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COMPANY ONLINE STORE PRODUCTS SERVICES INDUSTRIES MORGAN POLL PAPERS PRESS RELEASES CONSUMER CONFIDENCE READERSHIP UNEMPLOYMENT THE REACTOR CAREERS 
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although 77% of working Australians say their ‘Present job is safe’
Unemployment to increase / decrease In early June 70% (unchanged since November 2008) of Australians expect unemployment to increase in the next 12 months while only 18% (down 2%) say that unemployment will fall and 11% (up 3%) say unemployment will remain the same over the next 12 months. Just 1% (down 1%) doesn’t know. Job security Despite a majority of Australians expecting unemployment in Australia to rise in the next 12 months, 77% (down 3% since November 2008) of Australians who work full or part-time say their present job is safe, while 21% (up 3%) say there is a chance they may become unemployed and only 2% (unchanged) don’t know. Finding a new job However, 57% (down 6% since November 2008) of workers say that if they were to become unemployed they’d be able to find a new job fairly quickly. Thirty-six per cent (up 2%) say it might take longer to find a new job, 4% (up 2%) wouldn’t look and 3% (up 2%) don’t know.
Gary Morgan says:
These findings come from a special Morgan Poll conducted in Australia on attitudes towards employment in the coming 12 months. In Australia, a cross-section of 649 men and women aged 14 or over were interviewed by telephone on June 10-11, 2009. *The ‘under-employed’ are those people who are in part-time work or consultants who are looking for more work. (Unfortunately the ABS does not measure this figure in their monthly unemployment estimate.)
For further information: Gary Morgan: Office +61 3 9224 5213 Mobile +61 411 129 094 Michele Levine: Office +61 3 9224 5215 Mobile +61 411 129 093 1. Unemployment Respondents were first asked: “In the next 12 months, do you expect the number of unemployed in Australia to increase a lot, to increase slightly, remain the same, fall slightly, or fall a lot?” Nearly three-quarters (70%, unchanged since Nov. 2008) of Australians expect unemployment to increase in the next 12 months — the equal highest since November 1990 (81%), 18% (down 2%) expect unemployment to fall, while 11% (up 39%) believe there will be no change, (1% didn’t know).
* “Don’t know” result included in “No change” Australia 1975-2005, New Zealand 1991-2005
2. Job Security in Australia Those respondents who work full-time or part-time were then asked: “Do you think your present job is safe, or do you think there's a chance you may become unemployed?” Over three-quarters of Australians (77%, down 3% since Nov. ’08 — the lowest since December 2001) who work full or part-time say their present job is safe, while 21% (up 3% - and the highest since December 2001) say there is a chance they may become unemployed and 2% (unchanged) don’t know.
3. Finding a New Job If Unemployed Full-time and part-time workers were then asked: “If you became unemployed, do you think you'd be able to find a new job fairly quickly — or do you think it might take longer?” In Australia, 57% (down 6% since Nov. 2008 — the lowest since Dec. 2001) of workers say that if they were to become unemployed they’d be able to find a new job fairly quickly. Thirty-six per cent (up 2% — the highest since Dec. 2001) say it might take longer to find a new job, 4% (up 2%) wouldn’t look and 3% (up 2%) don’t know.
* “Don’t know” result included in “No change” Australia 1975-2006.
Margin of Error The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. The following table gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. The figures are approximate and for general guidance only, and assume a simple random sample. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate.
The Morgan Poll is conducted by the ONLY Australian and New Zealand member of the Gallup International Association.
No other public opinion poll taken in Australia or New Zealand has this qualification. |
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