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In early May 45% (down 6% since Feb. 2005) believe Australia should become a Republic with an elected President, while 42% (up 2%) support Australia remaining a Monarchy and 13% (up 4%) are undecided — according to a special Morgan Poll of Australians taken last weekend (May 3/4, 2008).

Support for a Republic with an elected President is the lowest since (then) Prime Minister Paul Keating raised the issue nearly 15 years ago in December 1993.

However, if Prince Charles were crowned King, only 32% would want to continue with the Monarchy. The majority, 56% (down 5% since 2005) of Australians would want a Republic with an elected President and 11% of Australians couldn’t say.

Analysis by voting intention shows a clear majority of ALP supporters (58%) want a Republic with an elected President compared to only 30% who would prefer to continue with the Monarchy. Among L-NP supporters only 29% want a Republic with an elected President compared to 60% who would rather continue with the Monarchy.

Greens supporters strongly favour a change to a Republic with an elected President (59% cf. 28%).

Family First supporters are most committed to the Monarchy with 78% supporting Australia continuing as a Monarchy, compared to only 22% who support a Republic with an elected President.

Gary Morgan says:

“Despite the discussion generated at the recent 2020 Summit on Australia’s future, Australians’ support for becoming a Republic with an elected President has fallen to its lowest level in nearly 15 years.

“Roy Morgan ‘Issues Research’ due to be released next week at the Future Summit shows Australians are more concerned with economic and environmental issues than they are with symbolic issues involving changes to the Australian Constitution that has worked well for over a century.

"What would please the Monarchists is 64% of those aged 14-17 say Australia should remain a Monarchy, with 23% supporting a Republic and 13% undecided."

“Kevin Rudd and his “Republican” colleagues should forget about changing the Constitution over the next few years and concentrate on making sure working Australians can “survive” with higher interest rates and higher prices.”

This special Morgan Poll was conducted by telephone last weekend, May 3/4 2008, with an Australia-wide cross-section of 650 Australians.

Australians were asked: “In your opinion, should Australia remain a MONARCHY — or become a REPUBLIC with an elected President?”

Those who said Monarchy or were undecided were asked: “If Prince Charles were to be crowned King, in your opinion, should Australia remain a MONARCHY — or become a REPUBLIC with an elected President?”

Q1. Should Australia remain a Monarchy?

All Australians aged 14 and over were asked:   “In your opinion, should Australia remain a MONARCHY — or become a REPUBLIC with an elected President?”

	Total Respondents
	Jun	Oct	Dec	Apr	Aug	Jan	Jan	Jul	Jul	Mar	Apr	Dec	Nov	Jul
	1953*	1969*	1975	1977	1981	1983	1984	1988	1991	1992	1993	1993	1994	1995
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Monarchy	77	64	61	62	59	60	62	64	56	49	38	48	40	39
Republic	15	24	28	26	28	28	30	29	36	44	52	44	50	49
Undecided	8	12	11	12	13	12	8	7	8	7	10	8	10	12
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

* Electors 18+

	Total Respondents								Aged 18+
	Jun	Sep	Dec	Feb	Nov	Mar/Apr	Feb	May 3/4	Total		Non-	Aged
	1996	1997	1997	1998	1999	2000	2005	2008	18+	Electors	electors	14-17
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Monarchy	42	37	38	37	38	39	40	42	41	42	46	64
Republic	47	53	51	52	54	49	51	45	46	46	36	23
Undecided	11	10	11	11	8	12	9	13	13	12	18	13
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

Total Electors						Analysis by State
	Dec 1997/	Nov	Mar/Apr	Feb 16/17	May 3/4
	Feb 1998	1999	2000	2005	2008	NSW	Vic	Qld	SA	WA	Tas
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Monarchy	38	39	40	40	42	45	37	51	37	40	43
Republic	51	54	49	52	46	42	48	37	57	50	46
Undecided	11	7	11	8	12	13	15	12	6	10	11
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

	Total Respondents	Total Respondents	Aged 18+
	Feb 16/17	May 3/4	Electors (By Party Vote)
	2005	2008	Electors	ALP	L-NP	Greens	Family First	Others
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Monarchy	30	33	42	30	60	28	78	45
Republic	61	56	46	58	29	59	22	37
Undecided	9	11	12	12	11	13	-	18
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

Q2. Should Australia remain a Monarchy if Prince Charles were crowned King?

Respondents who answered ‘Monarchy’ or ‘Undecided’ in Question 1 were then asked:    “If Prince Charles were to be crowned King, in your opinion, should Australia remain a MONARCHY - or become a REPUBLIC with an elected President?"

The following table shows that of all people surveyed, only 33% would support a Monarchy with Prince Charles as Head of State.

	Total Respondents	Total Respondents	Aged 18+
	Feb 16/17	May 3/4	Electors (By Party Vote)
	2005	2008	Electors	ALP	L-NP	Greens	Family First	Others
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Monarchy	30	33	32	22	46	18	78	37
Republic	61	56	57	68	43	69	22	48
Undecided	9	11	11	10	11	13	-	15
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

Margin of Error

The following table gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate.

Sample Size	Percentage Estimate
	40%-60%	25% or 75%	10% or 90%	5% or 95%
1,000	±3.2	±2.7	±1.9	±1.4
1,500	±2.6	±2.2	±1.5	±1.1
2,000	±2.2	±1.9	±1.3	±1

For further information:

Gary Morgan:  Office + 61 3 9224 5213 Mobile + 61 411 129 094

Michele Levine:  Office +61 3 9224 5215 Mobile +61 411 129 093

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