Roy Morgan Research
February 23, 2021

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence down 0.7pts to 109.2 following Victoria’s five day lockdown

Topic: Consumer Confidence, Press Release
Finding No: 8630
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ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence was down by 0.7pts to 109.2 on February 20/21, 2021. Consumer Confidence is now 1 point below the 2021 weekly average of 110.2 yet remains 0.9pts higher than the same week a year ago, February 22/23, 2020 (108.3).

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence was down by 0.7pts to 109.2 on February 20/21, 2021. Consumer Confidence is now 1 point below the 2021 weekly average of 110.2 yet remains 0.9pts higher than the same week a year ago, February 22/23, 2020 (108.3).
The decrease in Consumer Confidence this week has been driven by a small fall in Australians saying now is a ‘good time to buy’ major household items.

Current financial conditions

  • Now 27% (up 2ppts) of Australians say their families are ‘better off’ financially than this time last year and 29% (up 2ppts), say their families are ‘worse off’ financially.


Future financial conditions

  • In addition, 37% (unchanged) of Australians expect their family to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year compared to 15% (up 1ppt) that expect to be ‘worse off’ financially.


Current economic conditions

  • A decreased proportion of Australians, 18% (down 1ppt), expect ‘good times’ for the Australian economy over the next 12 months while 19% (down 1ppt), expect ‘bad times’.


Future economic conditions

  • In the longer term, over a quarter of Australians, 27% (up 3ppts), are expecting ‘good times’ for the economy over the next five years compared to only 13% (up 1ppt) expecting ‘bad times’.


Time to buy a major household item

  • A decreasing plurality of Australians, 40% (down 2ppts), say now is a ‘good time to buy’ major household items, while 27% (up 2ppts), say now is a ‘bad time to buy’.


ANZ Head of Australian Economics, David Plank, commented:

Block Quote

“Consumer confidence has fallen for the third week in a row, despite the easing of lockdown restrictions in Victoria. Indeed, Regional Victoria led the fall with confidence deteriorating 10.5%. This could possibly be a catch-up to last week’s surprise rise in regional sentiment. Within the detail, the softness in ‘time to buy a major household item’ is interesting given the current strength of the housing market. We would expect the two to go hand-in-hand, so the relative softness of this aspect of sentiment may not endure.”


Related Research Reports

The latest Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Monthly Report is available on the Roy Morgan Online Store. It provides demographic breakdowns for Age, Sex, State, Region (Capital Cities/ Country), Generations, Lifecycle, Socio-Economic Scale, Work Status, Occupation, Home Ownership, Voting Intention, Roy Morgan Value Segments and more

Margin of Error

The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. Margin of error gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate.

Sample Size Percentage Estimate
40% – 60% 25% or 75% 10% or 90% 5% or 95%
1,000 ±3.0 ±2.7 ±1.9 ±1.3
5,000 ±1.4 ±1.2 ±0.8 ±0.6
7,500 ±1.1 ±1.0 ±0.7 ±0.5
10,000 ±1.0 ±0.9 ±0.6 ±0.4
20,000 ±0.7 ±0.6 ±0.4 ±0.3
50,000 ±0.4 ±0.4 ±0.3 ±0.2

Related Findings

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