morgan OZ Panel Login | Mail Diary Panel Login | careers | contact-us | state-of-the-nation-webcast |
|
||||
 |
 |
 |
|
  |
|
|
||||
COMPANY ONLINE STORE PRODUCTS SERVICES INDUSTRIES MORGAN POLL PAPERS PRESS RELEASES CONSUMER CONFIDENCE READERSHIP UNEMPLOYMENT THE REACTOR 
|
||||
| NEWS : Morgan Poll : | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Rudd Preferred PM, Approval Now 72% - Gillard Preferred As Minister For Workplace Relations
Seventy-two per cent (up 8% since early January) of electors approve of the job Kevin Rudd is doing as Opposition Leader. Approval of the job John Howard is doing as Prime Minister is 53% (down 3%), while 42% (up 3%) disapprove (5% can’t say), a special telephone Morgan Poll over the last two nights (Wednesday and Thursday) finds. Mr Rudd’s current approval rating is 33% higher than it was for previous ALP Leader Kim Beazley when the same question was asked in July 2006 and 8% above the highest approval rating (64% in mid-September 2004) for former Opposition Leader Mark Latham. Just 17% (up 6%) of electors disapprove of the way Mr Rudd is handling his job, while 11% (down a significant 14%) can’t say whether they approve or disapprove of Mr Rudd. Now a higher proportion of electors (51%, up 9%) say Mr Rudd would be a better Prime Minister than Mr Howard (44%, down 6%), while 5% (down 3%) can’t say. In the wake of Peter Costello’s 12th Budget, 57% of electors see Mr Costello as the better Treasurer compared to 26% for Opposition Treasury spokesman Wayne Swan, however, a relatively high 17% can’t say. As the Morgan Poll has identified for some time now, industrial relations is shaping up as the key election issue. A higher proportion of electors say Deputy Opposition Leader and Opposition Workplace Relations spokesperson Julia Gillard (50%) would be a better Minister for Workplace Relations than the current Minister Joe Hockey (31%). A relatively high 19% are undecided on who would make the better Minister for Workplace Relations. Fifty-five per cent of electors consider Alexander Downer the better Foreign Affairs Minister, compared with only 28% for Robert McClelland, while 17% are undecided. Thirty-seven per cent of electors think Tony Abbott is a better Health Minister compared to 35% of electors who said Opposition Health spokesperson Nicola Roxon would make a better Health Minister (28% can’t say). Gary Morgan says:
Approval of Leaders Prime Minister Respondents were asked: “Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mr Howard is handling his job as Prime Minister?” Fifty-three per cent (down 3% since January 2007) approve of the job Mr Howard is doing as Prime Minister. Mr Howard’s approval is highest with L-NP supporters (91%). Disapproval is highest with ALP (67%) and Greens supporters (64%).
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution Approval Rating Trend for John Howard since 1996 Federal election
Opposition Leader Respondents were asked: “Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mr Rudd is handling his job as Leader of the Opposition?” Seventy-two per cent (up 8% since January 2007) of electors approve of the job Mr Rudd is doing as Opposition Leader. Mr Rudd’s approval is highest with ALP supporters (88%) followed by Greens supporters (66%). Interestingly, a majority (56%) of L-NP supporters approve of Mr. Rudd’s handling of his job as Opposition Leader.
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution * Mark Latham was Leader of the ALP ^ Kim Beazley was Leader of the ALP
Better Prime Minister: Howard vs Rudd Respondents were asked: “Thinking of Mr Howard and Mr Rudd. In your opinion, who would make the better Prime Minister — Mr Howard or Mr Rudd?” More electors say Mr Rudd (51%) would make a better Prime Minister than Mr Howard (44%), while 5% can’t say. Support for Mr Rudd is highest with ALP supporters (83%) followed by Greens supporters (73%). Support for Mr Howard as better Prime Minister is highest with L-NP supporters (92%).
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution * Kim Beazley was Leader of the Opposition during this period
Approval of Ministers Treasurer Respondents were asked: “Thinking of Peter Costello and Wayne Swan. In your opinion, who would make the better Treasurer — Peter Costello or Wayne Swan?” In the wake of Peter Costello’s 12th Budget, 57% of electors see Mr Costello as the better Treasurer compared to 26% for Opposition Treasury spokesman Wayne Swan, however, a relatively high 17% can’t say.
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution Foreign Affairs Minister Respondents were asked: “Thinking of Alexander Downer and Robert McClelland. In your opinion, who would make the better Minister for Foreign Affairs — Alexander Downer or Robert McClelland?” Fifty-five per cent of electors consider Alexander Downer the better Foreign Affairs Minister, compared with only 28% for Robert McClelland, while 17% are undecided.
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution Health Minister Respondents were asked: “Thinking of Tony Abbott and Nicola Roxon. In your opinion, who would make the better Minister for Health — Tony Abbott or Nicola Roxon?” Thirty-seven per cent of electors think Tony Abbott is a better Health Minister compared to 35% of electors who said Opposition Health spokesperson Nicola Roxon would make a better Health Minister (28% can’t say).
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution Workplace Minister Respondents were asked: “Thinking of Joe Hockey and Julia Gillard. In your opinion, who would make the better Minister for Workplace Relations — Joe Hockey or Julia Gillard?” As the Morgan Poll has identified for some time now, industrial relations is shaping up as the key election issue. A higher proportion of electors say Deputy Opposition Leader and Opposition Workplace Relations spokesperson Julia Gillard (50%) would be a better Minister for Workplace Relations than the current Minister Joe Hockey (31%). A relatively high 19% are undecided on who would make the better Minister for Workplace Relations.
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution This special telephone Morgan Poll was conducted on the nights of May 16/17, 2007, with an Australia-wide cross section of 582 electors. For further information: Gary Morgan: Office (03) 9224 5213 Mobile 0411 129 094 Home (03) 9419 3242 The Morgan Poll accurately predicted that the ALP would win the 2006 Queensland election with a reduced majority (sample 604 electors). The Morgan Poll accurately predicted that the ALP would win the 2006 Victorian election with a reduced majority (sample 956 electors). The Morgan Poll was also the most accurate on the primary vote of the major parties for the Victorian election.
Margin of Error The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. The following table gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. The figures are approximate and for general guidance only, and assume a simple random sample. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate.
The Morgan Poll is conducted by the ONLY Australian and New Zealand member of the Gallup International Association. No other public opinion poll taken in Australia has this qualification. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
© 2007 Roy Morgan Research. All Rights Reserved |
