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COMPANY ONLINE STORE PRODUCTS SERVICES INDUSTRIES MORGAN POLL PAPERS PRESS RELEASES CONSUMER CONFIDENCE READERSHIP UNEMPLOYMENT THE REACTOR CAREERS 
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Four-In-Ten Electors Concerned About Union Control Over Labor Government
Forty percent of Australian electors say they are concerned about unions having too much control over the Government if Labor is successful at this year’s Federal election, 57% say they are not concerned, while just 3% can’t say, a special telephone Morgan Poll conducted on August 21/22 finds. A similar proportion (39%) of electors are concerned if Labor win the Federal election they will control all State and Federal Governments, 59% are not concerned and 2% are can’t say. As would be expected, the views of L-NP and ALP supporters are diametrically opposed. Seventy-one percent of Coalition voters are concerned about the unions having too much control compared to 78% of ALP voters who are not concerned. Seventy-six percent of Coalition voters are concerned about Labor having control of all State and Federal Governments compared to 80% of ALP voters who are not concerned. Of all electors, a significant 52% of electors (87% of L-NP voters) are concerned about either the unions having too much control or about Labor controlling all levels of Parliament. Even among ALP voters, 31% (an estimated 2.254 million electors) are concerned about either union control or ALP control of all levels of Parliament. Gary Morgan says:
A report with detailed analysis (computer tables) by state/region and all demographics including voting intention with “soft” L-NP and ALP voters specified is available at: https://store.roymorgan.com/home.php?cat=453&catexp=453. These are the main findings of a special telephone Morgan Poll, which was conducted on the nights of August 21/22, 2007, with 633 Australian electors. Too much union control? Respondents were asked: “Some say that if Labor wins the Federal election unions will have too much control over the Labor Government. Does that concern you or not?”
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution Labor dominance of State and Federal Governments Respondents were asked: “If Labor wins the next Federal election, all State and Federal Governments will be controlled by Labor. Does that concern you or not?”
# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution Special Roy Morgan Qualitative Research looked at reasons why electors are or are not concerned about too much union control if Labor is successful at the Federal election: Reasons given for electors being “concerned” about too much union control if Labor wins the next Federal election: “They would have a lot of say in what the Governments do and that would concern me. I don’t want to go back to the days with big interest rates.” “When you have the spectre of a union controlling Government there may be an adverse flow on. If there are loggerheads between the union and the Government, it could have serious impact on individuals and the economy.” “Because it would be moving power from where it should be kept and giving it to people that may take it in the wrong direction, which isn’t always a positive thing.” “As a child I remember all the problems with the unions and the Labor Party — there was an awful lot of strikes going on.” “The unions do influence the Government far too much and they tend to put the pressure on them, resulting in poor decision-making. They are a very strong lobby group and that may result in a Labor Government making changes that might not be in the best interests of the community at large. It can influence economic policy as well (eg. lobbying for wage increases/wage demands). The unions can — with their pressure on government — cause the Government to take their focus off other important issues (eg. welfare, health and education).” “Because Labor are short sighted: they don't look at the big picture, instead they look after their own factional interests, rather than the national interest.” “Unions have got too much control. They got caught with a couple of things that they did wrong — the union leaders who got sacked. I’m not opposed to unions but I believe that they have too much to say in too many people's lives.” “Because I think a lot of the union people — the people who are running them — are a bit corrupt. They’ve got their fingers in too many pies.” Reasons given for electors not being “concerned” about too much union control if Labor wins the next Federal election: “I think workers have been having things taken away from, everything they fought for all these years — holidays and double-overtime on Sundays has been taken away from them.” “Mainly because Kevin Rudd has indicated a tight hold on unions — too much is at stake.” “I think that the Liberal Party make too much of an association between the Labor Party and the unions; I don’t believe the unions have as much influence as the Liberals claim they do.” “Because Rudd will have to compromise — he will have to please both unions and big business.” “Union powers have dropped off a lot and will probably not get back to what they were in the past.”
Special Roy Morgan Qualitative Research also looked at reasons why electors are or are not concerned about Labor controlling all State and Federal Governments should they be successful at the Federal election: Reasons given for electors being “concerned” about Labor dominance if it wins the next Federal election: “I’m suspicious about a lot of power in the hands of a few.” “We need different parties in different sections so it creates a conflict, so there will be different values and ideologies.” “I don’t think Labor is as focused on the economy and there needs to be more of a balance.” “It’s a better situation if there’s room for political debate and opposition at different levels, State and Federal.” “There needs to be opposition because otherwise the State Government will not need to be accountable.” Reasons given for electors not being “concerned” about Labor dominance if the ALP wins the next Federal election: “I think the Liberals need to be back in opposition to return them to a sense of honesty.” “I don’t know if it makes that much of a difference.” “I think there will be a lot more peace and harmony between states.” “It may be to the advantage of the country because it will give the opportunity to better distribute power between the Commonwealth and the State and to rationalise the responsibility between the two.” “I think the State leaders are clear on their own agendas. We might move into a better direction in terms of environmental issues.”
For further information: Gary Morgan: Office +61 3 9224 5213 Mobile +61 411 129 094 Michele Levine: Office +61 3 9224 5215 Mobile +61 411 129 093 Margin of Error The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. The following table gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. The figures are approximate and for general guidance only, and assume a simple random sample. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate.
The Morgan Poll accurately predicted that the ALP would win the 2006 Queensland election with a reduced majority (sample 604 electors).
The Morgan Poll accurately predicted that the ALP would win the 2006 Victorian election with a reduced majority (sample 956 electors). The Morgan Poll was also the most accurate on the primary vote of the major parties for the Victorian election. Note: The recent discussion on Possum Pollytics regarding Morgan and Newspoll is well worth reading. The following included comment says it all: “I find it interesting that for the only poll in the last five years for which there is any ‘real’ figure with which to compare, i.e. the polls immediately before the 2004 election, Morgan (45.5%) was closer to the actual Coalition Primary (46.7%) than Newspoll (45%) or Nielsen (49%), and Morgan (38.5%) was also closer to the ALP actual primary (37.6%) than Newspoll (39%), and only marginally further away than Nielsen (37%). Since we have no idea of how far away the ongoing polls are from ‘reality’ (whatever that means), surely we should just go with what we know, that in the most recent testable case, Morgan was better at forecasting the actual primary vote than Newspoll. On what possible basis should we decide that the Newspoll or Nielsen primary vote estimate is ‘better’ than Morgan’s.”
The Morgan Poll is conducted by the ONLY Australian and New Zealand member of the Gallup International. No other public opinion poll taken in Australia or New Zealand has this qualification.
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