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Now 50% (down 5% since August 5/6, 2009) of Australians approve of the Government’s proposed carbon emissions trading scheme when asked “There’s proposed legislation before Federal Parliament for a carbon emissions trading scheme to be introduced in Australia. Do you approve or disapprove of this legislation?” according to a special telephone Roy Morgan survey conducted last Wednesday and Thursday nights (November 11/12, 2009).

Less than a third, 31% (up 7%) of Australians disapprove of the proposed legislation, although 2% (down 0.5%) say ‘it doesn’t go far enough’, 11% (down 3%) don’t understand the legislation and 8% (up 1%) can’t say.

Special analysis by age group shows 71% (up 5%) of 14-17 year olds favour the legislation compared to 60% (up 5%) of 18-24 year olds, 53% (down 9%) of 25-34 year olds, 56% (down 5%) of 35-49 year olds and just 40% (down 5%) of Australians 50+.

Those who disapprove of the legislation were then asked “Why especially do you say that?”

‘Costs too much’ (6%, up 3%) was the most prominent reason Australians disapproved of the legislation, followed by, ‘Don’t believe in Global Warming’ (6%, up 3.5%), ‘Australia can’t make a difference anyway’ (4%, up 2.5%) ‘Australia should wait for the World to act’ (3.5%, up 0.5%) and it ‘Doesn’t stop pollution/ carbon emissions’ (3.5%, up 0.5%). Of all Australians, 2% (down 0.5%) disapprove of the legislation as it ‘Doesn’t go far enough.’

Australian views about Global Warming are slowly changing with 52% (down 6% since August 2009 and down 12% since November 2008) saying “If we don’t act now it will be too late” while now 30% (up 3% since August and up 11% since November 2008) say “Concerns are exaggerated.’ A consistent minority (14%, up 3% since August, but unchanged since November 2008) of Australians say “It is already too late” while 4% (unchanged) can’t say.

Gary Morgan says:

“Although far more Australians (50% cf. 31%) approve of the proposed carbon emissions trading scheme (ETS) legislation being debated in Canberra at the moment than disapprove, support for the legislation has dropped in the last three months.

“While this support is backed up by the majority of Australians (52%) saying ‘If we don’t act now it will be too late,’ it is down 6% from August 2009 and down 12% since November 2008. In contrast, an increasing number of Australians now say ‘Concerns are exaggerated’ (30%, up 3% since August 2009 and up 11% since November 2008).

This special telephone Roy Morgan survey was conducted on the evenings of November 11/12, 2009, with an Australia-wide cross-section of 674 men and women aged 14 or over.

Respondents were asked the series of questions about Global Warming and the proposed Australian response to address the issue of Climate Change with a ‘carbon emissions trading scheme.’

Latest face-to-face Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention, conducted over the weekend of November 7/8, 2009 and released last Friday (November 13, 2009), shows the ALP (56%) ahead of the L-NP (44%) on a two-party preferred basis.

For further information:

Gary Morgan:     Office +61 3 9224 5213 Mobile +61 411 129 094

Michele Levine:   Office +61 3 9224 5215 Mobile +61 411 129 093

Views about Global Warming

Respondents were asked: “Which of the following is closest to your view about Global Warming?” Do you think: Concerns are exaggerated; if we don’t act now it will be too late; it is already too late?”

	Total all people aged 14+					Analysis by Sex and Age
	April 2006	Nov 2008	May 2009	Aug 2009	Nov 11/12, 2009	Men	Women	14-17	18-24	25-34	35-49	50+
	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)
Concerns are  exaggerated	13	19	26	27	30	37	23	23	24	31	26	36
If we don’t act now it will be too late	67	64	58	58	52	46	58	71	54	52	56	46
It is already too late	15	14	12	11	14	13	14	6	16	15	14	13
Can’t say	5	3	4	4	4	4	5	0	6	2	4	5
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

	Total all people aged 14+					Analysis by States & Regions
	April 2006	Nov 2008	May 2009	Aug 2009	Nov 11/12, 2009	Capital Cities	Country Areas	NSW	Vic	Qld	SA	WA	Tas
	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)
Concerns are exaggerated	13	19	26	27	30	26	36	31	27	36	28	28	30
If we don’t act now it will be too late	67	64	58	58	52	55	47	58	52	44	52	52	49
It is already too late	15	14	12	11	14	14	14	6	16	19	11	17	21
Can’t say	5	3	4	4	4	5	3	5	5	1	9	3	0
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

Views about Australia’s proposed carbon emissions trading scheme

Respondents were then asked: “There’s proposed legislation before Federal Parliament for a carbon emissions trading scheme to be introduced in Australia. Do you approve or disapprove of this legislation?”

	Total all people aged 14+		Analysis by Sex and Age
	Aug 5/6, 2009	Nov 11/12, 2009	Men	Women	14-17	18-24	25-34	35-49	50+
	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)
Approve	55	50	45	56	71	60	53	56	40
Disapprove	24	31	39	23	16	22	24	27	41
Don’t Understand	14	11	8	14	12	10	14	10	10
Can’t say	7	8	8	7	1	8	9	7	9
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

	Total all people aged 14+		Analysis by States & Regions
	Aug 5/6, 2009	Nov 11/12, 2009	Capital Cities	Country Areas	NSW	Vic	Qld	SA	WA	Tas
	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)
Approve	55	50	53	46	50	54	43	51	63	51
Disapprove	24	31	30	33	30	34	38	24	17	34
Don’t Understand	14	11	10	12	12	7	12	13	11	12
Can’t say	7	8	7	9	8	5	7	12	9	3
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

Respondents who disapproved of the legislation were then asked: “Why especially do you say that?”

		Total all people aged 14+
		Aug 5/6, 2009			Nov 11/12, 2009
		(%)			(%)
Costs too much		3			6
Don’t believe in Global Warming		2.5			6
Australia can’t make a difference anyway		1.5			4
Australia should wait for the World to act		3			3.5
Doesn’t stop pollution/ carbon emissions		3			3.5
Doesn’t go far enough		2.5			2
The public doesn’t have enough info		1			1.5
Carbon emissions are not responsible for Global Warming		2			1.5
Global Warming is not a problem/ Isn’t bad for Australia		1.5			1
Not fair		1.5			1
Its another tax/ revenue raising exercise		0.5			1
The legislation is wrong/ not good/ needs a rethink; There are better methods		1			0.5
Unfair distribution of carbon credits; Too much leeway; Special consideration given to certain companies		1			0.5
I’m not convinced by the arguments; Need more proof; More research needs to be done		1			0.5
They’re only doing it for political reasons		0.5			0.5
Its bad for the Australian economy		*			0.5
Job losses; The jobs lost won’t be replaced		1			0.5
The ETS won’t stop/ won’t make a difference on Global Warming		*			0.5
Its too late		*			0.5
We’re rushing into it; Not prepared for it		1			0.5
Its exaggerated/ Scaremongering		1			*
It does not benefit families/ average people		0.5			*
Additional taxes; No economic assistance for farmers		0.5			*
The opportunity for corruption/ union payoffs		0.5			^
I am suspicious of them/ They cover things up		0.5			^
Its bad for the environment/ Global Warming		0.5			^
There are more important issues for Australia		*			^
Other		3			3.5
Can’t say		1.5			2
Total asked question (Disapprove of legislation)			24			31
Total not asked (Approve of legislation / Don’t understand legislation)			76			69
	Total		100			100

* Less than 0.5% of respondents mentioned this statement. ^ No respondents mentioned this statement.

Note: respondents to this question were able to nominate multiple responses.

For further information:

Gary Morgan:     Office +61 3 9224 5213 Mobile +61 411 129 094

Michele Levine:   Office +61 3 9224 5215 Mobile +61 411 129 093

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