Roy Morgan Research
March 02, 2021

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence up 1.1pts to 110.3 as COVID-19 vaccine rollout begins. Confidence up in Victoria after third lockdown ends

Topic: Consumer Confidence, Press Release
Finding No: 8635
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ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence increased by 1.1pts to 110.3 on February 27/28, 2021. Consumer Confidence is now almost level with the 2021 weekly average of 110.2 and is now a significant 5.5pts higher than the same week a year ago, February 29/ March 1, 2020 (104.8).

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence increased by 1.1pts to 110.3 on February 27/28, 2021. Consumer Confidence is now almost level with the 2021 weekly average of 110.2 and is now a significant 5.5pts higher than the same week a year ago, February 29/ March 1, 2020 (104.8).
This week’s increase in Consumer Confidence has been driven by increasing confidence about personal finances over the next year and also more people saying now is a ‘good time to buy’ major household items.

Current financial conditions

  • Now 27% (unchanged) of Australians say their families are ‘better off’ financially than this time last year and 29% (unchanged), say their families are ‘worse off’ financially.


Future financial conditions

  • In addition, 39% (up 2ppts) of Australians expect their family to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year compared to only 14% (down 1ppt) that expect to be ‘worse off’ financially.


Current economic conditions

  • An unchanged proportion of Australians, 18%, expect ‘good times’ for the Australian economy over the next 12 months while 17% (down 2ppts), expect ‘bad times’.


Future economic conditions

  • In the longer term, around a quarter of Australians, 24% (down 3ppts), are expecting ‘good times’ for the economy over the next five years compared to 13% (unchanged) expecting ‘bad times’.


Time to buy a major household item

  • An increasing plurality of Australians, 42% (up 2ppts), say now is a ‘good time to buy’ major household items, while 25% (down 2ppts), say now is a ‘bad time to buy’.


ANZ Head of Australian Economics, David Plank, commented:

Block Quote

“Consumer Confidence reversed its three-week losing streak as the nationwide inoculation program began a week ago. Headline confidence is around its long-run average. What stands out is the jump in weekly inflation expectations to 3.9% (from 3.6% a week ago), its highest level since early April. Higher global fuel prices pushed up the average domestic retail petrol price by 1.6 cents/litre last week. This, coupled with a strong housing market and faster than expected recovery in the labour market, could be fuelling inflationary concerns. Inflation expectations are still below pre-pandemic levels, so could rise further without causing undue alarm for the RBA.”


Related Research Reports

The latest Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Monthly Report is available on the Roy Morgan Online Store. It provides demographic breakdowns for Age, Sex, State, Region (Capital Cities/ Country), Generations, Lifecycle, Socio-Economic Scale, Work Status, Occupation, Home Ownership, Voting Intention, Roy Morgan Value Segments and more

Margin of Error

The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. Margin of error gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate.

Sample Size Percentage Estimate
40% – 60% 25% or 75% 10% or 90% 5% or 95%
1,000 ±3.0 ±2.7 ±1.9 ±1.3
5,000 ±1.4 ±1.2 ±0.8 ±0.6
7,500 ±1.1 ±1.0 ±0.7 ±0.5
10,000 ±1.0 ±0.9 ±0.6 ±0.4
20,000 ±0.7 ±0.6 ±0.4 ±0.3
50,000 ±0.4 ±0.4 ±0.3 ±0.2

Related Findings

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