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Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence virtually unchanged at 147.4 in January

The monthly Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating is based on 2,146 face-to-face interviews conducted throughout Indonesia, not just a handful of cities. The survey includes the Top 22 cities, smaller cities and towns as well as many more villages in the rural hinterland, reflecting all of Indonesia. Men and women aged 14 and over were randomly selected during the month of January 2016.
Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence started the New Year virtually unchanged at 147.4 (down 0.4pts). However, Consumer Confidence is still 6.2pts lower than it was a year ago in January 2015 (153.6) and it is still clearly above the long-run average (2005-2016) of 131.7.

Now 38% (up 1ppt) of Indonesians said their families are ‘better off’ financially than a year ago compared to just 10% (down 1ppt) that said their families are ‘worse off’ financially (the equal lowest for this indicator for over a year since November 2014).

In addition now 67% (down 1ppt) of Indonesians expect their family will be ‘better off’ financially this time next year compared to 3% (down 3ppts) that expect to be ‘worse off’ financially (the equal lowest recorded for this indicator since October 2014).

In terms of the Indonesian economy now 81% (unchanged) of Indonesians expect Indonesia will have ‘good times’ financially during the next 12 months and just 19% (up 1ppt) say we’ll have ‘bad times’ financially.

Additionally, now 91% (up 1ppt) of Indonesians expect Indonesia will have ‘good times’ economically over the next five years (the highest recorded for this indicator for nearly a year since March 2015) and only 9% (unchanged) expect ‘bad times’ economically.

Now just under half, 49% (down 2ppts) of Indonesians say ‘now is a good time to buy’ major household items and nearly as many, 48% (up 4ppts) say ‘now is a bad time to buy’ major household items (the equal highest for this indicator for nearly five years, since March 2011).

Debnath Guharoy, Roy Morgan Regional Director, Asia, says:

“With the global economic outlook bleak and China slowing down, Indonesia will continue to see its exports of resources slip. Re-engineering the economy with infrastructure development will create new jobs, reduce logistical costs, attract FDI. Government funds were finally unlocked late last year and there are more projects underway around the country than at any other time in Indonesia’s history. The signs of progress are visible, adding to consumer confidence”

The monthly Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating is based on 2,146 face-to-face interviews conducted throughout Indonesia, not just a handful of cities. The survey includes the Top 22 cities, smaller cities and towns as well as many more villages in the rural hinterland, reflecting all of Indonesia. Men and women aged 14 and over were randomly selected during the month of January 2016.


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Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating - January 2016 - 147.4

Click to view the latest Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Release PDF - January 2016.


Latest ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Releases

Latest Roy Morgan Indonesian & ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Data Tables

Related Research Reports

The latest Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Monthly Report is available on the Roy Morgan Online Store. It provides demographic breakdowns for Age, Sex, State, Region (Capital Cities/ Country), Generations, Lifecycle, Socio-Economic Scale, Work Status, Occupation, Home Ownership, Voting Intention, Roy Morgan Value Segments and more.

You can also view our monitor of Monthly Australian Unemployment & Under-employment Estimates.


Margin of Error

The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. The following table gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. The figures are approximate and for general guidance only, and assume a simple random sample. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate. 

Sample Size

Percentage Estimate

 

40%-60%

25% or 75%

10% or 90%

5% or 95%

1,000

±3.0

±2.7

±1.9

±1.4

2,000

±2.2

±1.9

±1.3

±1.0