Latest Morgan Poll Releases

Roy Morgan’s Government Confidence Rating has jumped by by 11.5pts to 104.5 following the L-NP’s victory at the Federal Election in mid-May. Now 43.5% of electors say the country is heading in the ‘right direction’ and 39% say the ‘wrong direction’.

Saturday’s Federal Election results shows the L-NP Government will likely be returned with a small majority. Analysis of the polls show all polls significantly underestimated the L-NP primary vote. The Roy Morgan Poll a week before the Federal Election had L-NP support at 38.5% – 2.9% lower than their actual vote of 41.4%.

A special Roy Morgan SMS Poll conducted over the last few days shows a large majority of 66% of Australian electors think the ALP will win this week’s Federal Election compared to only 34% that think the L-NP Coalition will win.

The last face-to-face Roy Morgan Poll before the election shows the ALP regaining the initiative and pulling away from the L-NP with an election winning two-party preferred lead: ALP 52% cf. L-NP 48%.