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| COMPANY ONLINE STORE PRODUCTS SERVICES INDUSTRIES MORGAN POLL PAPERS PRESS RELEASES CONSUMER CONFIDENCE READERSHIP UNEMPLOYMENT THE REACTOR CAREERS | ||||
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Liberals set to win Macarthur & Robertson in NSW while Hasluck (WA) ‘Too close to call’
PDF of this release available here. If a Federal Election were held today the LNP would win the key New South Wales seats of Macarthur & Robertson and the seat of Hasluck in WA could go either way. Combined with the results of Thursday’s special Queensland ALP marginal seat poll which showed the LNP picking up the Queensland seats of Flynn, Longman and Dawson the Opposition is close to winning the nine seats from the ALP it needs to form the next government according to a special telephone Morgan Poll conducted June 25 — July 1, 2010 in key marginal seats around Australia. The LNP vote (Two-Party Preferred) in Macarthur was 61.5% (up 11.6%); Robertson 51.5% (up 1.6%) and Hasluck 50% (up 1%). In the key Queensland ALP marginal seats the LNP vote was 55% in Flynn (up 7.3%); Longman 56.5%, (up 8.2%) and Dawson 51%, (up 3.4%).
Gary Morgan says:
Electors were asked: “If a Federal election for the House of Representatives were being held today, which party would receive your FIRST preference?”
NEW SOUTH WALES Macarthur (South Western Sydney — Camden, Campbelltown, Blairmount, Elderslie) (Projected: Liberal re-gain) Primary Voting Intention
*The Primary Voting Intention results from the 2007 Federal Election are taken from the boundaries used at the 2007 Federal Election.
Two-Party Preferred
*The Two-Party Preferred results for the 2007 Federal Election have been recalculated taking into account boundary changes undertaken at the 2009 New South Wales redistribution. 199 electors were polled in the electorate of Macarthur. Of all electors surveyed, 1.5% of electors did not nominate a party.
Robertson (NSW Central Coast — Gosford, Woy Woy, Terrigal, Avoca Beach) (Projected: Liberal gain) Primary Voting Intention
*The Primary Voting Intention results from the 2007 Federal Election are taken from the boundaries used at the 2007 Federal Election.
Two-Party Preferred
*The Two-Party Preferred results for the 2007 Federal Election have been recalculated taking into account boundary changes undertaken at the 2009 New South Wales redistribution. 204 electors were polled in the electorate of Robertson. Of all electors surveyed, 4.5% of electors did not nominate a party.
Eden-Monaro (South Coast NSW — Queanbeyan, Bateman’s Bay, Cooma, Eden, Bega) (Projected: ALP hold) Primary Voting Intention
*The Primary Voting Intention results from the 2007 Federal Election are taken from the boundaries used at the 2007 Federal Election. Two-Party Preferred
*The Two-Party Preferred results for the 2007 Federal Election have been recalculated taking into account boundary changes undertaken at the 2009 New South Wales redistribution. 200 electors were polled in the electorate of Eden-Monaro. Of all electors surveyed, 4.5% of electors did not nominate a party.
(Projected: ALP hold) Primary Voting Intention
*The Primary Voting Intention results from the 2007 Federal Election are taken from the boundaries used at the 2007 Federal Election.
Two-Party Preferred
*The Two-Party Preferred results for the 2007 Federal Election have been recalculated taking into account boundary changes undertaken at the 2009 New South Wales redistribution. 203 electors were polled in the electorate of Macquarie. Of all electors surveyed, 4% of electors did not nominate a party.
WESTERN AUSTRALIA
(Projected: Too close to call) Primary Voting Intention
*The Primary Voting Intention results from the 2007 Federal Election are taken from the boundaries used at the 2007 Federal Election.
Two-Party Preferred
*The Two-Party Preferred results for the 2007 Federal Election have been recalculated taking into account boundary changes undertaken at the 2008 Western Australian redistribution. 204 electors were polled in the electorate of Hasluck. Of all electors surveyed, 6.5% of electors did not nominate a party.
(Projected: ALP hold) Primary Voting Intention
*The Primary Voting Intention results from the 2007 Federal Election are taken from the boundaries used at the 2007 Federal Election.
Two-Party Preferred
*The Two-Party Preferred results for the 2007 Federal Election have been recalculated taking into account boundary changes undertaken at the 2008 Western Australian redistribution. 202 electors were polled in the electorate of Brand. Of all electors surveyed, 4% of electors did not nominate a party.
Perth (Perth CBD, North Perth, Noranda, Lockridge, Bayswater, Bassendean) (Projected: ALP hold) Primary Voting Intention
*The Primary Voting Intention results from the 2007 Federal Election are taken from the boundaries used at the 2007 Federal Election.
Two-Party Preferred
*The Two-Party Preferred results for the 2007 Federal Election have been recalculated taking into account boundary changes undertaken at the 2008 Western Australian redistribution. 205 electors were polled in the electorate of Perth. Of all electors surveyed, 4% of electors did not nominate a party.
Fremantle (Fremantle, Coogee, Hilton, Yangebup, Atwell, North Lake, Bicton) (Projected: ALP hold) Primary Voting Intention
*The Primary Voting Intention results from the 2007 Federal Election are taken from the boundaries used at the 2007 Federal Election. Two-Party Preferred
*The Two-Party Preferred results for the 2007 Federal Election have been recalculated taking into account boundary changes undertaken at the 2008 Western Australian redistribution. 200 electors were polled in the electorate of Fremantle. Of all electors surveyed, 7% of electors did not nominate a party.
VICTORIA Corangamite (Bellarine Peninsula, Surf Coast, Winchelsea, Colac, Apollo Bay) (Projected: ALP hold) Primary Voting Intention
Two-Party Preferred
203 electors were polled in the electorate of Corangamite. Of all electors surveyed, 2.5% of electors did not nominate a party.
SOUTH AUSTRALIA Hindmarsh (West Adelaide — Adelaide Airport, Glenelg, West Lakes, Richmond) (Projected: ALP hold) Primary Voting Intention
Two-Party Preferred
199 electors were polled in the electorate of Hindmarsh. Of all electors surveyed, 6.5% of electors did not nominate a party. TASMANIA Bass (North East Tasmania — Launceston, George Town, Gladstone, Scottsdale) (Projected: ALP hold) Primary Voting Intention
*The Primary Voting Intention results from the 2007 Federal Election are taken from the boundaries used at the 2007 Federal Election.
Two-Party Preferred
*The Two-Party Preferred results for the 2007 Federal Election have been recalculated taking into account boundary changes undertaken at the 2008 Tasmanian redistribution. 206 electors were polled in the electorate of Bass. Of all electors surveyed, 4% of electors did not nominate a party.
As released yesterday (July 1, 2010) QUEENSLAND
Flynn (Gladstone & Central Queensland Mining areas) (Projected: Liberal gain) Primary Voting Intention
*The Primary Voting Intention results from the 2007 Federal Election are taken from the boundaries used at the 2007 Federal Election.
Two-Party Preferred
*The Two-Party Preferred results for the 2007 Federal Election have been recalculated taking into account boundary changes undertaken at the 2009 Queensland redistribution. 204 electors were polled in the electorate of Flynn. Of all electors surveyed, 4% of electors did not nominate a party.
Longman (Moreton Bay, Caboolture, Northern outskirts of Brisbane) (Projected: Liberal gain) Primary Voting Intention
*The Primary Voting Intention results from the 2007 Federal Election are taken from the boundaries used at the 2007 Federal Election.
Two-Party Preferred
*The Two-Party Preferred results for the 2007 Federal Election have been recalculated taking into account boundary changes undertaken at the 2009 Queensland redistribution. 201 electors were polled in the electorate of Longman. Of all electors surveyed, 5.5% of electors did not nominate a party.
Dawson (Mackay, Whitsundays, outskirts of Townsville) (Projected: Liberal gain) Primary Voting Intention
*The Primary Voting Intention results from the 2007 Federal Election are taken from the boundaries used at the 2007 Federal Election.
Two-Party Preferred
*The Two-Party Preferred results for the 2007 Federal Election have been recalculated taking into account boundary changes undertaken at the 2009 Queensland redistribution. 205 electors were polled in the electorate of Dawson. Of all electors surveyed, 4.5% of electors did not nominate a party.
Leichhardt (Far North Queensland — Cairns, Cooktown, Cape York, Torres Strait) (Projected: ALP hold) Primary Voting Intention
*The Primary Voting Intention results from the 2007 Federal Election are taken from the boundaries used at the 2007 Federal Election. Two-Party Preferred
*The Two-Party Preferred results for the 2007 Federal Election have been recalculated taking into account boundary changes undertaken at the 2009 Queensland redistribution. 206 electors were polled in the electorate of Leichhardt. Of all electors surveyed, 4% of electors did not nominate a party.
For further information: Gary Morgan: Office +61 3 9224 5213 Mobile +61 411 129 094 Michele Levine: Office +61 3 9224 5215 Mobile +61 411 129 093 |
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