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Special Morgan Poll qualitative research conducted on May 10/11, 2008, looked at concerns electors have about how the ALP Government and L-NP Opposition are handling their new jobs and also concerns electors have about how Prime Minister Kevin Rudd and Opposition Leader Brendan Nelson are handling their new jobs.

• Many electors (12.5%) say they are concerned about the Labor Party’s economic management capabilities — dealing with interest rates and inflation.

• A large number of L-NP supporters (25.5%) are concerned about the ALP’s abilities to manage the current economic situation.

• 12.5% of electors are concerned about the disunity, party instability and infighting that is affecting the L-NP Coalition.

• The biggest concern (4.5%) about new Prime Minister Kevin Rudd is that he is too media and PR focused and too keen to try and please everyone.

• The largest concern (10.5%) electors have with Opposition Leader Brendan Nelson is his lack of leadership and charisma.

The latest Morgan Poll Federal Vote, released today, finds a large drop in primary support for the Labor Government (47%, down 5.5% in a week), while L-NP support is up 4.5% to 37% as Wayne Swan prepares to deliver his first Federal Budget.  The two-party preferred vote is ALP 58%, L-NP 42%.

Gary Morgan says:

"The latest Morgan Poll Federal Vote finds that ALP primary support has dropped 5.5% to 47% (its lowest support since the Federal Election last November) as Wayne Swan delivers his first Federal Budget.

 

“This special Roy Morgan qualitative research finds that many Australian electors are concerned about the ALP’s ability to manage the tough economic times that we are facing with rising inflation (caused by higher fuel and food prices) and increasing wage claims from the Unions.

 

“Australians are starting to wonder whether Kevin Rudd is too concerned with his public image, and saying all the right things — rather than actually dealing with the economic issues Australia faces both from overseas and within Australia.

 

“If the Rudd Government is not to be a ‘one-term wonder’ it has to confront these concerns and deliver a Budget that provides solutions rather than just ALP spin.”

This Special Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention was conducted on the weekend of May 3-4, 2008, with an Australia-wide cross-section of 650 electors.

Special Roy Morgan Qualitative Research was conducted over the weekend of May 3/4, in which electors gave their concerns about the ALP Government, L-NP Opposition, Prime Minister Kevin Rudd and Opposition Leader Brendan Nelson.

Many respondents say they’re concerned with the economic management abilities of the ALP Government:

“Their incompetence in economic management.”

“The Budget is a concern — I hope they don’t spend too much money on the wrong things.”

“The inexperience of the Treasurer concerns me. I don’t trust him.”

 “Where are they going to get all the money from? They keep spending money, but I don’t think they’ve worked out where the money is coming from. They’re just spending!”

“Interest rates — they have gone up six times in the last year — it’s ridiculous!”

“With all the interest rates going up, the economy keeps going down.”

“No profits. The country will be in debt by the end of their term.”

“I have concerns about how they’re going to deal with the economy.”

“The tax breaks are going to increase inflation.”

“The new Treasurer is inexperienced with doing the Budget.”

“The upcoming Budget — how are they going to speak to everybody.”

“Inflation rates and interest rates are going through the roof and petrol prices and the price of food as well.”

“Economic issues — the economy.”

“I’ve got no time for Labor, they spend and spend and spend until they go broke, they always have.”

“Their economic performance, can they manage the country’s economy?”

Electors are concerned that disunity, party instability and infighting is not leaving the Liberal — National Party as a credible alternative Government:

“In a total state of disarray — the leadership of the Liberal Party is a huge issue for them.”

“They are totally disorganized and they’re not listening to the people.”

“They are not unified, they are not a cohesive unit.”

“They can’t get their act together.”

“The Liberals are disjointed and need unity in the party.”

“They’re fighting too much amongst themselves.”

 “They are in complete disarray. They seem not to have a unified policy on anything, instead, they’re fighting one another.”

“They need to get more together and start to see the real issues that need to be dealt with.”

“They are not a viable opposition and have too many internal issues.”

“Disorganised!”

“They are not organized and I can’t see what they’re up to at the moment.”

 “They’ve just got to get their act together and I don’t think Brendan’s the man to pull them together.”

“I don’t think they’re handling opposition at all, they’re struggling to have an identity and they’re not getting it right.”

Kevin Rudd’s use of the media and his focus on his own image has been noticed by electors concerned about whether he’s more concerned about his image and pleasing everyone than actually getting things done.

“I would say that he’s coming across that he wants to please everyone and maybe not making the decisions he needs to make if he’s just trying to please everyone.”

“I don’t trust him.”

“Wet like a flannel — soft and all show.”

“Kevin Rudd is more into looking at popularity, then making important decisions.”

“He’s trying to be all things to everybody at the moment, and it makes him look good.  He needs to concentrate on Home issues.”

“He’s trying to make everybody happy.”

“He’s speaking someone else’s words and I don’t know who’s.  He gets a lot of help.  It reminds me a little bit of the BBC comedy, ‘Yes Prime Minister’.”

“I think he’s just a spin doctor — full of spin and no substance.”

“Pretty boy, looking good.  Policies are introduced for personal popularity rather than what’s good for the country.”

“He seems to be receiving publicity from things in the press, like travelling overseas and his wife’s business dealings and the Summit that they had recently, bit I’d be more concerned to see real substance in social policy and change.”

“He might be a decent man, and it’s just talk with no action — but politicians do that anyway!”

Brendan Nelson’s failure to capture the policy leadership to drive elector attention to alternative policy proposals, rather than his personal attributes.

“He is the wrong person.”

“He seems a bit up in the air and not sure which way he is going.”

“He needs to be stronger and have a point!”

“He doesn’t have anything intelligent to say.”

“He’s not a very likeable guy.”

“He doesn’t have popular appeal, and is out of touch with the public.”

“The press continues to attack him.  He is going to have to suffer and tough it out until situations change.  He can’t do much, even though no-one is listening.”

“He is not really coming up with any alternative policies, rather than just being negative about the Labour Party and what they are doing.”

“Not up to it — No direction — Not a true opposition at the moment.  No decent policy statements of his own — perhaps because of the length of time until the next election.”

“I don’t think he is forceful enough.  He is too meek and mild.  He’s too weak in his voice.  No-one is taking any notice of him.”

“I don’t think he has his party behind him.”

“Just needs to push the issues a bit harder and follow-up on what he states and says.  He needs to push harder.”

“He appears to be almost invisible — whether it is the media or Brendan Nelson, we don’t hear too much about his policies.”

For further information:

Gary Morgan:        Office +61 3 9224 5213   Mobile +61 411 129 094

Michele Levine:     Office +61 3 9224 5215   Mobile +61 411 129 093

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