Home |  site-map |  indonesia |  indonesian-single-source-articles |  asteroid-user-registration |

Roy Morgan OZ Panel Login  |  Mail Diary Panel Login |   careers |  contact-us |

Today’s special 7NEWS Morgan Poll conducted by telephone in three key marginals shows:

Gary Morgan says:

“The ALP is set to win Herbert and La Trobe but not the key NSW ALP held seat of Lindsay. Yesterday we said Lindsay and Greenway could go either way; as they adjoin each other — on today’s result Greenway would most likely stay Liberal.

“Those who had not yet voted, when surveyed, were overall more likely to be ALP than L-NP voter.

“The Greens vote in Lindsay and Herbert is about 3% lower among those who had voted. This suggests that the Greens vote will be lower than reported in national voting intention polls — however it is still likely to be much higher than at the last Federal election.

“In Victorian seat of La Trobe the Greens vote will be a record high 17% -there is no difference among those who have or haven’t voted.

“Some 6% of electors who had voted would not say who they had voted for.”

Electors were asked: “In the Federal election being held today — which party will receive your FIRST preference — would it be…”

This special telephone Morgan Poll was conducted today in the key marginal seats of La Trobe in Victoria, Lindsay in New South Wales and Herbert in Queensland (August 21, 2010) with a representative cross-section of 299 electors and in La Trobe, 303 electors in Lindsay and 299 electors in Herbert.

For further information:

Gary Morgan:      Office +61 3 9224 5213   Mobile +61 411 129 094

Michele Levine: Office +61 3 9224 5215   Mobile +61 411 129 093

NEW SOUTH WALES

Lindsay (Western Sydney — Penrith, Oxley Park, Emu Plains, Glenmore Park, Werrington, Jamisontown)

(Projected: L-NP gain)

In Lindsay ALP primary support is 36%, Liberal 51.5%, Greens 4.5% and Independents/ Others 8%

This translates into a Two-Party preferred vote of Liberals 58% representing a massive swing of 14.8% to the Liberals since the last Federal election and a definite L-NP gain.

Primary Voting Intention

	2007 Federal Election November 24, 2007	Telephone Morgan Poll August 21, 2010	If Voted
			Voted	Not voted
	%	%	%	%
ALP	51.4	36	35	37
Liberal	38.2	51.5	54.5	48.5
Greens	3.4	4.5	3	6.5
Independents/ Others	7.0	8	7.5	8
Total	100	100	100	100
% Undecided		6	3.5	8.5

Two-Party Preferred

	2007 Federal Election November 24, 2007	Telephone Morgan Poll August 21, 2010	Change 2007 Election — Present	If Voted
				Voted	Not voted
	%	%	%	%	%
ALP	56.8	42	-14.8	40	44
Liberal	43.2	58	+14.8	60	56
Total	100	100		100	100
% Undecided		9.5		6	13

303 electors were polled in the electorate of Lindsay. Of all electors surveyed, 6% of electors did not nominate a party.

VICTORIA

La Trobe (Outer Eastern Melbourne — Belgrave, Upwey, Ferntree Gully, Gembrook, Beaconsfield, Berwick, Narre Warren North)

(Projected: ALP gain)

In La Trobe ALP primary support is 38.5%, Liberal 40.5%, Greens 17% and Independents/ Others 4%

This translates into a Two-Party preferred vote of ALP 54.5% and represents a swing of 5% to the ALP since the last Federal election and a Labor gain.

Primary Voting Intention

	2007 Federal Election November 24, 2007	Telephone Morgan Poll August 21, 2010	If Voted
			Voted	Not voted
	%	%	%	%
ALP	40.4	38.5	37	40
Liberal	46.5	40.5	41	39.5
Greens	8.8	17	17	17
Independents/ Others	4.3	4	5	3.5
Total	100	100	100	100
% Undecided		10	7	13.5

Two-Party Preferred

	2007 Federal Election November 24, 2007	Telephone Morgan Poll August 21, 2010	Change 2007 Election — Present	If Voted
				Voted	Not voted
	%	%	%	%	%
ALP	49.5	54.5	+5.0	53.5	56.5
Liberal	50.5	45.5	-5.0	46.5	43.5
Total	100	100		100	100
% Undecided		13.5		10.5	16.5

299 electors were polled in the electorate of La Trobe. Of all electors surveyed, a high 10% of electors did not nominate a party.

QUEENSLAND

Herbert (Townsville, Rangewood, Bluewater, Lynam, Douglas, Kelso, Jensen)

(Projected: ALP gain)

In Herbert ALP primary support is 44%, Liberal 42%, Greens 8% and Independents/ Others 6%

This translates into a Two-Party preferred vote of XX% and represents a swing of XX% since the last Federal election and a Labor gain.

Primary Voting Intention

	2007 Federal Election November 24, 2007	Telephone Morgan Poll August 21, 2010	If Voted
			Voted	Not voted
	%	%	%	%
ALP	43.8	44	44.5	43
Liberal	45.7	42	41.5	42
Greens	5.1	8	7	10
Independents/ Others	5.4	6	7	5
Total	100	100	100	100
% Undecided		10	4.5	17

Two-Party Preferred

	2007 Federal Election November 24, 2007	Telephone Morgan Poll August 21, 2010	Change 2007 Election — Present	If Voted
				Voted	Not voted
	%	%	%	%	%
ALP	50.2	53.5	+3.3	52	55
Liberal	49.8	46.5	-3.3	48	45
Total	100	100		100	100
% Undecided		13		6	20.5

299 electors were polled in the electorate of Herbert. Of all electors surveyed, a high 10% of electors did not nominate a party.

© 2012 Roy Morgan Research. All Rights Reserved
privacy-statement