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Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll, the first since the 2011 New Zealand Election shows support for Prime Minister John Key’s National-led Government is 49.5% (down 0.9% since the Election). Support for Key’s National Party is 47% (down 0.3% since the Election), the Maori Party 1.5% (up 0.1%), ACT NZ 0.5% (down 0.6%), and United Future 0.5% (down 0.1%).

Support for Opposition Parties is at 50.5% (up 0.9%) — Labour Party 27.5% (unchanged), Greens 14.5% (up 3.4%), New Zealand First 5% (down 1.6%), Mana Party 1% (unchanged) and Others 2.5% (down 0.9%).

The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is up 14 points to 132.5 — with 60.5% (up 11%) of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 28% (down 3%) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction.’

Gary Morgan says:

“In the first New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll taken since Prime Minister John Key won re-election at the November 26, 2011 New Zealand Election Key’s National (47%, down 0.3% since the Election) maintains a large advantage over the main Opposition Labour Party (27.5%, unchanged).

“Other Coalition partners, Maori Party (1.5%, up 0.1%) and United Future (0.5%, down 0.1%) are virtually unchanged while ACT NZ support has dropped to 0.5% (down 0.6%). The fall in ACT NZ support comes after the party dropped 4 seats at the recent New Zealand Election.

“Other Opposition Parties in Parliament have had mixed fortunes since the election with the Greens up 3.4% to 14.5%, NZ First down 1.6% to 5% and the Mana Party 1% (unchanged).”

Electors were asked: “If a New Zealand Election were held today which party would receive your party vote?”

This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a NZ wide cross-section of 1,776 electors from January 3-15, 2012. Of all electors surveyed 3.5% (down 0.5%) didn’t name a party.

VOTING INTENTION SUMMARY

The following table compares the latest NZ Morgan Polls on Voting Intention with the result from the November 26, 2011 General Election:

*The Maori Party was launched in July 2004; ^ Result less than 0.5%.

VOTING INTENTION SUMMARY - National Party-led Government v All Opposition Parties

The following table compares the latest NZ Morgan Polls on Voting Intention with the result from the November 26, 2011 General Election:

TWO-PARTY PREFERRED VOTE	National Party-led Government*	Opposition Parties#
	%	%
General Election, November 8, 2008	51.84	48.16
General Election, November 26, 2011	50.41	49.59
MORGAN POLL
January 3-15, 2012	49.5	50.5

*National-led Government: National Party, Maori Party, ACT NZ, United Future; #Opposition Parties: Labour Party, Green Party, Mana Party, NZ First, Other.

NEW ZEALAND: HEADING IN “RIGHT” OR “WRONG” DIRECTION?

Electors were asked: “Generally speaking, do you feel that things in New Zealand are heading in the right direction or would you say things are seriously heading in the wrong direction?”

	New Zealand Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating (Government of John Key): Interviewing Dates
	Jan 4-16, 2011	Jan 17-30, 2011	Jan 31-Feb 13, 2011	Feb 14-27, 2011	Feb 28-Mar 13, 2011	Mar 21-Apr 3, 2011	Apr 4-17, 2011	Apr 18-May 1, 2011	May 2-15, 2011	May 16-29, 2011	May 30-June 12, 2011	June 13-26, 2011	June 27-July 10, 2011
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Right direction	59.5	57	60	49.5	59.5	54.5	53.5	53.5	56.5	55	55.5	53.5	56
Wrong direction	27	27.5	24.5	35	26	29.5	32.5	34.5	30	28	29.5	31.5	29.5
Roy Morgan GCR#	132.5	129.5	135.5	114.5	133.5	125	121	119	126.5	127	126	122	126.5
Can’t say	13.5	15.5	15.5	15.5	14.5	16	14	12	13.5	17	15	15	14.5
TOTAL	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

# Roy Morgan GCR = Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating (The Roy Morgan GCR is 100 plus the difference between the percentage of New Zealanders who say the country is “heading in the right direction” and the percentage who say the country is “seriously heading in the wrong direction”).

	New Zealand Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating (Government of John Key): Interviewing Dates
	July 11-24, 2011	July 25-Aug 7, 2011	Aug 15-28, 2011	Aug 29-Sep11, 2011	Sep 12-25, 2011	Sep 26-Oct 9, 2011	Oct 10-23, 2011	Oct 24-Nov 6, 2011	Nov 7-18, 2011	Nov 22-24, 2011	Jan 3-15, 2012
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Right direction	56.5	57	59	60	61.5	62	61	58.5	60.5	49.5	60.5
Wrong direction	29	29	27.5	28	24.5	24.5	24.5	27.5	24	31	28
Roy Morgan GCR#	127.5	128	131.5	132	137	137.5	136.5	131	136.5	118.5	132.5
Can’t say	14.5	14	13.5	12	14	13.5	14.5	14	15.5	19.5	11.5
TOTAL	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100

# Roy Morgan GCR = Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating (The Roy Morgan GCR is 100 plus the difference between the percentage of New Zealanders who say the country is “heading in the right direction” and the percentage who say the country is “seriously heading in the wrong direction”).

For further information:

Gary Morgan:           Office +61 3 9224 5213   Mobile +61 411 129 094

Michele Levine:        Office +61 3 9224 5215   Mobile +61 411 129 093

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