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In early March support for John Key’s National Party-led Government is 61.5% (up 6.5%) with National Party support 56% (up 7.5%), Maori Party 3.5% (unchanged), ACT NZ 1.5% (down 1%) and United Future 0.5% (unchanged) according to the Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll conducted February 16 — March 1, 2009.

Support for the Opposition Parties is 38.5% (down 7.5%) — Labour Party support is 26% (down 6%), Greens 8.5% (unchanged), NZ First 2.5% (up 1%) and Others 1.5% (down 0.5%).

The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is at 150.5 (up 6.5 points) with 69% (up 5.5%) of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to just 18.5% (down 2%) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction.’

During the same period, the Roy Morgan New Zealand Consumer Confidence Rating has fallen, down 1.2 points to 95.9.

Gary Morgan says:

“The latest New Zealand Morgan Poll shows support for the National Party-led Government (61.5%, up 6.5%) has risen strongly on the back of decisive leadership shown by new Prime Minister John Key.

“John Key has delivered on many of the promises he made during the election campaign to get New Zealand moving again after a year of recession.

“The new National Party-led Government has passed vital pieces of legislation to cut spending in wasteful Government departments and brought new standards of accountability to these same departments.

“The energy shown by Key in attending many community events — including Waitangi Day and the Lantern Festival shows up the lack of visibility of the Opposition Labour Party who have barely been in the public eye since last November’s election.”

Electors were asked: “If an election were held today which party would receive your party vote?”

This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 938 electors from February 2-15, 2009.

VOTING INTENTION SUMMARY

The following table compares the latest NZ Morgan Polls on Voting Intention with the result from the November 8, 2008 General Election:

*The Maori Party was launched in July 2004; ^ Result less than 0.5%

NEW ZEALAND: HEADING IN “RIGHT” OR “WRONG” DIRECTION?

Electors were asked: “Generally speaking, do you feel that things in New Zealand are heading in the right direction or would you say things are seriously heading in the wrong direction?”

# Roy Morgan GCR = Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating (The Roy Morgan GCR is 100 plus the difference between the percentage of New Zealanders who say the country is “heading in the right direction” and the percentage who say the country is “seriously heading in the wrong direction”).

# Roy Morgan GCR = Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating (The Roy Morgan GCR is 100 plus the difference between the percentage of New Zealanders who say the country is “heading in the right direction” and the percentage who say the country is “seriously heading in the wrong direction”).

# Roy Morgan GCR = Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating (The Roy Morgan GCR is 100 plus the difference between the percentage of New Zealanders who say the country is “heading in the right direction” and the percentage who say the country is “seriously heading in the wrong direction”).

For further information:

Gary Morgan:           Office +61 3 9224 5213   Mobile +61 411 129 094

Michele Levine:        Office +61 3 9224 5215   Mobile +61 411 129 093

Margin of Error

The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. The following table gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. The figures are approximate and for general guidance only, and assume a simple random sample.

Finding No. 4362 is taken from Computer Report No. 2278

The Morgan Poll is conducted by the ONLY Australian and New Zealand member of the Gallup International Association.

Finding No. 4362 is taken from Computer Report No. 2778

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