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More Australian electors are concerned about ‘having a Prime Minister who has conservative values in relation to such things as abortion and stem cell research’ (43%) than ‘having a Prime Minister who doesn’t believe in God’ (22%); ‘a Prime Minister who is not married, living in a de facto relationship’ (15%); ‘a Catholic Prime Minister’ (9%); or ‘having a woman as a Prime Minister’ (6%).

These are the key findings of a special 7News Morgan Poll conducted on the evening of August 3, when a nationwide cross-section of 618 electors was interviewed by telephone and asked which issues worry them about a Prime Minister.

A simple addition of worries shows Prime Minister Julia Gillard — a woman who doesn’t believe in God, and lives in a de facto relationship — scores 43 on the worry scale while Tony Abbott as a Catholic with conservative values scores 52.

Detailed analysis by gender shows that women are more worried than men about:

a Prime Minister with conservative values (49% vs. 38%);

a Prime Minister who doesn’t believe in God (25% vs. 20%), and

an unmarried Prime Minister living in a de facto relationship (17% vs. 12%)

More men than women are worried about:

a Catholic Prime Minister (11% men vs. 7% women)

a woman as Prime Minister (8% men vs. 3% women).

This special telephone Morgan Poll was conducted on the night of August 3, 2010, with an Australia-wide cross section of 618 electors.

For further information:

Gary Morgan:    Office +61 3 9224 5213   Mobile +61 411 129 094

Michele Levine:  Office +61 3 9224 5215   Mobile +61 411 129 093

"Having a Catholic Prime Minister — does that worry you or not?”

	Electors 18+	Analysis by Sex and Age
		Men	Women	18-24	25-34	35-49	50+
	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)
Yes, worry	9	11	7	7	13	7	8
No, not worry	91	89	93	93	87	93	92
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

	Electors 18+	Analysis by Union Membership & Federal Voting Intention
		Union Member	Non-Trade Union	ALP	L-NP	Greens	Others	Can’t say
	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)
Yes, worry	9	8	9	12	4	22	7	5
No, not worry	91	92	91	88	96	78	93	95
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

“Having a Prime Minister who doesn’t believe in God — does that worry you or not?”

	Electors 18+	Analysis by Sex and Age
		Men	Women	18-24	25-34	35-49	50+
	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)
Yes, worry	22	20	25	22	8	24	27
No, not worry	78	80	75	78	92	76	73
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

	Electors 18+	Analysis by Union Membership & Federal Voting Intention
		Union Member	Non-Trade Union	ALP	L-NP	Greens	Others	Can’t say
	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)
Yes, worry	22	14	24	8	35	8	48	19
No, not worry	78	86	76	92	65	92	52	81
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

“Having a Prime Minister is not married, living in a defacto relationship — does that worry you or not?”

	Electors 18+	Analysis by Sex and Age
		Men	Women	18-24	25-34	35-49	50+
	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)
Yes, worry	15	12	17	13	5	15	19
No, not worry	85	88	83	87	95	85	81
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

	Electors 18+	Analysis by Union Membership & Federal Voting Intention
		Union Member	Non-Trade Union	ALP	L-NP	Greens	Others	Can’t say
	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)
Yes, worry	15	8	16	3	26	4	37	4
No, not worry	85	92	84	97	74	96	63	96
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

“Having a woman as Prime Minister — does that worry you or not?”

	Electors 18+	Analysis by Sex and Age
		Men	Women	18-24	25-34	35-49	50+
	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)
Yes, worry	6	8	3	10	-	5	7
No, not worry	94	92	97	90	100	95	93
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

	Electors 18+	Analysis by Union Membership & Federal Voting Intention
		Union Member	Non-Trade Union	ALP	L-NP	Greens	Others	Can’t say
	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)
Yes, worry	6	-	7	1	11	-	10	-
No, not worry	94	100	93	99	89	100	90	100
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

“Having a Prime Minister who has conservative values in relation to such things as abortion, stem cell research — does that worry you or not?”

	Electors 18+	Analysis by Sex and Age
		Men	Women	18-24	25-34	35-49	50+
	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)
Yes, worry	43	38	49	50	50	45	39
No, not worry	57	62	51	50	50	55	61
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

	Electors 18+	Analysis by Union Membership & Federal Voting Intention
		Union Member	Non-Trade Union	ALP	L-NP	Greens	Others	Can’t say
	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)
Yes, worry	43	47	43	49	32	74	44	44
No, not worry	57	53	57	51	68	26	56	56
Total	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

Margin of Error

The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. The following table gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. The figures are approximate and for general guidance only, and assume a simple random sample.

Sample Size	Percentage Estimate
	40%-60%	25% or 75%	10% or 90%	5% or 95%
500	±4.5	±3.9	±2.7	±1.9
1,000	±3.2	±2.7	±1.9	±1.4

The Morgan Poll is conducted by the ONLY Australian and New Zealand member of the Gallup International Association.

No other public opinion poll taken in Australia has this qualification.

© 2012 Roy Morgan Research. All Rights Reserved
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