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NEWS : Morgan Poll : Morgan Poll Trends

Morgan Poll Trends

View Trends:
From:			Two Party Preferred
To:			Primary Vote
Type:

Federal Voting Intention Trend (2011 to 2012) - House of Representatives

Date	ALP	Lib-NP	Liberal	National	Greens	Family First	Dems	One Nation	Other

2012
May 12/13, 2012 (Face)	30.5	46.0	43.5	2.5	12.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	11.5
May 9/10, 2012 (Phone)	29.0	50.5	48.5	2.0	10.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	10.5
May 5/6, 2012 (Face)	29.5	45.5	43.0	2.5	12.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	13.0
April 21/22, 2012 (Face)	30.0	47.5	45.5	2.0	12.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	10.5
April 17-19, 2012 (Phone)	30.0	47.5	46.5	1.0	11.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	11.0
April 7/8 & 14/15, 2012 (Face)	31.0	46.5	44.0	2.5	12.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	10.0
March 31/ April 1, 2012 (Face)	32.0	44.5	41.5	3.0	13.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	10.5
March 24/25, 2012 (Face)	36.5	45.0	40.5	4.5	12.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	6.0
March 10/11 & 17/18, 2012 (Face)	37.0	45.5	41.5	4.0	10.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	7.0
March 3/4, 2012 (Face)	39.0	43.5	40.5	3.0	10.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	7.5
February 25/26, 2012 (Face)	37.5	42.5	40.5	2.0	11.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	9.0
February 11/12 & 18/19, 2012 (Face)	37.0	41.5	38.5	3.0	14.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	7.0
February 7/8, 2012 (Phone)	31.0	46.5	45.5	1.0	12.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	10.5
February 4/5, 2012 (Face)	38.5	45.5	41.5	4.0	9.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	6.5
January 28/29, 2012 (Face)	39.5	41.5	39.5	2.0	10.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	9.0
January 14/15 & 21/22, 2012 (Face)	38.5	42.5	39.0	3.5	12.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	7.0
January 17/18, 2012 (Phone)	35.5	46.5	45.5	1.0	9.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	9.0
January 7/8, 2012 (Face)	37.0	45.0	39.5	5.5	10.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	7.5

2011
December 10/11 & 17/18, 2011 (Face)	36.5	43.0	39.0	4.0	13.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	7.5
November 26/27 & December 3/4, 2011 (Face)	36.5	46.5	43.0	3.5	10.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	7.0
November 19/20, 2011 (Face)	36.5	45.5	40.0	5.5	12.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	6.0
November 5/6 & 12/13, 2011 (Face)	34.5	47.0	43.0	4.0	11.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	7.0
November 2/3, 2011 (Phone)	34.0	45.0	43.0	2.0	12.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	8.5
October 29/30, 2011 (Face)	34.0	46.5	42.0	4.5	13.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	6.0
October 25/26, 2011 (Phone)	31.0	47.0	45.5	1.5	12.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	9.5
October 22/23, 2011 (Face)	35.0	49.5	46.5	3.0	10.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	5.0
October 15/16, 2011 (Face)	36.5	44.0	39.5	4.5	10.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	9.5
October 8/9, 2011 (Face)	38.5	43.5	40.0	3.5	11.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	7.0
September 24/25 & October 1/2, 2011 (Face)	35.5	46.5	43.5	3.0	10.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	8.0
September 10/11 & 17/18, 2011 (Face)	32.0	48.0	44.0	4.0	11.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	9.0
August 27/28 & September 3/4, 2011 (Face)	32.5	46.5	43.0	3.5	12.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	8.5
August 13/14 & 20/21, 2011 (Face)	32.5	49.5	45.0	4.5	11.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	7.0
August 9/10, 2011 (Phone)	29.5	49.0	47.0	2.0	12.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	9.5
July 30/31 & August 6/7, 2011 (Face)	34.5	47.5	42.0	5.5	12.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	6.0
July 16/17 & 23/24, 2011 (Face)	34.5	47.0	42.5	4.5	12.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	6.5
July 13/14, 2011 (Phone)	27.5	52.5	50.0	2.5	10.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	9.5
July 9/10, 2011 (Face)	33.5	48.0	43.5	4.5	11.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	7.0
June 25/26 & July 2/3, 2011 (Face)	31.5	49.0	44.5	4.5	11.5	2.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	6.0
June 11/12 & 18/19, 2011 (Face)	35.0	46.5	42.0	4.5	11.5	2.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	5.0
June 4/5, 2011 (Face)	33.5	46.5	43.0	3.5	12.0	2.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	5.5
May 31 - June 2, 2011 (Phone)	30.0	50.0	48.0	2.0	9.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	10.5
May 21/22 & 28/29, 2011 (Face)	36.0	45.5	41.0	4.5	12.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	6.5
May 14/15, 2011 (Face)	36.0	44.5	41.5	3.0	13.0	2.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	4.5
May 7/8, 2011 (Face)	34.0	48.0	45.0	3.0	11.0	1.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	5.5
May 3-5, 2011 (Phone)	34.0	46.0	44.5	1.5	11.0	2.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	7.0
April 23/24 & 30/ May 1, 2011 (Face)	37.0	46.0	40.5	5.5	10.5	2.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	4.5
April 9/10 & 16/17, 2011 (Face)	35.0	46.0	41.5	4.5	11.5	2.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	5.5
April 2/3, 2011 (Face)	36.5	48.0	42.0	6.0	9.5	2.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	4.0
March 19/20 & 26/27, 2011 (Face) (TOTAL)	37.5	43.5	39.0	4.5	12.0	1.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	5.5
March 26/27, 2011 (Face)	35.5	47.0	41.0	6.0	11.5	1.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	4.5
March 22-24, 2011 (Phone)	34.5	47.0	44.5	2.5	10.0	1.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	7.5
March 19/20, 2011 (Face)	39.5	40.0	37.0	3.0	12.5	2.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	6.0
March 16/17, 2011 (Phone)	35.5	42.5	39.5	3.0	12.0	1.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	8.5
March 12/13, 2011 (Face)	38.0	44.5	40.0	4.5	11.5	1.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	4.5
March 8-10, 2011 (Phone)	31.5	47.5	46.0	1.5	10.0	1.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	8.0
February 26/27 & March 5/6, 2011 (Face) (TOTAL)	39.0	44.0	39.5	4.5	10.5	1.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	5.5
March 5/6, 2011 (Face)	37.0	46.5	41.5	5.0	9.5	1.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	6.0
February 26/27, 2011 (Face)	41.0	41.0	37.0	4.0	11.5	1.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	5.5
February 12/13 & 19/20, 2011 (Face)	39.5	43.0	40.0	3.0	11.5	2.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	4.0
February 21-23, 2011 (Phone)	36.0	45.5	42.0	3.5	9.5	1.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	7.5
January 29/30 & February 5/6, 2011 (Face)	39.0	43.0	38.0	5.0	12.5	1.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	4.0
February 1-3, 2011 (Phone)	35.0	42.5	41.0	1.5	12.0	3.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	7.5
January 15/16 & 22/23, 2011 (Face)	40.5	41.5	37.5	4.0	11.5	2.0	< 0.5	< 0.5	4.5
January 8/9, 2011 (Face)	38.5	44.0	38.5	5.5	13.0	1.5	< 0.5	< 0.5	3.0

* Face-to-face survey

** From June 1996 Federal Voting Intention interviewing conducted by telephone

*** From July 4/5 Federal Voting Intention interviews conducted face-to-face

# Telephone Poll

1 - October 3, 1998 Federal election results have been updated to include results from the electorate of Newcastle supplementary-election. The L-NP did not have a candidate contesting the electorate of Newcastle.