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A majority of Australians (55%) approve of Australia’s
proposed Carbon Emissions Trading Scheme
A large majority (83%) of Australians believe Carbon Emissions
are a contributor to Global Warming


Finding No. 4405 - This special telephone Morgan Poll was conducted on the evenings of August 5/6, 2009, with an Australia-wide cross-section of 687 men and women aged 14 or over.: August 11, 2009

A clear majority of Australians (55%) approve of the Government’s proposed carbon emissions trading scheme when asked “There’s proposed legislation before Federal Parliament for a carbon emissions trading scheme to be introduced in Australia. Do you approve or disapprove of this legislation?” according to a special Morgan Poll telephone survey conducted last Wednesday and Thursday nights (August 5/6, 2009).

Less than a quarter (24% — including 2.5% who say ‘it doesn’t go far enough’) of Australians disapprove of the proposed legislation whilst 14% don’t understand the legislation and 7% can’t say. The proposed legislation will be voted on in the Australian Senate this Thursday (August 13, 2009).

Special analysis by age group shows 66% of 14-17 year olds in favour of the legislation compared to 55% of 18-24 year olds, 62% of 25-34 year olds, 61% of 35-49 year olds and just 45% of Australians 50+.

Those who disapproved of the legislation were then asked “Why especially do you say that?” The most prominent reasons Australians disapproved of the legislation were: ‘Australia should wait for the World to act’ (3%), ‘Costs too much’ (3%), ‘Doesn’t stop pollution/ carbon emissions’ (3%), ‘Don’t believe in Global Warming' (2.5%), and ‘Carbon emissions are not responsible for Global Warming’ (2%). Of all Australians, 2.5% disapprove of the legislation because it ‘Doesn’t go far enough.’

A large majority (83%) of Australians believe carbon emissions are a contributor to Global Warming which includes 60% who believe carbon emissions are a ‘major contributor’ to Global Warming compared to 17% who believe carbon emissions are a ‘minor contributor.’

Australian views about Global Warming have been remarkably consistent this year with 58% (unchanged since May 20/21, 2009) of Australians saying, “If we don’t act now it will be too late” while 27% (up 1%) say “Concerns are exaggerated,” 11% (down 1%) say “It is already too late" and 4% (unchanged) can’t say.

Latest face-to-face Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention, conducted over the weekends of July 25/26 & August 1/2, 2009 and released last Friday (August 7, 2009), shows the ALP (60.5%) well ahead of the L-NP (39.5%) on a two-party preferred basis.

Michele Levine says:

“A majority (55%) of Australians approve of  the proposed carbon emissions trading scheme (ETS) legislation set to be introduced to the Senate for debate tomorrow before a vote is held this Thursday (August 13, 2009).This special Morgan Poll shows the Australian community support action to combat Global Warming.

“A large majority (83%) of Australians believe carbon emissions are a contributor to Global Warming — including 60% that believe carbon emissions are a ‘major contributor.’

“A majority of Australians (58% and unchanged since May this year) say in relation to Global Warming that ‘If we don’t act now it will be too late’ and an additional 11% (down 1%) say ‘It is already too late’ — in total nearly 70% of Australians.”

 

Respondents were asked a series of questions about Global Warming and the proposed Australian responses to address this issue — including in relation to the proposed carbon emissions trading scheme.

This special telephone Morgan Poll was conducted on the evenings of August 5/6, 2009, with an Australia-wide cross-section of 687 men and women aged 14 or over.

For further information:

Gary Morgan:     Office +61 3 9224 5213 Mobile +61 411 129 094

Michele Levine:   Office +61 3 9224 5215 Mobile +61 411 129 093

Views about Global Warming

Respondents were asked: “Which of the following is closest to your view about Global Warming?” Do you think: Concerns are exaggerated; if we don’t act now it will be too late; it is already too late?”

 

Total all people aged 14+

Analysis by Sex and Age

 

April

2006

Nov

2008

May 20/21,

2009

Aug 5/6,

2009

Men

Women

14-17

18-24

25-34

35-49

50+

 

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

Concerns are exaggerated

13

19

26

27

32

23

16

22

22

22

37

If we don’t act now it will be too late

67

64

58

58

52

63

66

59

64

62

50

It is already too late

15

14

12

11

13

9

16

16

13

11

8

Can’t say

5

3

4

4

3

5

2

3

1

5

5

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

 

Total all people aged 14+

Analysis by States & Regions

 

April

2006

Nov

2008

May 20/21,

2009

Aug 5/6,

2009

Capital

Cities

Country

Areas

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA

WA

Tas

 

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

Concerns are exaggerated

13

19

26

27

27

27

28

26

30

28

22

32

If we don’t act now it will be too late

67

64

58

58

58

57

57

59

54

64

60

49

It is already too late

15

14

12

11

11

11

10

11

15

6

12

9

Can’t say

5

3

4

4

4

5

5

4

1

2

6

10

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

 

Views about Australia’s proposed carbon emissions trading scheme

Respondents were then asked: “There’s proposed legislation before Federal Parliament for a carbon emissions trading scheme to be introduced in Australia. Do you approve or disapprove of this legislation?”

 

Total all people

 aged 14+

Analysis by Sex and Age

 

Aug 5/6,

2009

Men

Women

14-17

18-24

25-34

35-49

50+

 

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

Approve

55

54

55

66

55

62

61

45

Disapprove

24

30

19

13

21

12

24

33

Don’t Understand

14

10

18

16

20

19

12

12

Can’t say

7

6

8

5

4

7

3

10

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

 

Total all people

 aged 14+

Analysis by States & Regions

 

Aug 5/6,

2009

Capital

Cities

Country

Areas

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA

WA

Tas

 

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

Approve

55

53

57

59

48

55

59

51

53

Disapprove

24

22

27

21

27

27

15

25

38

Don’t Understand

14

16

12

14

17

11

15

18

4

Can’t say

7

9

4

6

8

7

11

6

5

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

 

Respondents who disapproved of the legislation were then asked: “Why especially do you say that?”

 

Total all people

 aged 14+

 

Aug 5/6,

2009

 

(%)

Australia should wait for the World to act

3

Costs too much

3

Doesn’t stop pollution/ carbon emissions

3

Don’t believe in Global Warming

2.5

Carbon emissions are not responsible for Global Warming

2

Australia can’t make a difference anyway

1.5

Global Warming is not a problem/ Isn’t bad for Australia

1.5

Not fair

1.5

The legislation is wrong/ not good/ needs a rethink; There are better methods

1

Unfair distribution of carbon credits; Too much leeway; Special consideration given to certain companies

1

I’m not convinced by the arguments; Need more proof; More research needs to be done

1

The public doesn’t have enough info

1

Job losses; The jobs lost won’t be replaced

1

We’re rushing into it; Not prepared for it

1

Its exaggerated/ Scaremongering

1

They’re only doing it for political reasons

0.5

It does not benefit families/ average people

0.5

The opportunity for corruption/ union payoffs

0.5

Its another tax/ revenue raising exercise

0.5

I am suspicious of them/ They cover things up

0.5

Its bad for the environment/ Global Warming

0.5

Additional taxes; No economic assistance for farmers

0.5

Its bad for the Australian economy

*

There are more important issues for Australia

*

              Other

3

Can’t say

1.5

Total asked question (Disapprove of legislation)

24

Doesn’t go far enough

2.5

Total not asked (Approve of legislation)

76

Total

100

 

Respondents were then asked: “Do you believe carbon emissions are a contributor to Global Warming?”

 

Total all people

 aged 14+

Analysis by Sex and Age

 

Aug 5/6,

2009

Men

Women

14-17

18-24

25-34

35-49

50+

 

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

Yes

83

79

86

90

93

89

86

73

No

10

13

6

5

6

6

8

15

Can’t say

7

8

8

5

1

5

6

12

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

 

Total all people

 aged 14+

Analysis by States & Regions

 

Aug 5/6,

2009

Capital

Cities

Country

Areas

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA

WA

Tas

 

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

Yes

83

82

84

85

84

80

75

83

80

No

10

11

8

8

9

13

10

8

13

Can’t say

7

7

8

7

7

7

15

9

7

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

 

Respondents who answered “Yes” were then asked: “A major contributor or a minor contributor to Global Warming?”

 

Total all people

 aged 14+

Analysis by Sex and Age

 

Aug 5/6,

2009

Men

Women

14-17

18-24

25-34

35-49

50+

 

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

Major

60

55

64

64

67

61

67

52

Minor

17

19

15

21

23

23

13

15

Can’t say

6

5

6

5

3

6

6

6

Not asked*

17

21

15

10

7

10

14

27

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

 

Total all people

 aged 14+

Analysis by States & Regions

 

Aug 5/6,

2009

Capital

Cities

Country

Areas

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA

WA

Tas

 

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

Major

60

58

63

66

56

64

45

54

67

Minor

17

17

18

16

19

13

28

16

13

Can’t say

6

7

4

3

8

4

3

13

0

Not asked*

17

18

15

15

17

19

26

17

20

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

*This question was not asked of those who answered no or can’t say to the previous question.

 

The research conducted for these questions was both qualitative (in that people were asked to use their own words) and quantitative (in that the ‘open-ended’ responses were analysed and ‘coded’ so that the results could be counted and reported as percentages).

For further information:

Gary Morgan:     Office +61 3 9224 5213 Mobile +61 411 129 094

Michele Levine:   Office +61 3 9224 5215 Mobile +61 411 129 093


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