Home |  site-map |  indonesia |  indonesian-single-source-articles |  asteroid-user-registration |

Roy Morgan OZ Panel Login  |  Mail Diary Panel Login |   careers |  contact-us |

Roy Morgan Research OnlineStore Video Link International Tandberg Starter Pack Promotion The Latest Roy Morgan Poll
 Search:   
 COMPANY  ONLINE STORE  PRODUCTS  SERVICES  INDUSTRIES  MORGAN POLL  PAPERS  PRESS RELEASES  CONSUMER CONFIDENCE  READERSHIP  UNEMPLOYMENT  THE REACTOR  CAREERS 
   NEWS : Morgan Poll :
Printer Friendly Version  Printer Friendly Version    E-mail It  E-mail It  
  
 
Gillard still preferred ALP leader over Rudd
But Malcolm Turnbull is preferred as Liberal Leader over Tony Abbott,
However L-NP voters clearly prefer Abbott (43%) to Turnbull (25%)


Finding No. 4575 - This special telephone Morgan Poll was conducted on the evenings of August 25/26, 2010, with an Australia-wide cross section of 530 electors.: August 27, 2010

A special telephone Morgan Poll over the last two nights (August 25/26, 2010) finds:

Prime Minister Julia Gillard is still the preferred ALP Leader over former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd although the lead is narrowing. Gillard is preferred as ALP Leader by 35% (down 17% since July 20/21, 2010) of electors ahead of Rudd (25%, up 4%). Other candidates are well behind with Treasurer and Deputy Prime Minister Wayne Swan (5%, down 2%), Foreign Affairs Minister Stephen Smith (9%, up 3%) and Bill Shorten (5%, up 2%) and Jenny Macklin (4%, up 3%).

Amongst ALP voters Julia Gillard is far more strongly preferred with 60% (down 8%) of ALP voters preferring Gillard as ALP Leader ahead of Kevin Rudd (25%, up 4%). Of other contenders, only Stephen Smith (5%) and Wayne Swan (3%) have more than 2% support.

Former Opposition Leader Malcolm Turnbull (32%, up 3%) is once again preferred as Liberal Party Leader ahead of current Opposition Leader Tony Abbott (23%, down 1%) and Shadow Treasurer Joe Hockey (21%, down 3%). All three candidates are well ahead of Deputy Opposition Leader Julie Bishop (6%, down 2%), Christopher Pyne (3%, up 1%) and Andrew Robb (2%, unchanged).

Amongst Liberal Party voters Opposition Leader Tony Abbott (43%, down 1%) is clearly preferred to Malcolm Turnbull (25%, up 5%) and Joe Hockey (19%, down 3%). Abbott is also well ahead of Deputy Opposition Leader Julie Bishop (5%, down 1%).

If Prime Minister Julia Gillard were to resign for any reason, former PM Kevin Rudd is clearly preferred as ALP Leader (35%, down 2%). Stephen Smith (14%, up 3%) is the next best preferred leader of the ALP, from Wayne Swan (13%, down 7%) and Bill Shorten (9%, up 2%).

If Mr Abbott were to resign as Opposition Leader tomorrow, Mr Turnbull (38%, up 2%) and Joe Hockey (31%, down 2%) are clearly ahead of current Deputy Opposition Leader Julie Bishop (7%, down 5%).

 

Gary Morgan says:

“The special telephone Morgan Poll conducted over the last two nights, August 26/27, 2010 shows Prime Minister Gillard (35%, down 17%) is still preferred to former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd (25%, up 4%) despite Gillard’s failure to win a majority of seats at last Saturday’s Federal election.

“Opposition Leader Tony Abbott (23%, down 1%) continues to trail former Opposition Leader Malcolm Turnbull (32%, up 3%) as preferred Liberal Leader — however this is because of Turnbull’s strong support amongst ALP voters (40% cf. 10% for Abbott). Amongst his constituents, Liberal voters clearly prefer Abbott (43%) than Turnbull (25%) as Liberal Party Leader.”

 

This special telephone Morgan Poll was conducted on the evenings of August 25/26, 2010, with an Australia-wide cross section of 530 electors.

 

 

For further information:

Gary Morgan:      Office +61 3 9224 5213   Mobile +61 411 129 094

Michele Levine:     Office +61 3 9224 5215   Mobile +61 411 129 093


 

Preferred Labor Leader

Respondents were then asked: “If you were a Labor Party voter and helping to choose the Labor leader for the next Federal Election, who would you prefer?”

 

Electors 18+

Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

 

Kevin Rudd as Prime Minister

Julia Gillard as Prime Minister

 

Dec 2/3,

2009

Jan 13/14,

2010

May 12/13,

2010

July 20/21,

2010

Aug 26/27,

2010

ALP

Lib

Nat#

The Greens

Family First#

Ind/

Other#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Gillard

25

27

26

52

35

60

20

-

34

8

27

Rudd

46

43

34

21

25

25

22

43

25

53

29

Smith

3

3

6

6

9

5

13

7

11

8

14

Swan

4

5

8

7

5

3

6

13

9

-

6

Shorten

3

2

5

3

5

1

7

11

10

-

-

Macklin

1

3

3

1

4

1

7

4

-

-

9

Tanner

4

4

8

na

na

na

na

na

na

na

na

Someone else

1

1

1

2

2

-

2

-

1

14

2

Can’t say

13

12

9

8

15

5

23

22

10

17

13

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

#Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution.

 

Preferred Labor Leader other than Julia Gillard

Respondents who preferred Julia Gillard as ALP Leader were then asked:

Still thinking about helping choose the Labor leader for the next Federal Election, who would you prefer out of: Kevin Rudd, Wayne Swan, Stephen Smith, Bill Shorten, Jenny Macklin?

The answers were added to those preferred for Labor Leader from the previous question to show preferred leaders other than Julia Gillard.

 

Electors 18+

Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

 

Kevin Rudd as Prime Minister

Julia Gillard as Prime Minister

 

Dec 2/3,

2009

Jan 13/14,

2010

May 12/13,

2010

July 20/21,

2010

Aug 26/27,

2010

ALP

Lib

Nat#

The Greens

Family First#

Ind/

Other#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Gillard

49

51

46

na

na

na

na

na

na

na

na

Rudd*

na

na

na

37

35

42

27

43

30

53

37

Smith

6

6

7

11

14

12

18

7

14

8

14

Swan

12

12

14

20

13

17

10

12

21

-

10

Shorten

4

3

6

7

9

8

10

11

14

-

6

Macklin

3

5

3

5

5

3

8

4

3

-

10

Tanner**

6

5

10

na

na

na

na

na

na

na

na

Someone else

2

1

1

2

2

-

2

-

1

14

2

Can’t say

18

17

13

18

22

18

25

23

17

25

21

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

#Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution. *Less than 0.5%.

* Between October 2009 and May 2010 Kevin Rudd was not included in this question as he was the Prime Minister.

** In late June Lindsay Tanner announced he had no intention of contesting the upcoming Federal Election.

Preferred Coalition Leader

Respondents were asked: “If you were a Liberal or National Party voter and helping to choose the Coalition leader for the next Federal Election, who would you prefer?”

 

Tony Abbott as Opposition Leader

Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

 

Dec 2/3,

2009

Jan 13/14,

2010

May 12/13, 2010

July 20/21,

2010

Aug 26/27,

2010

ALP

Lib

Nat#

The Greens

Family First#

Ind/

Other#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Turnbull

19

16

29

29

32

40

25

22

44

-

35

Abbott

26

30

27

24

23

10

43

41

5

49

9

Hockey

31

28

27

24

21

22

19

31

26

25

21

Bishop

9

6

4

8

6

5

5

-

8

-

10

Pyne

1

2

1

2

3

6

1

6

3

9

2

Robb

1

2

2

2

2

2

1

-

-

-

10

Someone else

1

2

1

1

2

2

1

-

-

-

6

Can’t say

12

14

9

10

11

13

5

-

14

17

7

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

#Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution.

 

Preferred Coalition Leader other than Tony Abbott

Respondents who preferred Tony Abbott were then asked:

Still thinking about helping choose the Coalition leader for the next Federal Election, who would you prefer out of: Malcolm Turnbull, Julie Bishop, Joe Hockey, Andrew Robb & Christopher Pyne?

The answers were added to those preferred Coalition Leader from the previous question to show preferred leaders other than Tony Abbott.

 

Tony Abbott as Opposition Leader

Analysis by Federal Voting Intention

 

Dec 2/3,

2009

Jan 13/14,

2010

May 12/13,

2010

July 20/21,

2010

Aug 26/27,

2010

ALP

Lib

Nat#

The

Greens

Family First#

Ind/

Other#

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Abbott

na

na

na

na

na

na

na

na

na

na

na

Turnbull

24

22

36

36

38

41

40

29

44

-

35

Hockey

41

40

37

33

31

25

40

43

28

66

26

Bishop

14

12

9

12

7

5

7

17

8

         -

12

Pyne

2

3

2

3

4

7

2

6

3

9

3

Robb

3

3

4

3

3

2

3

5

1

-

10

Someone else

1

2

1

1

2

2

1

-

-

-

6

Can’t say

15

18

11

13

15

18

7

-

16

25

8

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

#Sample sizes less than 50 should be treated with caution; na = not applicable; *Less than 0.5%.

 

For further information:

Gary Morgan:      Office +61 3 9224 5213   Mobile +61 411 129 094

Michele Levine:   Office +61 3 9224 5215   Mobile +61 411 129 093

The Morgan Poll is conducted by the ONLY Australian and New Zealand member of the Gallup International Association.

No Other public opinion poll taken in Australia has this qualification.


© 2012 Roy Morgan Research. All Rights Reserved
privacy-statement   



    « Powered by Straker SHADO CMS »