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Now 60% (down 9% since October 7/8, 2009) of Australian electors prefer Kevin Rudd as Prime Minister, 25% prefer Tony Abbott (7% higher than Malcolm Turnbull in October) while 15% (up 2%) are undecided or prefer someone else. According to this special telephone Morgan Poll conducted over the last two nights (December 2/3, 2009).

The Morgan Poll also finds 53% (down 13% since October 7/8, 2009) of electors approve of the way Kevin Rudd is handling his job as Prime Minister, 36% (up 12%) disapprove and 11% (up 1%) are undecided.

Tony Abbott was elected Leader of the Opposition last Tuesday December 1, 2009 and 34% approve of the way he is handling his job. This is 5% higher than Malcolm Turnbull in October. While 27% of electors disapprove, and a high 39% are undecided.

Analysis by voting intention shows that of ALP voters 86% (down 7% since October 7/8, 2009) approve of the way Mr Rudd is handling his job, 5% (up 2%) disapprove and 9% (up 5%) are undecided.

Of Liberal voters 52% approve of the way Mr. Abbott is handling is job and 11% disapprove while 37% are undecided. In October only 31% approved of the way Mr Turnbull was handling his job, a high 54% disapproved and 15 % were undecided.

Better Prime Minister — Rudd v Abbott

# Malcolm Turnbull was elected as the leader of the Federal Liberal Party on September 16, 2008; this Special Morgan Poll was taken with Rudd v Turnbull before Turnbull became Leader of the Opposition.

Gary Morgan says:

“Kevin Rudd’s lead as Better Prime Minister has been cut by Tony Abbott only days after Abbott was installed as the new Opposition Leader.

“Rudd (60%, down 9% since October 7/8, 2009 when opposed to former Opposition Leader Malcolm Turnbull) leads Abbott (25%), but Abbott has immediately improved on Turnbull’s last rating whilst Opposition Leader of only 18%.

“Approval for Kevin Rudd’s handling of the job as Prime Minister (53%, down 13%) has dropped substantially while many electors remain unsure about Abbott’s performance with 39% not able to rate Abbott’s job performance as Opposition Leader — however more electors approve (34%) than disapprove (27%) of Abbott’s handling of his job, something Malcolm Turnbull hadn’t managed since May 21/22, 2009.”

This special telephone Morgan Poll was conducted on the evenings of December 2/3, 2009, with an Australia-wide cross section of 597 electors.

Better Prime Minister: Rudd v Abbott

Respondents were asked: “Thinking of Mr. Rudd and Mr. Abbott. In your opinion, who would make the better Prime Minister — Mr. Rudd or Mr. Abbott?”

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Better Prime Minister: Rudd v Hockey

Respondents were asked: “Thinking of Mr. Rudd and Mr. Hockey. In your opinion, who would make the better Prime Minister — Mr. Rudd or Mr. Hockey?”

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Better Prime Minister: Rudd v Turnbull

Respondents were asked: “Thinking of Mr. Rudd and Mr. Turnbull.  In your opinion, who would make the better Prime Minister — Mr. Rudd or Mr. Turnbull?”

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Approval of Leaders — Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

Prime Minister: Kevin Rudd

Respondents were asked: “Do you APPROVE or DISAPPROVE of the way Mr. Rudd is handling his job as Prime Minister?”

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

Opposition Leader: Tony Abbott

Respondents were asked: “Do you APPROVE or DISAPPROVE of the way Mr. Abbott is handling his job as Leader of the Opposition?”

# Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution

For further information:

Gary Morgan:      Office +61 3 9224 5213   Mobile +61 411 129 094

Michele Levine:  Office +61 3 9224 5215   Mobile +61 411 129 093

Margin of Error

The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. The following table gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. The figures are approximate and for general guidance only, and assume a simple random sample.

 

 

Sample Size	Percentage Estimate
	40%-60%	25% or 75%	10% or 90%	5% or 95%
500	±4.5	±3.9	±2.7	±1.9
1,000	±3.2	±2.7	±1.9	±1.4

 

The Morgan Poll is conducted by the ONLY Australian and New Zealand member of the Gallup International Association.

No other public opinion poll taken in Australia has this qualification.

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