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•  In the month of July Australia’s total unemployment as measured by Roy Morgan was 737,000 (6.3%), up 55,000 (0.4%) since June, but down 124,000 (1.3%) since July 2009.
  
  
• In July 2010 there were 367,000 (down 30,000 on June 2010, and down 187,000 on July 2009) Australians looking for full-time work and 370,000 (up 85,000 on June 2010, and up 63,000 on July 2009) Australians looking for part-time work.
  
  
• In July 2010 there were 7,391,000 (down 87,000 on June 2010, but up a very large 482,000 on July 2009) Australians working full-time and 3,517,000 (up 103,000 on June 2010, but down 66,000 on July 2009) working part-time.
  
  
• The latest Roy Morgan July 2010 unemployment estimate is 1.2% above the 5.1% currently quoted by the ABS for June 2010.
  
  
• The Roy Morgan July 2010 ‘underemployed’* estimate has risen significantly as well, up 187,000 (1.6%) to 940,000 (8.1%) on June 2010, but down 82,000 (0.9%) on a year ago, July 2009.
  
  
• In total in July 20l0 an estimated 1,677,000 (14.4%) Australians were unemployed or ‘underemployed, up 242,000 (up 2%) on June 2010.
  
  

# The revised Howard Government ‘Work Choices’ Legislation was implemented in late 2006,

just prior to the time period when the survey began in January 2007.

Gary Morgan says:

“The July 2010 Roy Morgan employment estimates show a jump in both Australian unemployment — 737,000 (up 55,000 from June 2010) and underemployment (940,000, up 187,000) leading to a rise in the overall level of Australian unemployment and underemployment to 1,677,000 (up 242,000).

“The rise in the minimum wage, known to reduce the level of hiring across any economy, is likely to have contributed to this jump as employers defer hiring full-time workers (7, 391,000, down 87,000) and instead hire part-time workers (3,517,000, up 103,000). The effect of this change has meant a reverse in the recent trend of falling unemployment and under-employment in Australia.

“It is to be hoped that the intrinsic strength of the Australian economy will soon allow a return to strong employment growth, although today’s July unemployment estimates show that the implementation of the new industrial relations (January 1, 2010) laws may be having an effect on the Australian labour market.

“Mark Wooden’s (Professional research fellow and deputy director of the Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, in the faculty of business and economics at the University of Melbourne) article in the AFR (linked here) on Australia’s unemployed and underemployed examines this important issue that has been largely ignored by both sides during the election campaign — the issue is a ‘major sleeper.’”

This Roy Morgan survey on Australia’s unemployment and ‘under-employed’* is based on weekly interviews covering January 2007 — July 2010 and in total 186,383 Australians aged 14 and over were interviewed face-to-face including 3,997 interviews in July 2010.

*The ‘underemployed’ are those people who are in part-time work or consultants who are looking for more work. (Unfortunately the ABS does not measure this figure in their monthly unemployment survey.)

For further information:

Gary Morgan:              Office +61 3 9224 5213   Mobile +61 411 129 094

Michele Levine:           Office +61 3 9224 5215   Mobile +61 411 129 093

Roy Morgan Research vs. ABS Unemployment Estimates

ABS Employment Estimates - Detailed

							% of workforce unemployed
	Total workforce* ('000)		Total employed* ('000)		Total Looking for work* ('000)		Original		Adjusted*
2000
January	9558		8903		655		7.4		6.9
February	9606		8962		644		7.5		6.7
March	9650	(9605) **	8950	(8938) **	700	(666)**	7.3	(7.4) **	6.9	(6.8)**
April	9664		9005		659		6.8		6.8
May	9659		9017		643		6.7		6.7
June	9665	(9663) **	9056	(9026) **	609	(637)**	6.3	(6.6) **	6.6	(6.7) **
July	9728		9118		610		5.9		6.3
August	9766		9142		624		6.2		6.4
September	9725	(9740) **	9111	(9124) **	614	(616)**	6.4	(6.2) **	6.3	(6.3) **
October	9722		9106		615		6.0		6.3
November	9684		9047		637		6.2		6.6
December	9730	(9712) **	9087	(9080) **	643	(632)**	6.5	(6.2) **	6.6	(6.5) **
2001
January	9730		9083		647		7.2		6.6
February	9773		9099		673		7.6		6.9
March	9752	(9752) **	9090	(9091) **	662	(661)**	7.2	(7.3) **	6.5	(6.7) **
April	9800		9140		671		6.8		6.8
May	9818		9152		676		6.9		6.9
June	9830	(9816) **	9149	(9147) **	681	(676)**	6.7	(6.8) **	6.9	(6.9) **
July	9809		9191		618		6.3		6.3
August	9768		9124		644		6.6		6.6
September	9928	(9835) **	9255	(9190) **	672	(672)**	6.8	(6.6) **	6.7	(6.5) **
October	9880		9183		697		6.7		7.1
November	9848		9187		661		6.4		6.7
December	9864	(9864) **	9199	(9189) **	665	(674)**	6.6	(6.6) **	6.7	(6.8) **
2002
January	9955		9263		693		7.4		7.0
February	9936		9283		653		7.3		6.6
March	9972	(9939) **	9304	(9283) **	622	(656)**	6.7	(7.1) **	6.3	(6.6) **
April	9882		9261		621		6.4		6.3
May	9928		9305		622		6.3		6.3
June	9962	(9924) **	9318	(9294) **	643	(628)**	6.3	(7.1) **	6.5	(6.4) **
July	9898		9289		609		5.6		6.2
August	10000		9378		622		6.0		6.2
September	9964	(9954) **	9347	(9338) **	617	(616)**	6.2	(5.9) **	6.2	(6.2) **
October	9962		9363		599		5.7		6.0
November	10040		9424		617		5.8		6.1
December	10104	(10035) **	9476	(9421)**	628	(615) **	6.1	(5.9) **	6.2	(6.1) **
2003
January	10196		9576		620		6.5		6.1
February	10173		9564		610		6.7		6.0
March	10146	(10172)**	9521	(9554)**	626	(619)**	6.5	(6.6)**	6.2	(6.1)**
April	10129		9506		623		6.2		6.1
May	10148		9535		613		6.1		6.0
June	10128	(10135)**	9508	(9516)**	620	(619)**	5.9	(6.1)**	6.1	(6.1)**
July	10102		9481		621		5.6		6.2
August	10129		9535		594		5.6		5.9
September	10144	(10125)**	9555	(9524)**	590	(602)**	5.8	(5.7)**	5.8	(6.0)**
October	10190		9613		577		5.4		5.7
November	10209		9637		573		5.3		5.6
December	10241	(10213)**	9666	(9639)**	575	(575)**	5.6	(5.4)**	5.6	(5.6)**
2004
January	10156		9571		584		6.2		5.8
February	10168		9573		595		6.6		5.9
March	10211	(10178)**	9637	(9594)**	574	(584)**	5.9	(6.2)**	5.6	(5.8)**
April	10271		9696		574		5.7		5.6
May	10216		9655		561		5.5		5.5
June	10221	(10236)**	9646	(9666)**	575	(570)**	5.5	(5.6)**	5.6	(5.6)**
July	10244		9662		582		5.2		5.7
August	10233		9654		579		5.4		5.7
September	10290	(10256)**	9717	(9678)**	572	(578)**	5.5	(5.4)**	5.6	(5.7)**
October	10312		9768		544		5.0		5.3
November	10329		9793		536		4.9		5.2
December	10349	(10330)**	9822	(9794)**	527	(536)**	5.0	(5.0)**	5.1	(5.2)**
2005
January	10402		9870		532		5.6		5.1
February	10422		9890		533		5.7		5.1
March	10488	(10437)**	9948	(9903)**	540	(535)**	5.4	(5.6)**	5.2	(5.1)**
April	10508		9968		540		5.2		5.1
May	10524		9982		542		5.2		5.1
June	10550	(10527)**	10023	(9991)**	527	(536)**	4.9	(5.1)**	5.0	(5.1)**
July	10560		10035		525		4.6		5.0
August	10597		10067		530		4.8		5.0
September	10563	(10573)**	10023	(10042)**	539	(531)**	5.1	(4.8)**	5.1	(5.0)**
October	10551		10002		548		4.9		5.2
November	10569		10030		538		4.7		5.1
December	10582	(10567)**	10035	(10022)**	546	(544)**	5.1	(4.9)**	5.2	(5.2)**
2006
January	10590		10032		558		5.8		5.3
February	10612		10058		554		5.9		5.2
March	10620	(10607)**	10088	(10059)**	532	(548)**	5.3	(5.7)**	5.0	(5.2)**
April	10628		10086		542		5.2		5.1
May	10664		10142		521		4.9		4.9
June	10725	(10672)**	10196	(10141)**	529	(531)**	4.8	(5.0)**	4.9	(5.0)**
July	10756		10242		514		4.4		4.8
August	10789		10265		524		4.6		4.9
September	10799	(10781)**	10285	(10264)**	513	(517)**	4.8	(4.6)**	4.8	(4.7)**
October	10749		10253		496		4.3		4.6
November	10788		10289		499		4.3		4.6
December	10842	(10793)**	10341	(10294)**	502	(499)**	4.5	(4.4)**	4.6	(4.6)**
2007
January	10828		10336		493		5.0		4.5
February	10859		10358		502		5.2		4.6
March	10864	(10850)**	10380	(10358)**	485	(493)**	4.7	(5.0)**	4.5	(4.5)**
April	10889		10414		475		4.5		4.4
May	10917		10453		463		4.3		4.2
June	10934	(10913)**	10462	(10443)**	472	(470)**	4.2	(4.3)**	4.3	(4.3)**
July	10952		10484		468		3.9		4.3
August	10985		10513		472		4.1		4.3
September	10988	(10975)**	10528	(10508)**	461	(467)**	4.2	(4.1)**	4.2	(4.3)**
October	11011		10531		480		4.1		4.4
November	11082		10583		499		4.1		4.5
December	11076	(11056)**	10607	(10574)**	468	(482)**	4.2	(4.1)**	4.2	(4.4)**
2008
January	11087		10629		458		4.5		4.1
February	11106		10666		441		4.5		4.0
March	11142	(11112)**	10686	(10660)**	455	(451)**	4.1	(4.4)**	4.1	(4.1)**
April	11188		10711		477		4.1		4.3
May	11168		10691		477		4.2		4.3
June	11187	(11181)**	10711	(10704)**	476	(477)**	4.3	(4.2)**	4.3	(4.2)**
July	11210		10730		480		4.2		4.3
August	11201		10744		457		4.2		4.1
September	11222	(11211)**	10744	(10739)**	478	(477)**	4.3	(4.2)**	4.3	(4.2)**
October	11234		10749		485		4.3		4.3
November	11242		10757		489		4.4		4.4
December	11245	(11240)**	10741	(10749)**	504	(493)**	4.4	(4.4)**	4.5	(4.4)**
2009
January	11282		10742		540		4.8		4.8
February	11401		10810		591		4.9		5.2
March	11423	(11369)**	10772	(10774)**	651	(595)**	5.4	(5.0)**	5.7	(5.2)**
April	11413		10799		615		5.5		5.4
May	11444		10793		651		5.7		5.7
June	11425	(11428)**	10763	(10785)**	663	(643)**	5.8	(5.7)**	5.8	(5.6)**
July	11458		10794		664		5.9		5.8
August	11427		10763		664		5.8		5.8
September	11464	(11450)**	10806	(10788)**	659	(662)**	5.8	(5.8)**	5.7	(5.8**)
October	11502		10832		670		5.8		5.8
November	11521		10868		653		5.7		5.7
December	11545	(11523)**	10906	(10869)**	639	(654)**	5.6	(5.7)**	5.5	(5.7)**
2010
January	11578		10966		612		5.4		5.3
February	11587		10971		616		5.3		5.3
March	11607	(11591)**	10988	(10975)**	619	(616)**	5.3	(5.3)**	5.3	(5.3)**
April	11654		11026		628		5.3		5.4
May	11658		11057		601		5.2		5.2
June	11699	(11670)**	11100	(11061)**	598	(609)**	5.2	(5.2)**	5.1	(5.2)**

*Seasonally Adjusted figures **Average calculated for previous three months