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But Malcolm Turnbull is preferred as Liberal Leader over Tony Abbott, However L-NP voters clearly prefer Abbott (43%) to Turnbull (25%)
A special telephone Morgan Poll over the last two nights (August 25/26, 2010) finds: Prime Minister Julia Gillard is still the preferred ALP Leader over former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd although the lead is narrowing. Gillard is preferred as ALP Leader by 35% (down 17% since July 20/21, 2010) of electors ahead of Rudd (25%, up 4%). Other candidates are well behind with Treasurer and Deputy Prime Minister Wayne Swan (5%, down 2%), Foreign Affairs Minister Stephen Smith (9%, up 3%) and Bill Shorten (5%, up 2%) and Jenny Macklin (4%, up 3%). Amongst ALP voters Julia Gillard is far more strongly preferred with 60% (down 8%) of ALP voters preferring Gillard as ALP Leader ahead of Kevin Rudd (25%, up 4%). Of other contenders, only Stephen Smith (5%) and Wayne Swan (3%) have more than 2% support. Former Opposition Leader Malcolm Turnbull (32%, up 3%) is once again preferred as Liberal Party Leader ahead of current Opposition Leader Tony Abbott (23%, down 1%) and Shadow Treasurer Joe Hockey (21%, down 3%). All three candidates are well ahead of Deputy Opposition Leader Julie Bishop (6%, down 2%), Christopher Pyne (3%, up 1%) and Andrew Robb (2%, unchanged). Amongst Liberal Party voters Opposition Leader Tony Abbott (43%, down 1%) is clearly preferred to Malcolm Turnbull (25%, up 5%) and Joe Hockey (19%, down 3%). Abbott is also well ahead of Deputy Opposition Leader Julie Bishop (5%, down 1%). If Prime Minister Julia Gillard were to resign for any reason, former PM Kevin Rudd is clearly preferred as ALP Leader (35%, down 2%). Stephen Smith (14%, up 3%) is the next best preferred leader of the ALP, from Wayne Swan (13%, down 7%) and Bill Shorten (9%, up 2%). If Mr Abbott were to resign as Opposition Leader tomorrow, Mr Turnbull (38%, up 2%) and Joe Hockey (31%, down 2%) are clearly ahead of current Deputy Opposition Leader Julie Bishop (7%, down 5%).
Gary Morgan says:
This special telephone Morgan Poll was conducted on the evenings of August 25/26, 2010, with an Australia-wide cross section of 530 electors.
For further information: Gary Morgan: Office +61 3 9224 5213 Mobile +61 411 129 094 Michele Levine: Office +61 3 9224 5215 Mobile +61 411 129 093
Preferred Labor Leader Respondents were then asked: “If you were a Labor Party voter and helping to choose the Labor leader for the next Federal Election, who would you prefer?”
#Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution.
Preferred Labor Leader other than Julia Gillard Respondents who preferred Julia Gillard as ALP Leader were then asked: “Still thinking about helping choose the Labor leader for the next Federal Election, who would you prefer out of: Kevin Rudd, Wayne Swan, Stephen Smith, Bill Shorten, Jenny Macklin?” The answers were added to those preferred for Labor Leader from the previous question to show preferred leaders other than Julia Gillard.
#Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution. *Less than 0.5%. * Between October 2009 and May 2010 Kevin Rudd was not included in this question as he was the Prime Minister. ** In late June Lindsay Tanner announced he had no intention of contesting the upcoming Federal Election. Preferred Coalition Leader Respondents were asked: “If you were a Liberal or National Party voter and helping to choose the Coalition leader for the next Federal Election, who would you prefer?”
#Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution.
Preferred Coalition Leader other than Tony Abbott Respondents who preferred Tony Abbott were then asked: “Still thinking about helping choose the Coalition leader for the next Federal Election, who would you prefer out of: Malcolm Turnbull, Julie Bishop, Joe Hockey, Andrew Robb & Christopher Pyne?” The answers were added to those preferred Coalition Leader from the previous question to show preferred leaders other than Tony Abbott.
#Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution; na = not applicable; *Less than 0.5%.
For further information: Gary Morgan: Office +61 3 9224 5213 Mobile +61 411 129 094 Michele Levine: Office +61 3 9224 5215 Mobile +61 411 129 093 The Morgan Poll is conducted by the ONLY Australian and New Zealand member of the Gallup International Association. No Other public opinion poll taken in Australia has this qualification. |
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