Federal Voting – Two Party Preferred Voting Intention (%) (2016-2022)
Recent Election Results
| Election Date | L-NP (%) | ALP (%) |
| May 21, 2022 | 47.9 | 52.1 |
| May 18, 2019 | 51.5 | 48.5 |
| July 2, 2016 | 50.3 | 49.7 |
| September 7, 2013 | 53.5 | 46.5 |
| August 21, 2010 | 49.9 | 50.1 |
| November 24, 2007 | 47.3 | 52.7 |
| October 9, 2004 | 52.7 | 47.3 |
| November 10, 2001 | 51.0 | 49.0 |
| October 3, 1998 | 49.0 | 51.0 |
| March 2, 1996 | 53.6 | 46.4 |
Latest Results of Two Party Preferred Voting without Other/Undecided 2022-2023
| Date | Total ALP TPP | Total L-NP TPP |
| 2023 | ||
| May 21 (1 week) | 55.3% | 44.7% |
| May 14 (2 weeks) | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| May 14 (1 week) | 58.4% | 41.6% |
| May 7 (1 week) | 54.7% | 45.3% |
| April 30 (1 week) | 53.6% | 46.4% |
| April 23 (1 week) | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| April 16 (1 week) | 56.2% | 43.8% |
| April 9 (1 week) | 56.2% | 43.8% |
| April 2 (1 week) | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| March 26 (1 week) | 56.8% | 43.2% |
| March 19 (1 week) | 58.1% | 41.9% |
| March 12 (1 week) | 56.3% | 43.7% |
| March 5 (1 week) | 54.6% | 45.4% |
| February 26 (1 week) | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| February 19 (1 week) | 58.3% | 41.7% |
| February 12 (1 week) | 56.4% | 43.6% |
| February 5 (1 week) | 58.4% | 41.6% |
| January 29 (2 weeks) | 56.9% | 58.9% |
| January 22 (1 week) | 58.9% | 41.1% |
| January 15 (2 weeks) | 59.4% | 40.6% |
| January 8 (1 week) | 58.6% | 41.4% |
| 2022 | ||
| December 16 (2 weeks) | 58.7% | 41.3% |
| December 11 (2 weeks) | 56.6% | 43.4% |
| December 11 (1 week) | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| December 4 | 54.6% | 45.4% |
| November 27 | 52.3% | 47.7% |
| November 20 | 53.4% | 46.6% |
| November 13 | 53.4% | 46.6% |
| November 6 | 53.3% | 46.7% |
| October 30 | 55.6% | 44.4% |
| October 23 | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| October 16 | 54.8% | 45.2% |
| October 9 | 54.9% | 45.1% |
| October 2 | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| September 25 | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| September 18 | 54.7% | 45.3% |
| September 11 | 53.6% | 46.4% |
| September 4 | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| August 28 | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| August 21 | 52.7% | 47.3% |
| August 14 | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Change | -1.7% | 1.7% |
Earlier Results of Two Party Preferred Voting without Other/Undecided 2018-2022
| Preferences distributed by how electors say they will vote | Preferences distributed by how electors voted at the 2016/19 Federal Elections | |||
| % | % | % | % | |
| L-NP | ALP | L-NP | ALP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9-15, 2022 | 43.5 | 56.5 | 47 | 53 |
| May 2-8, 2022 | 44 | 56 | 45.5 | 54.5 |
| April 25 - May 1, 2022 | 44.5 | 55.5 | 46 | 54 |
| April 18-24, 2022 | 45.5 | 54.5 | 47 | 53 |
| April 11-17, 2022 | 45 | 55 | 46.5 | 53.5 |
| April 4-10, 2022 | 43 | 57 | 44.5 | 55.5 |
| March 28 - April 3, 2022 | 43 | 57 | 44.5 | 55.5 |
| March 21-27, 2022 | 44.5 | 55.5 | 46 | 54 |
| March 14-20, 2022 | 42 | 58 | 43.5 | 56.5 |
| March 3-13, 2022 | 44 | 56 | 45.5 | 54.5 |
| February 24 - March 2, 2022 (Post Ukraine War) | 43.5 | 56.5 | 45 | 55 |
| February 14-23, 2022 (Pre-Ukraine War) | 43.5 | 56.5 | 45 | 55 |
| January 31 - February 13, 2022 | 43 | 57 | 44.5 | 55.5 |
| January 17-30, 2022 | 43.5 | 56.5 | 45 | 55 |
| January 4-16, 2022 | 44 | 56 | 45.5 | 54.5 |
| 2022 | ||||
| December 11/12 & 18/19, 2021 | 44.5 | 55.5 | 46 | 54 |
| November 27/28 & December 4/5, 2021 | 43.5 | 56.5 | 45 | 55 |
| November 13/14 & 20/21, 2021 | 44.5 | 55.5 | 46 | 54 |
| October 30/31 & November 6/7, 2021 | 46.5 | 53.5 | 48 | 52 |
| October 16/17 & 23/24, 2021 | 46 | 54 | 47.5 | 52.5 |
| October 2/3 & 9/10, 2021 | 47 | 53 | 48.5 | 51.5 |
| September 18/19 & 25/26, 2021 | 46 | 54 | 47.5 | 52.5 |
| September 4/5 & 11/12, 2021 | 47.5 | 52.5 | 49 | 51 |
| August 21/22 & 28/29, 2021 | 45.5 | 54.5 | 47 | 53 |
| Aug 7/8 & 14/15, 2021 | 46 | 54 | 47.5 | 52.5 |
| July 24/25 & 31/ Aug 1, 2021 | 46.5 | 53.5 | 48 | 52 |
| July 10/11 & 17/18, 2021 | 47.5 | 52.5 | 49 | 51 |
| June 12/13 & 19/20, 2021 | 49.5 | 50.5 | 51 | 49 |
| May 29/30 & June 5/6, 2021 | 49 | 51 | 50.5 | 49.5 |
| March 6/7 & 13/14, 2021 | 49.5 | 50.5 | 51 | 49 |
| February 6/7 & 13/14, 2021 | 49.5 | 50.5 | 51 | 49 |
| 2021 | ||||
| November 14/15 & 21/22, 2020 | 50.5 | 49.5 | 52 | 48 |
| October 17/18 & 24/25, 2020 | 50.5 | 49.5 | 52 | 48 |
| August 8/19 & 15/16, 2020 | 54 | 46 | 55.5 | 44.5 |
| July 11/12 & 18/19, 2020 | 51.5 | 48.5 | 52.5 | 47.5 |
| June 13/14 & 20/21, 2020 | 50.5 | 49.5 | 52 | 48 |
| May 16/17 & 23/24, 2020 | 52.5 | 47.5 | 54.5 | 45.5 |
| April 18/19 & 25/26, 2020 | 51.5 | 48.5 | 53 | 47 |
| February 29/March 1 & 7/8, 2020 | 47 | 53 | 49 | 51 |
| 2020 | ||||
| 2019 Federal Election - May 18, 2019 | 51.5 | 48.5 | 51.5 | 48.5 |
| Morgan Poll: Federal Election 2016-2019 | ||||
| May 2019 | 48 | 52 | 48.5 | 51.5 |
| May 4/5, 2019 | 49 | 51 | 49 | 51 |
| April 27/28, 2019 | 49 | 51 | 49 | 51 |
| April 20/21, 2019 | 49 | 51 | 49 | 51 |
| April 6/7, 2019 | 47.5 | 52.5 | 48 | 52 |
| March 16/17 & 23/24, 2019 | 45 | 55 | 45.5 | 54.5 |
| February 16/17, 2019 | 47.5 | 52.5 | 48 | 52 |
| February 2/3 & 9/10, 2019 | 44.5 | 55.5 | 45 | 55 |
| 2019 | ||||
| August 25/26, 2018 | 46 | 54 | 46.5 | 53.5 |
| August 24, 2018 - Scott Morrison emerges victorious in a three way leadership ballot and becomes Prime Minister | ||||
| August 18/19, 2018 | 49.5 | 50.5 | 49 | 51 |
| March 17/18 & 24/25, 2018 | 49 | 51 | 48.5 | 51.5 |
| March 3/4 & 10/11, 2018 | 46 | 54 | 46.5 | 53.5 |
| 2018 |
^1998 Federal Election results have been updated to include results from the electorate of Newcastle supplementary election.
The L-NP did not have a candidate contesting the electorate of Newcastle.
