Consumer Confidence dips – down 2.8pts in a week to 125.2
| Article No. 965 -
This weekly Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating is based on 1,028 face-to-face interviews conducted Australia-wide with men and women aged 14 and over on the weekend of November 7/8, 2009.:
November 12, 2009 |
Click here to purchase the latest detailed "Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Monthly Report 2009"
Consumer Confidence is 125.2 (down 2.8 pts in a week) according to the weekly Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating conducted on the weekend of November 7/8, 2009. The Consumer Confidence rating is 29.4pts higher than a year ago, November 8/9 2008 (95.8).
The fall in the weekly Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating has been driven by a decrease in confidence about both the short and long term future and also the buying of major household items.
Now 53% (down 4%) of Australians say ‘now is a good time to buy’ major household items compared to 17% (down 1%) that say ‘now is a bad time to buy’ major household items.
Of Australians, 46% (down 3%) say we’ll have ‘good times’ financially in the next 12 months compared to 18% (up 2%) that say we’ll have ‘bad times’ financially.
In the long-term, 48% (down 1%) of Australians expect ‘good times’ economically over the next five years compared to 13% (up 3%) that expect Australia to have ‘bad times.’
In terms of personal finances, now 42% (down 1%) of Australians expect their family to be ‘better off financially’ this time next year compared to 13% (up 1%) of Australians that expect their family to be ‘worse off financially.’
Compared to a year ago 26% (down 1%), of Australians say their family is ‘better off financially’ compared to, 28% (down 1%) of Australians, that say their family is ‘worse off financially.’
Gary Morgan says:
“The weekly Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating has fallen back to near its level of two weeks ago (down 2.8pts to 125.2) after the RBA’s decision last week to raise interest rates by 0.25% to 3.5%.
“Following the RBA’s decision, now 53% (down 4% - and the largest fall noted in any of the Consumer Confidence indicators) of Australians say now is a ‘good time to buy’ major household items. This is the indicator most closely tied to interest rate movements, and its fall shows the direct impact rising interest rates will have on consumer spending — and therefore retailers — in the months ahead.
“There were falls across all other Consumer Confidence indicators this week with 46% (down 3%) of Australians expecting ‘good times’ financially in the next 12 months and 48% (down 1%) of Australians expecting ‘good times’ economically for the next five years.
“However, despite this week’s fall, it is worth remembering that Consumer Confidence remains well above its long-term average of 107.6 and 29.4 pts higher than a year ago November 8/9, 2008 (95.8) when the global financial crisis looked set to plunge Australia into recession.”
This weekly Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating is based on 1,028 face-to-face interviews conducted Australia-wide with men and women aged 14 and over on the weekend of November 7/8, 2009.
The latest Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Monthly Report is now available on the Roy Morgan Online Store.
http://www.roymorganonlinestore.com/Browse/Australia/Australia-Morgan-Poll/Consumer-Confidence.aspx
The latest Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Monthly Report provides detailed demographic breakdowns for Age, Sex, State, Region (Capital Cities/ Country), Generations, Lifecycle, Socio-Economic Scale, Work Status, Occupation, Home Ownership, Voting Intention, Roy Morgan Value Segments and more.
For further information:
Gary Morgan: Office + 61 3 9224 5213 Mobile + 61 411 129 094
Michele Levine: Office + 61 3 9224 5215 Mobile + 61 411 129 093
Margin of Error
The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. The following table gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. The figures are approximate and for general guidance only, and assume a simple random sample. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate.
|
Sample Size |
Percentage Estimate |
| |
40%-60% |
25% or 75% |
10% or 90% |
5% or 95% |
|
1,000 |
±3.2 |
±2.7 |
±1.9 |
±1.4 |
|
2009 Weekly Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating Figures |
|
|
|
January |
February |
March |
April |
|
3/4 |
10/11 |
17/18 |
24/25 |
31/1 |
7/8 |
14/15 |
21/22 |
28/1 |
7/8 |
14/15 |
21/22 |
4/5 |
11/12 |
18/19 |
25/26 |
|
104.1 |
107.2 |
101.1 |
92.0 |
93.4 |
94.1 |
96.2 |
95.8 |
95.2 |
97.3 |
93.5 |
97.2 |
102.6 |
103.4 |
102.6 |
99.6 |
| |
|
January (Avg. - 1976 - 2009) |
February (Avg. - 1987 - 2009) |
March (Avg. - 1973 - 2009) |
April (Avg. - 1976 - 2009) |
|
111.2 |
111.1 |
108.6 |
107.8 |
| |
|
May |
June |
July |
August |
|
2/3 |
9/10 |
16/17 |
23/24 |
30/31 |
6/7 |
13/14 |
20/21 |
4/5 |
11/12 |
18/19 |
25/26 |
1/2 |
8/9 |
15/16 |
22/23 |
29/30 |
| 97.3 |
104.5 |
101.2 |
104.2 |
104.7 |
110.8 |
108.8 |
113.9 |
113.5 |
114.0 |
114.4 |
117.8 |
116.2 |
123.0 |
122.6 |
123.7 |
121.9 |
| |
|
May (Avg. - 1986 - 2009) |
June (Avg. - 1973 - 2009) |
July (Avg. - 1976 - 2009) |
August (Avg. - 1986 - 2009) |
|
108.5 |
105.5 |
105.2 |
108.8 |
| |
|
September |
October |
November |
December |
|
5/6 |
12/13 |
19/20 |
3/4 |
10/11 |
17/18 |
24/25 |
31/1 |
7/8 |
14/15 |
21/22 |
28/29 |
5/6 |
12/13 |
19/20 |
| 123.5 |
121.2 |
124.9 |
127.3 |
128.2 |
127.1 |
125.5 |
128.0 |
125.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
September (Avg. - 1973 - 2009) |
October (Avg. - 1976 - 2009) |
November (Avg. - 1976 - 2009) |
December (Avg. - 1973 - 2008) |
|
105.5 |
107.1 |
105.5 |
106.0 |
| |
|
Weekly Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence 2009 Average: |
110.0 |
|
|
Overall Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Average (1973 — 2009): |
107.6 |
|
|
1973 - 2009 Monthly Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating Figures |
|
Year |
Jan |
Feb |
Mar |
Apr |
May |
Jun |
Jul |
Aug |
Sep |
Oct |
Nov |
Dec |
Yearly
Average |
|
1973 |
|
|
119.2 |
|
|
117.0 |
|
|
108.4 |
|
|
103.8 |
112.1 |
|
1974 |
|
|
103.2 |
|
|
95.6 |
|
|
90.6 |
|
|
92.2 |
95.4 |
|
1975 |
|
|
114.0 |
|
|
104.2 |
|
|
100.8 |
|
|
103.0 |
105.5 |
|
1976 |
113.6 |
|
107.0 |
110.2 |
|
107.0 |
105.6 |
|
108.0 |
108.8 |
101.2 |
|
107.7 |
|
1977 |
104.2 |
|
98.6 |
101.6 |
|
103.8 |
99.4 |
|
105.0 |
104.4 |
109.4 |
|
103.3 |
|
1978 |
119.2 |
|
114.8 |
110.8 |
|
109.6 |
101.6 |
|
91.2 |
104.4 |
103.6 |
|
106.9 |
|
1979 |
110.2 |
|
106.2 |
109.4 |
|
92.6 |
90.2 |
|
99.4 |
97.6 |
98.8 |
|
100.6 |
|
1980 |
98.8 |
|
100.8 |
97.4 |
|
101.6 |
98.2 |
|
104.4 |
109.8 |
106.4 |
|
102.2 |
|
1981 |
113.4 |
|
111.8 |
101.8 |
|
100.8 |
95.0 |
|
92.4 |
98.2 |
98.0 |
|
101.4 |
|
1982 |
92.4 |
|
91.8 |
93.6 |
|
92.2 |
80.4 |
|
84.6 |
81.2 |
75.2 |
|
86.4 |
|
1983 |
87.8 |
|
97.4 |
96.0 |
|
95.4 |
98.2 |
|
100.6 |
106.4 |
113.2 |
|
99.4 |
|
1984 |
124.6 |
|
120.8 |
120.8 |
|
115.6 |
116.6 |
|
118.2 |
117.8 |
114.6 |
|
118.6 |
|
1985 |
114.8 |
|
110.2 |
99.4 |
|
98.0 |
100.8 |
|
106.8 |
107.8 |
94.8 |
|
104.1 |
|
1986 |
105.4 |
|
103.8 |
94.6 |
94.8 |
91.6 |
79.8 |
79.8 |
78.8 |
89.8 |
85.6 |
88.8 |
90.3 |
|
1987 |
90.4 |
88.0 |
86.8 |
90.8 |
91.8 |
93.4 |
98.6 |
96.4 |
94.8 |
104.0 |
87.2 |
93.0 |
92.9 |
|
1988 |
100.4 |
98.8 |
103.6 |
106.2 |
104.0 |
104.0 |
107.6 |
108.2 |
112.4 |
108.8 |
104.2 |
105.8 |
105.3 |
|
1989 |
105.0 |
94.6 |
88.4 |
88.4 |
87.4 |
72.8 |
73.0 |
78.8 |
82.0 |
79.0 |
81.0 |
80.0 |
84.2 |
|
1990 |
101.6 |
95.6 |
83.4 |
88.3 |
84.7 |
83.1 |
79.6 |
83.9 |
75.6 |
71.4 |
73.1 |
71.3 |
82.6 |
|
1991 |
78.5 |
85.4 |
85.0 |
87.2 |
87.7 |
88.6 |
98.1 |
95.2 |
93.3 |
95.8 |
91.1 |
83.0 |
89.1 |
|
1992 |
93.6 |
95.9 |
96.2 |
105.4 |
101.6 |
97.7 |
95.4 |
96.9 |
96.8 |
101.2 |
93.6 |
92.9 |
97.3 |
|
1993 |
100.8 |
100.4 |
105.9 |
102.3 |
102.2 |
96.2 |
96.6 |
100.8 |
90.2 |
103.5 |
111.9 |
108.5 |
101.6 |
|
1994 |
120.5 |
127.5 |
125.7 |
127.7 |
125.2 |
128.0 |
127.6 |
123.8 |
123.6 |
124.6 |
118.1 |
118.0 |
124.2 |
|
1995 |
112.3 |
112.4 |
113.9 |
114.7 |
112.0 |
112.4 |
110.2 |
115.5 |
111.7 |
116.2 |
114.3 |
111.9 |
113.1 |
|
1996 |
116.7 |
119.1 |
123.7 |
121.5 |
118.8 |
117.8 |
112.3 |
114.4 |
113.2 |
111.3 |
113.4 |
113.2 |
116.3 |
|
1997 |
119.2 |
115.1 |
116.2 |
112.5 |
114.2 |
115.5 |
110.7 |
111.7 |
112.4 |
112.8 |
111.6 |
110.6 |
113.5 |
|
1998 |
117.8 |
116.0 |
114.9 |
110.2 |
114.4 |
109.8 |
107.6 |
111.1 |
111.0 |
113.9 |
114.2 |
114.7 |
112.8 |
|
1999 |
122.1 |
121.8 |
122.5 |
119.6 |
122.5 |
122.2 |
118.2 |
122.8 |
122.3 |
119.6 |
122.8 |
122.2 |
121.6 |
|
2000 |
122.3 |
119.9 |
112.9 |
116.6 |
112.0 |
108.7 |
114.8 |
119.1 |
115.8 |
115.6 |
110.3 |
112.3 |
115.0 |
|
2001 |
119.9 |
109.5 |
106.2 |
103.6 |
107.4 |
108.6 |
115.3 |
116.4 |
120.9* |
106.8 |
109.4 |
113.3 |
111.4 |
|
2002 |
124.8 |
123.0 |
122.3 |
123.2 |
124.0 |
116.4 |
123.4 |
119.9 |
122.1 |
117.2 |
114.0 |
109.6 |
120.0 |
|
2003 |
122.5 |
113.4 |
109.9 |
120.8 |
127.0 |
122.4 |
123.2 |
122.4 |
123.2 |
121.2 |
124.2 |
120.4 |
120.9 |
| 2004 |
126.0 |
126.8 |
130.4 |
124.4 |
125.0 |
125.6 |
128.9 |
127.6 |
126 |
128.9 |
124.8 |
125.5 |
126.7 |
| 2005 |
133.2 |
132.0 |
121.5 |
119.4 |
119.5 |
118.8 |
116.8 |
120.6 |
114.3 |
105.4 |
110.6 |
117.7 |
119.2 |
| 2006 |
124.3 |
124.5 |
124.4 |
120.1 |
106.8 |
115.1 |
118.1 |
103.7^ |
108.6 |
115.8 |
111.5 |
117.4 |
115.9 |
| 2007 |
123.9 |
123.8 |
120.7 |
124.3 |
122.5 |
122.3 |
126.8 |
125.2 |
118.2 |
126.2 |
124.9 |
126.8 |
123.8 |
| Year |
Jan |
Feb |
Mar |
Apr |
May |
Jun |
Jul |
Aug |
Sep |
Oct |
Nov |
Dec |
|
| 2008 |
118.6 |
115.8 |
109.5 |
100.1 |
97.1 |
90.7 |
92.0 |
94.7 |
101.2 |
90.4 |
93.1 |
99.8 |
100.2 |
| 2009 |
101.1 |
94.9 |
95.8 |
102.0 |
101.8 |
109.6 |
114.9 |
121.4 |
122.9 |
127.0 |
126.6? |
|
110.0 |
* The Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating for September 15/16, 2001, conducted by telephone, was 102.3.
^ 84 of the 107 Western Australian interviews were conducted by telephone on August 9/10 due to a recent Southern WA Cyclone
#The Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating for August 2008 includes interviewing on August 2/3 (90.1) & 30/31 (99.3).
Since October 2008, the Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating has been conducted on a weekly basis,
with the monthly Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating compiled from results on all four weekends.
?The latest monthly figure in this table is an indicative figure, the average of the completed weeks so far in the latest month. |
Results for the weekly Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating*
for the component questions over the more recent surveys are as follows: |
|
2009 (October - December) - Weekly |
|
|
|
| 3/4 |
10/11 |
17/18 |
24/25 |
31/1 (Nov) |
7/8 |
14/15 |
21/22 |
28/29 |
5/6 |
12/13 |
19/20 |
|
Interviews |
1,334 |
997 |
1,132 |
1,026 |
1,130 |
1,028 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Q1 Would you say you and your family are better-off financially or worse off than you were at this time last year? |
|
Over the past year |
better off |
30 |
32 |
30 |
30 |
27 |
26 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
worse off |
29 |
29 |
28 |
30 |
29 |
28 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
QUESTION 1 difference |
1 |
3 |
2 |
0 |
-2 |
-2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Q2 This time next year, do you and your family expect to be better-off financially or worse off than you are now? |
|
|
better off |
47 |
48 |
44 |
39 |
43 |
42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
worse off |
11 |
11 |
10 |
15 |
12 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
QUESTION 2 difference |
36 |
37 |
34 |
24 |
31 |
29 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Q3 Thinking of economic conditions in Australia as a whole. In the next 12 months, do you expect we'll
have good times financially, bad times or some good and some bad? |
|
|
good times |
48 |
45 |
44 |
47 |
49 |
46 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
bad times |
17 |
17 |
17 |
18 |
16 |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
QUESTION 3 difference |
31 |
28 |
27 |
29 |
33 |
28 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Q4 Looking ahead, what would you say is more likely, that in Australia as a whole, we'll have continuous good times
during the next five years of so - or we'll have bad times - or some good and some bad? |
|
|
good times |
52 |
49 |
48 |
50 |
49 |
48 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
bad times |
12 |
12 |
11 |
12 |
10 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
QUESTION 4 difference |
40 |
37 |
37 |
38 |
39 |
35 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Q5 Generally, do you think now is a good time - or a bad time - for people to buy major household items? |
|
|
good time to buy |
50 |
53 |
56 |
53 |
57 |
53 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
bad time to buy |
21 |
17 |
21 |
17 |
18 |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
QUESTION 5 difference |
29 |
36 |
35 |
36 |
39 |
36 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weekly Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating |
127.3 |
128.2 |
127.1 |
125.5 |
128.0 |
125.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
* The Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating is 100.0 plus the simple unweighted average of the difference between the percentage of respondents who give a favourable and those who give unfavourable answers to five key questions. |
Results for the weekly Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating*
for the component questions over the more recent surveys are as follows: |
|
2009 (July - September) - Weekly |
July |
August |
September |
| 4/5 |
11/12 |
18/19 |
25/26 |
1/2 |
8/9 |
15/16 |
22/23 |
29/30 |
5/6 |
12/13 |
19/20 |
|
Interviews |
1,466 |
1,018 |
1,130 |
1,008 |
1,155 |
1,050 |
1,045 |
1,035 |
1,050 |
928 |
1,095 |
1,041 |
|
Q1 Would you say you and your family are better-off financially or worse off than you were at this time last year? |
|
Over the past year |
better off |
26 |
27 |
25 |
25 |
25 |
30 |
29 |
27 |
30 |
29 |
30 |
29 |
|
|
worse off |
38 |
34 |
35 |
33 |
33 |
31 |
29 |
31 |
33 |
30 |
31 |
30 |
|
QUESTION 1 difference |
-12 |
-7 |
-10 |
-8 |
-8 |
-1 |
0 |
-4 |
-3 |
-1 |
-1 |
-1 |
|
Q2 This time next year, do you and your family expect to be better-off financially or worse off than you are now? |
|
|
better off |
42 |
40 |
41 |
43 |
41 |
46 |
43 |
42 |
42 |
44 |
41 |
42 |
|
|
worse off |
16 |
13 |
15 |
13 |
13 |
10 |
11 |
13 |
13 |
12 |
13 |
12 |
|
QUESTION 2 difference |
26 |
27 |
26 |
30 |
28 |
36 |
32 |
29 |
29 |
32 |
28 |
30 |
|
Q3 Thinking of economic conditions in Australia as a whole. In the next 12 months, do you expect we'll
have good times financially, bad times or some good and some bad? |
|
|
good times |
29 |
25 |
28 |
31 |
32 |
36 |
39 |
40 |
40 |
43 |
39 |
43 |
|
|
bad times |
34 |
31 |
30 |
29 |
24 |
23 |
23 |
22 |
24 |
20 |
20 |
19 |
|
QUESTION 3 difference |
-54 |
-6 |
-2 |
2 |
8 |
13 |
16 |
18 |
16 |
23 |
19 |
24 |
|
Q4 Looking ahead, what would you say is more likely, that in Australia as a whole, we'll have continuous good times
during the next five years of so - or we'll have bad times - or some good and some bad? |
|
|
good times |
47 |
43 |
45 |
46 |
44 |
50 |
51 |
55 |
52 |
46 |
48 |
50 |
|
|
bad times |
15 |
15 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
11 |
12 |
10 |
12 |
11 |
12 |
10 |
|
QUESTION 4 difference |
32 |
28 |
32 |
33 |
31 |
39 |
39 |
45 |
40 |
35 |
36 |
40 |
|
Q5 Generally, do you think now is a good time - or a bad time - for people to buy major household items? |
|
|
good time to buy |
52 |
51 |
49 |
54 |
47 |
49 |
51 |
51 |
52 |
50 |
48 |
50 |
|
|
bad time to buy |
24 |
23 |
24 |
22 |
24 |
21 |
24 |
21 |
24 |
22 |
23 |
18 |
|
QUESTION 5 difference |
28 |
28 |
25 |
32 |
23 |
28 |
27 |
30 |
28 |
28 |
25 |
32 |
|
|
|
Weekly Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating |
113.5 |
114.0 |
114.4 |
117.8 |
116.2 |
123.0 |
122.6 |
123.7 |
121.9 |
123.5 |
121.2 |
124.9 |
|
|
* The Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating is 100.0 plus the simple unweighted average of the difference between the percentage of respondents who give a favourable and those who give unfavourable answers to five key questions. |
Results for the weekly Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating*
for the component questions over the more recent surveys are as follows: |
|
2009 (April - June) - Weekly |
April |
May |
June |
| 4/5 |
11/12 |
18/19 |
25/26 |
2/3 |
9/10 |
16/17 |
23/24 |
30/31 |
6/7 |
13/14 |
20/21 |
|
Interviews |
1,486 |
987 |
1,145 |
1,051 |
1,106 |
1,032 |
1,122 |
1,065 |
1,082 |
1,083 |
1,010 |
997 |
|
Q1 Would you say you and your family are better-off financially or worse off than you were at this time last year? |
|
Over the past year |
better off |
30 |
27 |
25 |
29 |
25 |
26 |
25 |
25 |
27 |
26 |
24 |
25 |
|
|
worse off |
32 |
33 |
37 |
35 |
35 |
35 |
34 |
35 |
35 |
34 |
36 |
32 |
|
QUESTION 1 difference |
-2 |
-6 |
-12 |
-6 |
-10 |
-9 |
-9 |
-10 |
-8 |
-8 |
-12 |
-7 |
|
Q2 This time next year, do you and your family expect to be better-off financially or worse off than you are now? |
|
|
better off |
39 |
37 |
38 |
33 |
33 |
38 |
36 |
38 |
38 |
40 |
39 |
39 |
|
|
worse off |
16 |
17 |
16 |
20 |
22 |
17 |
19 |
18 |
19 |
15 |
18 |
15 |
|
QUESTION 2 difference |
23 |
20 |
22 |
13 |
11 |
21 |
17 |
20 |
19 |
25 |
21 |
24 |
|
Q3 Thinking of economic conditions in Australia as a whole. In the next 12 months, do you expect we'll
have good times financially, bad times or some good and some bad? |
|
|
good times |
15 |
17 |
18 |
15 |
12 |
19 |
16 |
19 |
19 |
22 |
24 |
27 |
|
|
bad times |
55 |
52 |
50 |
53 |
58 |
46 |
51 |
45 |
48 |
34 |
43 |
31 |
|
QUESTION 3 difference |
-40 |
-35 |
-32 |
-38 |
-46 |
-27 |
-35 |
-26 |
-29 |
-12 |
-19 |
-4 |
|
Q4 Looking ahead, what would you say is more likely, that in Australia as a whole, we'll have continuous good times
during the next five years of so - or we'll have bad times - or some good and some bad? |
|
|
good times |
35 |
37 |
39 |
35 |
35 |
39 |
36 |
39 |
38 |
40 |
47 |
44 |
|
|
bad times |
21 |
17 |
18 |
21 |
21 |
19 |
22 |
19 |
20 |
16 |
18 |
13 |
|
QUESTION 4 difference |
14 |
20 |
21 |
14 |
14 |
20 |
14 |
20 |
18 |
24 |
29 |
31 |
|
Q5 Generally, do you think now is a good time - or a bad time - for people to buy major household items? |
|
|
good time to buy |
46 |
45 |
44 |
45 |
46 |
46 |
47 |
45 |
49 |
49 |
51 |
50 |
|
|
bad time to buy |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
29 |
28 |
28 |
27 |
25 |
24 |
27 |
25 |
|
QUESTION 5 difference |
19 |
17 |
15 |
15 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
18 |
24 |
25 |
24 |
25 |
|
|
|
Weekly Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating |
102.6 |
103.4 |
102.6 |
99.6 |
97.3 |
104.5 |
101.2 |
104.2 |
104.7 |
110.8 |
108.8 |
113.9 |
|
|
* The Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating is 100.0 plus the simple unweighted average of the difference between the percentage of respondents who give a favourable and those who give unfavourable answers to five key questions. |
Results for the weekly Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating*
for the component questions over the more recent surveys are as follows: |
|
2009 (January - March) - Weekly |
Jan |
|
|
| 3/4 |
10/11 |
17/18 |
24/25 |
31/1(Feb) |
7/8 |
14/15 |
21/22 |
28/1(Mar) |
7/8 |
14/15 |
21/22 |
|
Interviews |
981 |
1,053 |
1,023 |
1,129 |
927 |
993 |
916 |
1,145 |
1,016 |
1,133 |
1,046 |
1,042 |
|
Q1 Would you say you and your family are better-off financially or worse off than you were at this time last year? |
|
Over the past year |
better off |
28 |
33 |
29 |
26 |
26 |
30 |
25 |
26 |
25 |
28 |
26 |
27 |
|
|
worse off |
31 |
32 |
34 |
37 |
37 |
36 |
37 |
37 |
37 |
34 |
37 |
36 |
|
QUESTION 1 difference |
-3 |
1 |
-5 |
-11 |
-11 |
-6 |
-12 |
-11 |
-12 |
-6 |
-11 |
-9 |
|
Q2 This time next year, do you and your family expect to be better-off financially or worse off than you are now? |
|
|
better off |
36 |
42 |
36 |
32 |
36 |
37 |
32 |
34 |
33 |
34 |
32 |
32 |
|
|
worse off |
20 |
17 |
19 |
25 |
21 |
21 |
21 |
21 |
22 |
19 |
23 |
21 |
|
QUESTION 2 difference |
16 |
25 |
17 |
7 |
15 |
16 |
11 |
13 |
11 |
15 |
9 |
11 |
|
Q3 Thinking of economic conditions in Australia as a whole. In the next 12 months, do you expect we'll
have good times financially, bad times or some good and some bad? |
|
|
good times |
17 |
20 |
15 |
13 |
11 |
11 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
16 |
|
|
bad times |
48 |
47 |
51 |
61 |
60 |
62 |
54 |
54 |
59 |
57 |
60 |
56 |
|
QUESTION 3 difference |
-31 |
-27 |
-36 |
-48 |
-49 |
-51 |
-41 |
-41 |
-46 |
-45 |
-48 |
-40 |
|
Q4 Looking ahead, what would you say is more likely, that in Australia as a whole, we'll have continuous good times
during the next five years of so - or we'll have bad times - or some good and some bad? |
|
|
good times |
35 |
37 |
32 |
28 |
29 |
28 |
32 |
30 |
31 |
33 |
32 |
33 |
|
|
bad times |
19 |
20 |
22 |
27 |
25 |
27 |
26 |
26 |
24 |
23 |
27 |
22 |
|
QUESTION 4 difference |
16 |
17 |
10 |
1 |
4 |
1 |
6 |
4 |
7 |
10 |
5 |
11 |
|
Q5 Generally, do you think now is a good time - or a bad time - for people to buy major household items? |
|
|
good time to buy |
48 |
48 |
45 |
43 |
43 |
43 |
46 |
43 |
45 |
44 |
44 |
44 |
|
|
bad time to buy |
25 |
29 |
26 |
33 |
35 |
32 |
30 |
30 |
30 |
31 |
31 |
31 |
|
QUESTION 5 difference |
23 |
19 |
19 |
10 |
8 |
11 |
16 |
13 |
15 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
|
|
|
Weekly Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating |
104.1 |
107.2 |
101.1 |
92.0 |
93.4 |
94.1 |
96.2 |
95.8 |
95.2 |
97.3 |
93.5 |
97.2 |
|
|
* The Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating is 100.0 plus the simple unweighted average of the difference between the percentage of respondents who give a favourable and those who give unfavourable answers to five key questions. |
Results for the weekly Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating*
for the component questions over the more recent surveys are as follows: |
|
2008 (October - December) - Weekly |
|
|
|
| 4/5 |
11/12 |
18/19 |
25/26 |
1/2 |
8/9 |
15/16 |
22/23 |
29/30 |
6/7 |
13/14 |
20/21 |
|
Interviews |
1,183 |
981 |
1,064 |
1,072 |
1,060 |
1,100 |
1,045 |
989 |
1,140 |
1,109 |
1,016 |
988 |
|
Q1 Would you say you and your family are better-off financially or worse off than you were at this time last year? |
|
Over the past year |
better off |
25 |
26 |
27 |
25 |
26 |
28 |
23 |
26 |
27 |
27 |
29 |
31 |
|
|
worse off |
38 |
41 |
37 |
42 |
40 |
36 |
37 |
37 |
36 |
36 |
35 |
34 |
|
QUESTION 1 difference |
-13 |
-15 |
-10 |
-17 |
-14 |
-8 |
-14 |
-11 |
-9 |
-9 |
-6 |
-3 |
|
Q2 This time next year, do you and your family expect to be better-off financially or worse off than you are now? |
|
|
better off |
38 |
34 |
34 |
32 |
34 |
37 |
32 |
37 |
36 |
34 |
38 |
37 |
|
|
worse off |
22 |
23 |
24 |
27 |
25 |
20 |
23 |
23 |
20 |
20 |
19 |
20 |
|
QUESTION 2 difference |
16 |
11 |
10 |
5 |
9 |
17 |
9 |
14 |
16 |
14 |
19 |
17 |
|
Q3 Thinking of economic conditions in Australia as a whole. In the next 12 months, do you expect we'll
have good times financially, bad times or some good and some bad? |
|
|
good times |
19 |
14 |
15 |
14 |
14 |
19 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
18 |
16 |
16 |
|
|
bad times |
44 |
49 |
48 |
54 |
51 |
49 |
50 |
49 |
47 |
46 |
46 |
48 |
|
QUESTION 3 difference |
-25 |
-35 |
-33 |
-40 |
-37 |
-33 |
-34 |
-32 |
-29 |
-28 |
-30 |
-32 |
|
Q4 Looking ahead, what would you say is more likely, that in Australia as a whole, we'll have continuous good times
during the next five years of so - or we'll have bad times - or some good and some bad? |
|
|
good times |
28 |
28 |
27 |
28 |
30 |
30 |
26 |
30 |
31 |
29 |
30 |
33 |
|
|
bad times |
22 |
26 |
26 |
28 |
25 |
21 |
26 |
22 |
23 |
22 |
22 |
19 |
|
QUESTION 4 difference |
6 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
5 |
9 |
0 |
8 |
8 |
7 |
8 |
14 |
|
Q5 Generally, do you think now is a good time - or a bad time - for people to buy major household items? |
|
|
good time to buy |
29 |
26 |
30 |
28 |
31 |
33 |
33 |
33 |
39 |
40 |
43 |
46 |
|
|
bad time to buy |
40 |
43 |
45 |
40 |
43 |
39 |
37 |
37 |
36 |
33 |
34 |
26 |
|
QUESTION 5 difference |
-11 |
-17 |
-15 |
-12 |
-12 |
-6 |
-4 |
-4 |
3 |
7 |
9 |
20 |
|
|
|
Weekly Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating |
94.2 |
89.5 |
90.7 |
87.3 |
90.3 |
95.8 |
91.2 |
94.9 |
97.8 |
98.4 |
99.9 |
103.0 |
|
|
* The Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating is 100.0 plus the simple unweighted average of the difference between the percentage of respondents who give a favourable and those who give unfavourable answers to five key questions. |
Results for the Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating*
for the component questions over the more recent surveys are as follows: |
|
2008 (January - September) - Monthly |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Aug |
|
| 2/3 |
30/31 |
|
Interviews |
1,027 |
994 |
1,176 |
1,121 |
1,186 |
1,081 |
999 |
1,075 |
1,042 |
1,057 |
|
Q1 Would you say you and your family are better-off financially or worse off than you were at this time last year? |
|
Over the past year |
better off |
33 |
35 |
30 |
29 |
27 |
22 |
28 |
25 |
27 |
28 |
|
|
worse off |
25 |
25 |
30 |
34 |
35 |
45 |
40 |
43 |
39 |
39 |
|
QUESTION 1 difference |
8 |
10 |
0 |
-5 |
-8 |
-23 |
-12 |
-18 |
-12 |
-11 |
|
Q2 This time next year, do you and your family expect to be better-off financially or worse off than you are now? |
|
|
better off |
39 |
40 |
39 |
37 |
32 |
31 |
35 |
35 |
36 |
38 |
|
|
worse off |
16 |
17 |
17 |
22 |
27 |
31 |
29 |
25 |
22 |
22 |
|
QUESTION 2 difference |
23 |
23 |
22 |
15 |
5 |
0 |
6 |
10 |
14 |
16 |
|
Q3 Thinking of economic conditions in Australia as a whole. In the next 12 months, do you expect we'll
have good times financially, bad times or some good and some bad? |
|
|
good times |
38 |
36 |
32 |
25 |
26 |
22 |
19 |
18 |
24 |
25 |
|
|
bad times |
25 |
30 |
30 |
37 |
39 |
39 |
48 |
48 |
37 |
38 |
|
QUESTION 3 difference |
13 |
6 |
2 |
-12 |
-13 |
-17 |
-29 |
-30 |
-13 |
-13 |
|
Q4 Looking ahead, what would you say is more likely, that in Australia as a whole, we'll have continuous good times
during the next five years of so - or we'll have bad times - or some good and some bad? |
|
|
good times |
35 |
37 |
33 |
29 |
29 |
26 |
26 |
25 |
31 |
30 |
|
|
bad times |
18 |
20 |
20 |
24 |
26 |
26 |
33 |
28 |
23 |
21 |
|
QUESTION 4 difference |
17 |
17 |
13 |
5 |
3 |
0 |
-7 |
-3 |
8 |
9 |
|
Q5 Generally, do you think now is a good time - or a bad time - for people to buy major household items? |
|
|
good time to buy |
52 |
46 |
39 |
33 |
34 |
33 |
36 |
32 |
32 |
35 |
|
|
bad time to buy |
20 |
23 |
29 |
35 |
36 |
38 |
32 |
40 |
32 |
30 |
|
QUESTION 5 difference |
32 |
23 |
10 |
-2 |
-2 |
-5 |
4 |
-8 |
0 |
5 |
|
|
|
Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating |
118.6 |
115.8 |
109.5 |
100.1 |
97.1 |
90.7 |
92.0 |
90.1 |
99.3 |
101.2 |
|
|
* The Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating is 100.0 plus the simple unweighted average of the difference between the percentage of respondents who give a favourable and those who give unfavourable answers to five key questions. |
Results for the Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating*
for the component questions over the more recent surveys are as follows: |
|
2007 (January - December) - Monthly |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interviews |
1,077 |
1,251 |
1,115 |
1,150 |
1,215 |
1,016 |
937 |
929 |
1,053 |
1,084 |
1,077 |
1,006 |
|
Q1 Would you say you and your family are better-off financially or worse off than you were at this time last year? |
|
Over the past year |
better off |
36 |
34 |
35 |
36 |
34 |
34 |
37 |
40 |
33 |
40 |
37 |
38 |
|
|
worse off |
25 |
26 |
26 |
24 |
27 |
25 |
27 |
23 |
27 |
21 |
24 |
20 |
|
QUESTION 1 difference |
11 |
8 |
9 |
12 |
7 |
9 |
10 |
17 |
6 |
19 |
13 |
18 |
|
Q2 This time next year, do you and your family expect to be better-off financially or worse off than you are now? |
|
|
better off |
41 |
46 |
39 |
42 |
41 |
39 |
44 |
44 |
39 |
45 |
42 |
44 |
|
|
worse off |
16 |
15 |
15 |
13 |
14 |
16 |
14 |
13 |
15 |
12 |
12 |
12 |
|
QUESTION 2 difference |
25 |
31 |
24 |
29 |
27 |
23 |
30 |
31 |
24 |
33 |
30 |
32 |
|
Q3 Thinking of economic conditions in Australia as a whole. In the next 12 months, do you expect we'll
have good times financially, bad times or some good and some bad? |
|
|
good times |
44 |
44 |
41 |
43 |
46 |
45 |
48 |
43 |
40 |
44 |
45 |
47 |
|
|
bad times |
21 |
21 |
21 |
19 |
19 |
19 |
17 |
20 |
23 |
16 |
16 |
13 |
|
QUESTION 3 difference |
23 |
23 |
20 |
24 |
27 |
26 |
31 |
23 |
17 |
28 |
29 |
34 |
|
Q4 Looking ahead, what would you say is more likely, that in Australia as a whole, we'll have continuous good times
during the next five years of so - or we'll have bad times - or some good and some bad? |
|
|
good times |
37 |
37 |
36 |
37 |
35 |
34 |
38 |
38 |
34 |
37 |
39 |
39 |
|
|
bad times |
17 |
20 |
21 |
19 |
19 |
19 |
16 |
16 |
20 |
16 |
16 |
14 |
|
QUESTION 4 difference |
20 |
17 |
15 |
18 |
16 |
15 |
22 |
22 |
14 |
21 |
23 |
25 |
|
Q5 Generally, do you think now is a good time - or a bad time - for people to buy major household items? |
|
|
good time to buy |
57 |
56 |
52 |
53 |
52 |
54 |
58 |
51 |
50 |
49 |
50 |
47 |
|
|
bad time to buy |
17 |
16 |
16 |
15 |
17 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
20 |
19 |
21 |
22 |
|
QUESTION 5 difference |
40 |
40 |
36 |
38 |
35 |
38 |
41 |
33 |
30 |
30 |
29 |
25 |
|
|
|
Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating |
123.9 |
123.8 |
120.7 |
124.3 |
122.5 |
122.3 |
126.8 |
125.2 |
118.2 |
126.2 |
124.9 |
126.8 |
|
|
* The Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating is 100.0 plus the simple unweighted average of the difference between the percentage of respondents who give a favourable and those who give unfavourable answers to five key questions. |
Results for the Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating*
for the component questions over the more recent surveys are as follows: |
|
2006 (January - December) - Monthly |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interviews |
1,062 |
1,163 |
1,125 |
1,165 |
1,149 |
1,144 |
1,215 |
1,132 |
1,085 |
1,069 |
1,161 |
1,208 |
|
Q1 Would you say you and your family are better-off financially or worse off than you were at this time last year? |
|
Over the past year |
better off |
31 |
35 |
34 |
34 |
30 |
32 |
32 |
30 |
32 |
32 |
35 |
36 |
|
|
worse off |
26 |
25 |
25 |
27 |
35 |
30 |
31 |
34 |
32 |
27 |
27 |
24 |
|
QUESTION 1 difference |
5 |
10 |
9 |
7 |
-5 |
2 |
1 |
-4 |
0 |
5 |
8 |
12 |
|
Q2 This time next year, do you and your family expect to be better-off financially or worse off than you are now? |
|
|
better off |
42 |
44 |
45 |
43 |
37 |
41 |
40 |
35 |
38 |
39 |
39 |
41 |
|
|
worse off |
14 |
14 |
14 |
16 |
22 |
19 |
19 |
26 |
21 |
16 |
19 |
13 |
|
QUESTION 2 difference |
28 |
30 |
31 |
27 |
15 |
22 |
21 |
9 |
17 |
23 |
20 |
28 |
|
Q3 Thinking of economic conditions in Australia as a whole. In the next 12 months, do you expect we'll
have good times financially, bad times or some good and some bad? |
|
|
good times |
41 |
44 |
42 |
41 |
32 |
38 |
42 |
29 |
34 |
38 |
33 |
39 |
|
|
bad times |
21 |
21 |
20 |
25 |
34 |
26 |
25 |
38 |
32 |
26 |
31 |
24 |
|
QUESTION 3 difference |
20 |
23 |
22 |
16 |
-2 |
12 |
17 |
-9 |
2 |
12 |
2 |
15 |
|
Q4 Looking ahead, what would you say is more likely, that in Australia as a whole, we'll have continuous good times
during the next five years of so - or we'll have bad times - or some good and some bad? |
|
|
good times |
36 |
35 |
34 |
34 |
30 |
29 |
33 |
29 |
30 |
32 |
28 |
33 |
|
|
bad times |
20 |
20 |
19 |
23 |
25 |
24 |
23 |
27 |
28 |
24 |
28 |
23 |
|
QUESTION 4 difference |
16 |
15 |
15 |
11 |
5 |
5 |
10 |
2 |
2 |
8 |
0 |
10 |
|
Q5 Generally, do you think now is a good time - or a bad time - for people to buy major household items? |
|
|
good time to buy |
64 |
59 |
58 |
55 |
45 |
51 |
57 |
46 |
45 |
50 |
49 |
45 |
|
|
bad time to buy |
12 |
14 |
13 |
15 |
24 |
17 |
16 |
27 |
23 |
19 |
22 |
23 |
|
QUESTION 5 difference |
52 |
45 |
45 |
40 |
21 |
34 |
41 |
19 |
22 |
31 |
27 |
22 |
|
|
|
Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating |
124.3 |
124.5 |
124.4 |
120.1 |
106.8 |
115.1 |
118.1 |
103.7 |
108.6 |
115.8 |
111.5 |
117.4 |
|
|
* The Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating is 100.0 plus the simple unweighted average of the difference between the percentage of respondents who give a favourable and those who give unfavourable answers to five key questions. |
|
