Roy Morgan Research
January 21, 2020

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rises to 108.3

Topic: Consumer Confidence, Press Release
Finding No: 8261
RMR Logo

Confidence continued with its forward march, gaining 0.9% last week. This takes it back to where it was in mid-December. The financial and economic sub-indices were mixed, while the ‘Time to buy a household item’ strengthened solidly.

  • Current finances gained 3.4% vis-a-vis weakness of 5.5% seen in the previous reading. In contrast, future finances declined 2.5%, reversing some of the 4.6% gain seen over the three previous surveys.
  • Current economic conditions gained 2.2%, while future economic conditions fell by 3%. These subindices were up 6.1% and 8.6%, respectively, in the previous reading.
  • ‘Time to buy a major household item’ was up 4.7%, to its highest level since October. Four-week moving average of ‘inflation expectations’ was stable at 3.9%. However, the weekly reading was back above 4% after two weeks of being below.

ANZ Head of Australian Economics, David Plank, commented:

Block Quote

“The gain in consumer confidence seen for the second straight week was encouraging, considering the weakness seen in the first reading of the current year. Overall sentiment remains well below average and quite some way below where it was before the RBA started easing in 2019, however. Some welcome rain during the week may have contributed to the overall rise in sentiment, along with some reasonable local data and the signing of the US-China trade deal Phase One. The attainment of a new record for the local share market could also have played a role. The domestic focus this week will be very much on the employment report. A soft result may dampen sentiment somewhat.”

Related Research Reports

The latest Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Monthly Report is available on the Roy Morgan Online Store. It provides demographic breakdowns for Age, Sex, State, Region (Capital Cities/ Country), Generations, Lifecycle, Socio-Economic Scale, Work Status, Occupation, Home Ownership, Voting Intention, Roy Morgan Value Segments and more

For comments or more information please contact:
Roy Morgan - Enquiries
Office: +61 (03) 9224 5309
askroymorgan@roymorgan.com

Margin of Error

The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. Margin of error gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate.

Sample Size Percentage Estimate
40% – 60% 25% or 75% 10% or 90% 5% or 95%
1,000 ±3.0 ±2.7 ±1.9 ±1.3
5,000 ±1.4 ±1.2 ±0.8 ±0.6
7,500 ±1.1 ±1.0 ±0.7 ±0.5
10,000 ±1.0 ±0.9 ±0.6 ±0.4
20,000 ±0.7 ±0.6 ±0.4 ±0.3
50,000 ±0.4 ±0.4 ±0.3 ±0.2

Related Findings

Back to topBack To Top Arrow