In early July 2009 ALP primary support is 46% (unchanged) and L-NP is down 2% to 39%. On a two-party preferred basis, support for the ALP is 56% (up 1%), while support for the L-NP is 44% (down 1%).

If a Federal Election were held now the Rudd Government would retain Government according to the latest telephone Morgan Poll conducted on the nights of July 1/2, 2009.

Among the minor parties, support for the Greens is 8% (down 0.5%), support for Family First 1% (unchanged) and Independents/Others 6% (up 2.5%).

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Now 70% (up 9.5% since May 20/21, 2009) of Australian electors prefer Kevin Rudd as Prime Minister, 20% (down 6.5% since May 20/21, 2009) prefer Malcolm Turnbull while 10% (down 3%) are undecided or prefer someone else. According to this special telephone Morgan Poll conducted over the last two nights (July 1/2, 2009).

This Morgan Poll also finds 63% (up 5.5% since May 20/21, 2009) of electors approve of the way Kevin Rudd is handling his job as Prime Minister, 29% (down 4.5%) disapprove and 8% (down 1%) are undecided.

Electors’ approval of Malcolm Turnbull has dropped significantly in recent weeks, now 25% (down 18% since May 20/21, 2009) of electors approve of Turnbull, while 62.5% (up 23.5%) of Australians disapprove and only 12.5% (down 5.5%) are undecided about Turnbull’s handling of the job as Opposition Leader.

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• Prime Minister Kevin Rudd still has a substantial lead as preferred ALP Leader over Deputy Prime Minister Julia Gillard. Rudd is preferred as ALP Leader by 52.5% (up 2.5% since May 20/21, 2009) of electors well ahead of Gillard (23%, up 3%). No other member of the ALP rates above 4%.

• Amongst ALP supporters Kevin Rudd is even more strongly preferred with 68% of ALP supporters preferring Rudd as ALP Leader ahead of Julia Gillard (20.5%). Of other contenders, only Wayne Swan (3.5%) has more than 2% support.

• After Peter Costello’s confirmation of his intention to resign at the next election, Shadow Treasurer Joe Hockey (25%, up 9%) is now the voter’s preferred Liberal Party leader ahead of current Opposition Leader Malcolm Turnbull (21.5%, up 1%). Tony Abbott (16%, up 10.5%) and Deputy Opposition Leader Julie Bishop (11.5%, up 5.5%).

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• In the month of June Australia’s total unemployment as measured by Roy Morgan was 862,000 (7.8%), up 37,000 (0.4%) since May, and up 233,000 since June 2008.

• The latest Roy Morgan unemployment estimate is 2.1% above the 5.7% currently quoted by the ABS for May.

• The Roy Morgan June 2009 ‘under-employed’* estimate is 967,000 (8.8%), up a large 306,000 (2.9%) on May 2009.

• In total in June an estimated 1,829,000 (16.6%) Australians were unemployed or ‘under-employed,’* up 343,000 on May 2009.

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Customer satisfaction with all four major supermarkets was down in the month of April 2009, while the gaps between the four closed over the last six months, according to the latest Roy Morgan Supermarket Satisfaction Report.

Among Aldi customers, 89% were very or fairly satisfied with the supermarket, followed by IGA customers (86.2%), Woolworth (85%) and Coles (84.6%).

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Roy Morgan Research provides the industry currency in readership figures. It is the most influential survey on newspaper and magazine readership in New Zealand and ensures selection of the most appropriate publications to reach Population 14+ markets.

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In late June 2009 ALP primary support fell 2.5% to 46% and L-NP support rose 3% to 41% the latest face-to-face Morgan Poll conducted on the weekend of June 20/21, 2009 shows. If a Federal Election were held now the Rudd Government would retain Government.

On a two-party preferred basis, support for the ALP is 55% (down 2%), while support for the L-NP is 45% (up 2%).

Among the minor parties, support for the Greens is 8.5% (up 1.5%), support for Family First 1% (down 1.5%) and Independents/Others 3.5% (down 0.5%).

The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is 134.5 (up 3.5pts) with 58.5% (up 1.5%) of Australians confident that Australia is “heading in the right direction,” compared to 24% (down 2%) that say Australia is “heading in the wrong direction.”

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In late June the weekly Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating is 113.9 (up 5.1 points in a week). The weekly Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating is 23.2 points higher than June 2008 (90.7), based on interviewing conducted last weekend, June 20/21, 2009.

This week’s rise in the weekly Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating is driven by decreasing worries amongst Australians regarding the next 12 months.

Fewer Australians say we’ll have ‘bad times’ financially over the next 12 months (31%, down 12% this week and down 27% since May 2/3, 2009 and the lowest since March 2008) compared to 27% (up 3% and up 15% since May 2/3, 2009 and the highest since March 2008) of Australians that say we’ll have ‘good times.’

Now only 15% (down 3%) of Australians expect their family to be ‘worse off financially’ this time next year compared to 39% (unchanged) of Australians that expect their family to be ‘better off financially.’

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